MN Transplant Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Heights over Kansas look to be 1 mb lower. Heights are in meters 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, lpaschall said: GFS seems farther east and slight north at 54 compared to NAM We should not be comparing the GFS to the NAM... We should be comparing the 12Z GFS to the 6Z GFS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just a note...that capture/tuck/stall that the Icon does in south-central VA (and all the other guidance does somewhere nearby as well) is what we dream about. When it occurs 50mi east of Norfolk/Ocean City. That's when the deform band just crushes the metro corridor. 9 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 If anything through 60, its a little slower than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I'd be grasping at straws to find any significant differences at hour 69 from the 06z run, but the atlantic low is a bit closer in (less spacing). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Definitely south at 63, Low is down on the panhandle. a hair slower as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: We should not be comparing the GFS to the NAM... We should be comparing the 12Z GFS to the 6Z GFS Then....Low seems farther east and a smidge south compared to GFS 06Z HR48 vs HR54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Well the spacing between the ocean low and our storm seems to keep getting smaller, for what it’s worth. So far, at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I see slower, but not much else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 This run isn't going to do it for i95 ...same as before just a bit more rainSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Heights are in meters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GFS farther south and east at HR66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, lpaschall said: GFS farther south and east at HR66 Same observation at HR72 High farther south as well though more east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Had to get something out of the 6 years of college. 850 low is going to track just over DC or to the west. No major improvement. Still a decent front-end storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GFS farther north and east HR 78 High slightly south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Well the H5 is worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 deleted - flipped on me to previous run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 The flow in front of the low on h5 just looks like it’s so S/N oriented that the storm is still locked in for a hard turn n/nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 It think it's much more informative to track changes at H5 than in the surface pressure fields. Surface features can be deceptive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Surface Low track looks way better to me 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, MN Transplant said: Had to get something out of the 6 years of college. 850 low is going to track just over DC or to the west. No major improvement. Still a decent front-end storm. Yes seems like the same evolution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, Sernest14 said: Low jumps from offshore Wilmington to South Boston from 81/84 Where the L is on the map isn't necessarily indicative of the low "jumping" from one place to the next. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 So frustrating. Things start out promising, but end the same way. Nice little thump at 84. Cake is starting to cool and set. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 This little new piece of energy pulled the storm in some again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Looks like a lot of us avoid a drenching rain, so that's a plus. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So frustrating. Things start out promising, but end the same way. Nice little thump at 84. Cake is starting to cool and set. Despite all of the little changes across all the models, we just keep coming up with the same thing. Front end thump to rain for DC. It has looked like this for days and I really doubt it is going to change now. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Thump to slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Same time Monday on TT 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I’ll take thump to dry slot and run with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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