Fozz Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, jaydreb said: Sucks for DC metro, but just a stunning historical storm on the Euro. Snowfall from Alabama/Georgia all the way up the Apps. Looks a lot like a March 1993 lite. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Me too. No chance we get a 50 mile shift this late in the game. We ride into the sunset together. Once they trend west they stay west. This won't magically go back to over the BM and off OC like we need to avoid thermals. We can watch the warm air together while Ji complains over 12" 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 4 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, H2O said: Once they trend west they stay west. This won't magically go back to over the BM and off OC like we need to avoid thermals. We can watch the warm air together while Ji complains over 12" Weenie Tagged, just not true 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 13 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO definitely shifted in the right direction v 0Z. There it is. It’s the piece to the nw that wasn’t there a few runs ago that’s doing this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, H2O said: Once they trend west they stay west. This won't magically go back to over the BM and off OC like we need to avoid thermals. We can watch the warm air together while Ji complains over 12" Maybe, but we still have ensembles that aren't fully on board with the inland track. LWX specifically mentioned the shortwave is over a data sparse area in the Aleutians this morning so I'd think that means to give the ensembles a lot of weight. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Me too. No chance we get a 50 mile shift this late in the game. We ride into the sunset together. Does Zywts still have the cabin in WV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 14 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I find that the storm being pushed back makes the forecast even more difficult due to the storm being 5/6 days out while yesterday due to it being more saturday/sunday it was also 5/6 days out. Just something to keep in mind I may never recover from this post. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Pulled out the old CIPS analogs tool. Doesn't look terrible. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: There it is. It’s the piece to the nw that wasn’t there a few runs ago that’s doing this. And if it comes in a bit faster, or the southern piece slows down a bit, bigtime storm for my area! We're due! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 A third of this board sarcastically doom posts, a third actually doom posts, and a third thinks the sarcastic doom posts are actual doom posts 4 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 We have a west shift from bermuda to the tri-cities of NC and Randy started the thread. I think that in itself is evidence enough that DC will be under a TOR watch during the height of the storm 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Pulled out the old CIPS analogs tool. Doesn't look terrible. As long as I stay all frozen through the event I don't care. If that means ZR and IP that's fine. Just a stouter snowpack to keep the cold in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 It’s gonna be a long week. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I love this, but I’m either smart enough or dumb enough to know that this isn’t as far west as it can get. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: I may never recover from this post. I sent a copy to the Chicago teachers union.. they now plan to reopen immediately. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Time to bump the Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather thread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I swear weather hobbyists have the thickest book of platitudes of any other sport/hobby in the world. Even more than nascar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, SnowGolfBro said: It’s gonna be a long week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, Yeoman said: I sent a copy to the Chicago teachers union.. they now plan to reopen immediately. My god man stop. I can only laugh so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Does Zywts still have the cabin in WV? Nah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 13 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Ji gets absolutely obliterated on this run. Literal Leesburg Jack. He's already looking at the one behind this one 3 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 When is the onset of precipation? Late Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I love this, but I’m either smart enough or dumb enough to know that this isn’t as far west as it can get. Either way I know you'll keep us posted on how well it does out there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 20 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I find that the storm being pushed back makes the forecast even more difficult due to the storm being 5/6 days out while yesterday due to it being more saturday/sunday it was also 5/6 days out. Just something to keep in mind Explain. In detail. And show your work. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: It’s gonna be a long week. why? just keep your expectations in check and you'll be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, mappy said: why? just keep your expectations in check and you'll be fine. expectations any time the models show anything even resembling a major storm = 4 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 7 minutes ago, weathercoins said: A third of this board sarcastically doom posts, a third actually doom posts, and a third thinks the sarcastic doom posts are actual doom posts What about the .0333333333333333 of the rest of us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 the OP runs are on the far western edge of their respective ensemble means, I’m not particularly worried about a far W track, especially given the initial confluence over Canada it’s a possibility, but not a major concern IMO the mid levels are amazing though, that’s really all that matters at this range. almost a classic look, the GEPS has a closed contour at 500mb over the TN Valley! 10 12 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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