Ravens94 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Well this run is definitely going to have a very heavy east push 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: The NAM is really tapping the gulf at 57. Gonna be an extremely juicy run. But when is the NAM not juicy? Actually imo not so much after the upgrade that occurred awhile back. It’s not the NAM I used to know where itd paint 3-4” or qpf only to cut it in half 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 At 66 hrs, the 850 low is further south (central MS vs northern MS) than it was on the 06z NAM/GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Substantial difference from the 6z GFS vs 12Z NAM. Nam had a major shift this run so maybe there's some new data coming in and the GFS will follow. NAM has one hell of a kicker to push this east 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Bit chilly sunday AM on the NAM eh? 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: Bit chilly sunday AM on the NAM eh? It’s not just the NAM with the cold temps. To certain degree most of the guidance has shown a pretty stout cold shot before the storm dies whatever it does 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Nam long range so all caveats yada yada, but at 75 the NS SW looks elongated and "over the top" rather than diving into the Trough. H5 way south compared to other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Southern vort is MUCH further southeast 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 NAM showing the low more south but also a tad stronger? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Its comical to NOT want a negative closed low in the deep south and hoping for open and positive tilt progressive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 This looks fabulous. Let's hope globals follow. GFS is headed towards this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Looks like it has wiggle room to bump east some more on future runs given the weakness and lean to the east of the slp mean center That 977 low well offshore would be SWEET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 So far this solution makes the most sense I’ve seen given the high pressure moving in prior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 We’re about to get NAM’d aren’t we 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, 87storms said: So far this solution makes the most sense I’ve seen given the high pressure moving in prior. If it’s the coldest and snowiest, then of course 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 @psuhoffman would highly approve of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, jayyy said: We’re about to get NAM’d aren’t we If it kept going yeah likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Jan 2000 went pretty severely negative (it basically got scooped up by the trailing vort) but also pretty uncommon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Good changes on the 12z NAM and it should have the storm in the RAOB network. At the worst, it's stopped the bleeding. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 All jokes aside. That snip I posted above is what you want to see if you want a monster thump. Everyone in here would get blasted on the front end with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Considerably slower than the globals. Ok enough Nam talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, H2O said: Im so glad my annoyance over maps with no legends is providing you so much to work with in making memes 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, mappy said: Im so glad my annoyance over maps with no legends is providing you so much to work with in making memes I am merely the artist using the oils and watercolors provided to me. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Snow lovers in Kentucky are hoping the NAM isn't on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 No expert but is the NAM further south or just moving more slowly then GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Yes to both 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 My intuition is farther south = less northern stream interaction = slower. The pull from the northern stream shortwave is what speeds it up once it gets captured and starts moving N/NW. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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