JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Hopefully Blizz and JC are right...anyway, plenty of more runs to sort this out. Try looking at the sim radar instead of 6 hour precip. You are pretty much dry by then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Heavy snow to slot . Ends as drizzle . Huge net gain to increase the pack Agree 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Gfs would thump 3-6 to rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: GFS verbatim is mostly snow for Kevin, only .1 to .25" qpf as rain.. again thats just 12z gfs verbatim The 3-hour increments with rapid boundary layer warming will make the model output for ptype fairly dubious. But yeah, a decent thump of snow before rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GGEM is quite a suppressed through 48 hours compared to 00z....but that doesn't necessarily mean a ton considering the 00z GGEM tracked this storm through ROC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Agree I can’t remember if you or ‘fella said “like a SWFE on steroids”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: You’re getting half a foot of snow. On that run, yup. With a glaze, meat added at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Try looking at the sim radar instead of 6 hour precip. You are pretty much dry by then. Thanks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: This looks like rain to me That’s drizzle in the Dryslot after you’ve had 10 + of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I can’t remember if you or ‘fella said “like a SWFE on steroids”. Me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The 3-hour increments with rapid boundary layer warming will make the model output for ptype fairly dubious. But yeah, a decent thump of snow before rain. Ya, anything is better than all rain especially if we can mute the heavy rain to less than a quarter of an inch, and keep from torching.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: On that run, yup. With a glaze, meat added at the end. Davey Doom will JP. For Hubbard ville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GEFS are west of 6z. Not terrible but not as nice as the 6z suite was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Gfs would thump 3-6 to rain here Maybe 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GGEM is quite a suppressed through 48 hours compared to 00z....but that doesn't necessarily mean a ton considering the 00z GGEM tracked this storm through ROC. Still tracks it well inland...roughly IPT/ALB/BTV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Still tracks it well inland...roughly IPT/ALB/BTV Yeah, the northern s/w was super amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The 3-hour increments with rapid boundary layer warming will make the model output for ptype fairly dubious. But yeah, a decent thump of snow before rain. Seems like 9z would be a good cutoff for frozen for southern CT maybe 10-12z by the time you get to NE corner? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Ukie near BGM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ukie near BGM. That's a solid tick west from 00z which tracked from NYC up into S VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Ukie near BGM. I think we can now safely say that the 06z GEFS were bunk. It was pretty to look at though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Thanks You got it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 verbatim, the ggem would be brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That's a solid tick west from 00z which tracked from NYC up into S VT. Yep, gross. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: I think we can now safely say that the 06z GEFS were bunk. It was pretty to look at though. WTTTE. Some had fangs ready to pounce. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 49 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ray would love that. Gives me about 9"...I'll sell that, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 52 minutes ago, powderfreak said: lol. Just need to get those mid-level goodies slightly further SE on a BGM to BTV arc and we'll be in business. Just need to keep getting away from that split conveyor belts and have some big deformation band arcing from PA in NNE. This map shows what I am trying to communicate. The big deform far west, but then the band over south central NH which would be the 6 hour qpf bomb followed by some pivoting while the area towards Ray dryslots. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 E MA gets some much needed atmospheric river action on the CMC. LOL soaked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, PhineasC said: E MA gets some much needed atmospheric river action on the CMC. LOL soaked. He's happy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 60 pgs for a storm going over the baseball hall of fame. 2 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, PhineasC said: E MA gets some much needed atmospheric river action on the CMC. LOL soaked. We need the rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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