40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I just said it was too early for me to pass judgment. You guys are sure so be it but having to read another whiny post from Ray makes my skin crawl. So shut up already and place me on ignore. Christ... 2 2 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I guess I will need to share my cam for this one so people can get their fix (and possibly laugh when I change to rain too). Many would find this strangely satisfying, I'd think. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Snow is serious business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Maybe a brawl at the next GTG? 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Snow is serious business Hate to see it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 14 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Snow is serious business 8 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Maybe a brawl at the next GTG? Like me, I think a lot of people take solace in the dark, sardonic humor, or simple venting of frustration in the face of continued seasonal futility. Apparently he doesn't...I get it, but I'm not sure contributing a slew of posts about how I make his skin crawl makes the forum any easier to read. There is a simple fix...ignore feature. Nothing personal, he's a good friend...but enough already. lol 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 17 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Snow is serious business Especially when folks are stealing it. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Especially when folks are stealing it. Who is stealing this snow, Quebec City? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 31 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I guess I will need to share my cam for this one so people can get their fix (and possibly laugh when I change to rain too). I'm getting nervous. I'll probably flip to rain at the tail end. You and Alex will remain all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Who is stealing this snow, Quebec City? Toronto and Buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Who is stealing this snow, Quebec City? North Carolina 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Should lock this thread and throw away the key. 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: North Carolina Asheville will be ahead of you by Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Toronto and Buffalo Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: North Carolina C....All of the above. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I can always go take refuge in the NNE thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 23 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Maybe a brawl at the next GTG? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Like me, I think a lot of people take solace in the dark, sardonic humor, or simple venting of frustration in the face of continued seasonal futility. Apparently he doesn't...I get it, but I'm not sure contributing a slew of posts about how I make his skin crawl makes the forum any easier to read. There is a simple fix...ignore feature. Nothing personal, he's a good friend...but enough already. lol January 14th with nothing imminent is late enough in the season to stop pretending everything is awesome. I think most have had enough of the Hail Marys and confessionals asking for forgiveness at this point. You can only polish a turd like this season for so long. If it changes, great, but we can only discuss what’s already happened, and it’s sucked big ones. Period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 If only these virtual simulations of the atmosphere can predict the same sort of consistency from d6 onward the next time we have a threat along the BM. Unreal how easy it is for them, suddenly. As if they popped a viagra, perc, and a performance enhancer simultaneously. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If only these virtual simulations of the atmosphere can predict the same sort of consistency from d6 onward the next time we have a threat along the BM. Unreal how easy it is for them, suddenly. As if they popped a viagra, perc, and a performance enhancer simultaneously. There are still going to be surprises with this one but unfortunately they could be even further in the wrong direction for winter weather enthusiast. I for one have not ruled out a better scenario for the interior. I’m giving it until 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 hours ago, FXWX said: Good post about the CIPS grouping for this storm... I tend to not get overly frustrated or pissed off when a storm does not play-out the way I envisioned or forecast... I've been doing this for too many years to get emotionally involved or bitch when a storm forecast trends away from my original thoughts. But this storm, or should I say the modeling trends, have managed to pissed me off a bit. I do a lot of analog assessment (CIPS & Kocin storms) when a major storm seems to have a chance of developing for the Northeast; in particular SNE. This one is frustrating for the reasons you outlined above. The modeled forecasts for this storm just do not follow the history of upper air / surface setups like this? If you go look at the Feb. 14-17, 1958 event, it is almost a perfect overlay at 500 mb & sfc to what is now underway. The CIPS analogs are remarkably consistent in their assessment of what the vast number of similar setups produced. I have rarely seen (probably never) an analog storm pattern show such different outcomes compared to the current suite of modeling, and I find it a bit unsettling. In the back of my mind, I almost expect there to be a flip back closer to the analog outcome. But then I come back to reality and don't see any positive trends on the major modeling trends. This system appears to be one that will almost completely break away from where my analog method steered me... Fantastic elaboration that hones the oddity of what's portrayed in the models. I've been sharing in this sentiment. I also am of the ilk that seldom really gets personally 'moved' by failures/successes, either. But being human ( LOL ) it does admittedly feel unsettling when there are really both intuition, and data, supplying veracious counter- reasons that question the consensus - yet, the consensus persists. Other than what I just annotated last hour, re the relay and final piece to this dog and pony show set to relay off the Pacific tomorrow, I'm out of a suggestions - if this doesn't modulate when that happens... the less than sensible, less than a-priori for matter, solution probably prevails I guess. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: They are still going to be surprised with this one but unfortunately they could be even further in the wrong direction for winter weather enthusiast. I for one have not ruled out a better scenario for the interior. I’m giving it until 0z. Of course, hard to pin it within a 5 mile radius or whatever but give us ens members all within a 50mi strike zone along the BM at d4 next time and lock it there. I’m still pulling for you and the interior folks to squeeze out a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 First rule of “snow fight club” is no one mentions snow fight club 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 37 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Many would find this strangely satisfying, I'd think. one in particular for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Like the gfs is suddenly mr consistency over here ripping line drives every time it’s in the batter’s box when it typically flails at the pitch with a noodle in its hand. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: one in particular for sure I have been pulling for ME TBH...you guys really took one last year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’m still pulling for you and the interior folks to squeeze out a good one. I do a few times every morning regardless of the weather. 2 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: I can always go take refuge in the NNE thread. You have to pretend to like upslope though. They get kinda angry about it. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I forgot, this winter has been awesome for the 10 mile stripe that ended up with 12” of feathers last week that sublimated to 3 inches by dinner time. My mistake 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 One way to cut down the melting, infighting, and bickering would be to start storm threads at only 3 days out. Not going to happen, but just saying. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: You have to pretend to like upslope though. They get kinda angry about it. Fake snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now