gymengineer Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: He probably got them here http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/ Fun fact for the newer posters: Ray Martin worked at LWX and would post here. After the 2016 Blizzard, he participated in the heated discussions on here about DCA’s snow total for the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Really looks good guys ^18-24" Westminster, MD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, Warm Nose said: You realize TWC isn't in the accuracy business but more in the 'driving traffic' business. Gotta hype it up at all times! Yes, they are very misleading. Now the last storm the app said 0-1'' two days before the event and ended up getting 10''. It's sad people trust TWC for a solid forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: He probably got them here http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/ 7 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Holy shit thanks for that. 1 minute ago, gymengineer said: Fun fact for the newer posters: Ray Martin worked at LWX and would post here. After the 2016 Blizzard, he participated in the heated discussions on here about DCA’s snow total for the storm. Ray still works for LWX. Solid forecaster. His site gets me through those hot winter rain storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 GFS. I think I like it better 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: How are things in the se forum? Going great LOL. I see things are well here too. You have JI being the voice of reason, you have StormTracker having homicidal thoughts about Yoda and the cliffs have miles of jumpers. In all seriousness though, I do believe this will trend a little better for you all in the DC area and vicinity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, Interstate said: GFS. I think I like it better Yeah at 24 I could see big changes lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 10 minutes ago, baltosquid said: RGEM is interesting. A good bit faster/further east with the mid level stuff but also much stronger. Cuts off earlier than would be preferred. Not smart enough to extrapolate that out to game time, but my rough guess is not an earth shattering improvement. NAM is better. Rgem probably ends similar to the euro. NAM was the only look I’ve seen recently that made me think it could possibly get far enough southeast to track up further east. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 GFS to 60h trending in a good direction, stronger high, low a touch further south, prior storm a few hours slower. Bet it's going to go back to the coast now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just looks a little faster so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Go GooFuS! Not closed off thru 66 this time. Less organized/consolidated. Better look. All we can ask for right now. Just cease that farther W movement each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Less neg tilt and farther se at 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Liking the looks of that sprawled out 'banana high'. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Good trends on the GFS so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 With the differences toggled back and forth from the 12z to now so far, this could go boom… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 It’s definitely different at least at 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Low jumped from west tenn to Georgia at 87? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, Scraff said: With the differences toggled back and forth from the 12z to now so far, this could go boom… All hail the king! Let’s go! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Confluence to the northeast any different/better? (ETA: Also that shortwave to its west?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Confluence to the northeast any different/better? (ETA: Also that shortwave to its west?) Confluence looks more robust and the antecedent high pressure looks better positioned. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12, 2022 Author Share Posted January 12, 2022 Now is the time we wish we had a kicker closing in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 I usually don’t like to do these early model observations since you look stupid when they take a left turn after but at 72 Gfs again trended east with the SW. 2nd run it reversed its early NW trend with that. Also less ridging in front of it. Positive trends there. Slightly less suppressive up over New England but as I’ve said I think that’s not the biggest factor here. Things have changed due to the timing and the energy diving in behind that wasn’t seen before. The trough is going to amplify and sharpen and this is going to pull north. Nothing going on to the northeast will stop that. It’s all about getting this SW as far east as we can before that happens. So the 2 things I’m watching are strength and location/speed of that SW. faster/east/weaker is better. And the interaction of the energy behind. Slower and later phase better there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 This has to end better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 20 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Holy shit thanks for that. Absolutely love this site. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 99 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 11 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Ray still works for LWX. Solid forecaster. His site gets me through those hot winter rain storms. I thought he went out to Elko Nevada. Maybe I’m thinking of someone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 HH Delivery? This looks potentially better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Gfs is doing what climo usually does. Sometimes that's a good thing. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, psuhoffman said: I thought he went out to Elko Nevada. Maybe I’m thinking of someone else. U r correct 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 hr 96 at myrtle Beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts