mreaves Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 28 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't know whether to cry over that run, or laugh at that image...I think the latter is winning out OMFG The tongue sticking out is the best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Like has been discussed… keep it on the eastern cape and everyone will be happy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I didn’t think this could turn the corner that quickly after it gets buried into the southeast but the trailing sw diving in will ultimately have a lot to say as to who wins and who whines. I will whine my ass off if I end up with a lot of rain from this....just an unfathomable stretch that would cap off worse than anything in the 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Confidence high on a storm on the EPS, but plenty of spread....but not bad for D6. Let's take that 971 that is about 150 miles east of Ocean City, and slam it right up Narragansett Bay at 955 mbs. I want warm and foggy east of 495, a raging back and forth of mixed precip from 495 to Ware, and west of an Assthol-Ware-Old Saybrook line...a wind driven blizzard. Any takers, WOTR? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, mreaves said: The tongue sticking out is the best. I know...priceless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: That phase part and where that happens will say it all. I’m inclined to think it happens later than what euro/gfs op is depicting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’m inclined to think it happens later than what euro/gfs op is depicting. Right now on the models its still intensifying as its getting here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think the correction vector is west on that mean. looking at the spread, as most of the eastern members are unphased and skew the mean. Agreed, and note that there are not a ton of members in the bullseye. Beware of The Golden Mean Fallacy. Then again, it is six days out, so who the F knows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I will whine my ass off if I end up with a lot of rain from this....just an unfathomable stretch that would cap off worse than anything in the 80s. The 80s were brutal for my weenie career. Cold stretches followed by big rainers was the norm so one of these wouldn’t compare necessarily…but it will certainly feel like 1988 again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: Ukie was late on SV, But its east of the other guidance at 12z fwiw. it's not east of the JMA! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The 80s were brutal for my weenie career. Cold stretches followed by big rainers was the norm so one of these wouldn’t compare necessarily…but it will certainly feel like 1988 again. If that happened to me, it would be pretty comparable to the 4 year stretch from 1988-1989 through 1991-1992. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Overall (model consensus) ensembles have a snowstorm, dependent on the member to choose but trending 70/30% wise to a white solution. The OP's on the otherhand are literally all over the map, LOL. Something big as in deep, I mean deep this way cometh. Big model runs forthcoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: If that happened to me, it would be pretty comparable to the 4 year stretch from 1988-1989 through 1991-1992. There is plenty of time and model runs for the late night crew to console each other, if that would be the case. We’ll probably have to become each other’s mindfulness guides… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: it's not east of the JMA! Serious question: why do they still run that thing? It's nailed one storm that I'm aware of in the past few decades. Does it have any real utility? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, Hoth said: Serious question: why do they still run that thing? It's nailed one storm that I'm aware of in the past few decades. Does it have any real utility? Probably in Japan? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 17 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Like has been discussed… keep it on the eastern cape and everyone will be happy Not everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 39 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This is probably going to be blue bomb grid problem for a 50 mi wide swath wherever the coastal plain wind bends NNE, and locks 31.9 - 32.5 F under a 55 dbz water coated aggregate returns. man wow, is what that is. This reminds me of Dec 92 . Slow mover , heavy wet snow, high winds etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There is plenty of time and model runs for the late night crew to console each other, if that would be the case. We’ll probably have to become each other’s mindfulness guides… I think there is very little chance of you being mainly rain that far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Probably in Japan? There is probably a remote spread sheet somewhere that has it ranked as the third best model, right behind the Euro...it probably nails the tides in Sagami Bay. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1-3” Region wide Friday and then a blue bomb Sunday night/ Monday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There is probably a remote spread sheet somewhere that has it ranked as the third best model, right behind the Euro...it probably nails the tides in Sagami Bay. Funny, but also serious. They probably have short range and niche models that piggyback their global model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 hour ago, NorEastermass128 said: I’d be getting giddy in WNE, NYS up into NNE away from the sea coasts. A week out? No way. This will look wildly different by Friday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 1-3” Region wide Friday and then a blue bomb Sunday night/ Monday From your lips to Ginxy's hips. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The 80s were brutal for my weenie career. Cold stretches followed by big rainers was the norm so one of these wouldn’t compare necessarily…but it will certainly feel like 1988 again. Bust out the old school videos 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This reminds me of Dec 92 . Slow mover , heavy wet snow, high winds etc Oh how we pray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 25 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I will whine my ass off if I end up with a lot of rain from this....just an unfathomable stretch that would cap off worse than anything in the 80s. I could see a 1-3" snow changeover to 1" of rain/dryslot type deal. Seems like we're due for one 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This reminds me of Dec 92 . Slow mover , heavy wet snow, high winds etc That was an awesome storm. Heavy heavy snow with a couple hours of sleet in the middle...and long duration. Was in Granby CT at the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 An average of all global models would be a great track for most of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There is probably a remote spread sheet somewhere that has it ranked as the third best model, right behind the Euro...it probably nails the tides in Sagami Bay. What did Metheun have in Dec 92? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Oh how we pray. I don't think you area did well in that...deep fetch easterly flow is bad news for CTRV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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