George001 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I don't mind a hugger...just don't track it over my fanny....even an LI to Cape track would be an awful lot of snow before any taint. Wouldn’t that track snow everywhere NW of the low like Jan 2011 due to the airmass in place combined with how strong and wrapped up the storm is? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That actually looks just inside BM..perfect for me. That's like 8-10" from here back down to you, Nobody would toss that, Even the coast would be fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lets go Feb 1-2 redux from last year....then we'll have to have Scooter's face photoshopped onto the FINISH HIM image. Ray blowing fire onto my face and melting it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 This is probably going to be blue bomb grid problem for a 50 mi wide swath wherever the coastal plain wind bends NNE, and locks 31.9 - 32.5 F under a 55 dbz water coated aggregate returns. man wow, is what that is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Ray blowing fore onto my face and melting it off. Blowing what onto your face? I like the EPS track, but not that much, dude. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Blowing what onto your face? yeah... what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: This is probably going to be blue bomb grid problem for a 50 mi wide swath wherever the coastal plain wind bends NNE, and locks 31.9 - 32.5 F under a 55 dbz water coated aggregate returns. man wow, is what that is. My area is a candidate IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I neglected to put Ray's name on the first one. Here is the finished revision 4 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Confidence high on a storm on the EPS, but plenty of spread....but not bad for D6. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Blowing what onto your face? I like the EPS track, but not that much, dude. Just now, Typhoon Tip said: yeah... what See edit. Didn't mean to excite Ray. Hope his wife is back soon. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, MaineJayhawk said: I neglected to put Ray's name on the first one. Here is the finished revision You should add winter 2021-2022 as the name on the opponent 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Not bad this far out for a mean track. Lock that in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Confidence high on a storm on the EPS, but plenty of spread....but not bad for D6. jeez, look at all those 970s 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lets go Feb 1-2 redux from last year....then we'll have to have Scooter's face photoshopped onto the FINISH HIM image. No! That was only 9" here. Foot or bust. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 That EPS looks very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Lock that in. Way too early to make any calls, but this is the type of storm that we may do very well in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Confidence high on a storm on the EPS, but plenty of spread....but not bad for D6. Not many POS members either. Good to see almost uniformly deep solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Way too early to make any calls, but this is the type of storm that we may do very well in... It's WoR time to shine! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I think the correction vector is west on that mean. looking at the spread, as most of the eastern members are unphased and skew the mean. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: That's like 8-10" from here back down to you, Nobody would toss that, Even the coast would be fine. Please 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 A reprise of Jan 2-3, 1987 would be wonderful, especially if its beginning was as odd as that one. PWM reported snow by 4 AM and outside my Augusta office it arrived about 12:30. Then, after taking 8+ hour to advance 55 miles to the northeast, it went from first flakes to <1/4 mile visibility in less than 60 seconds. Other than in squalls, that's the quickest I've seen first flake to S+. Dumped 16.0" at my (then) Gardiner home, 2nd only to 12/20-21/95 in my 13 winters there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Please Pretty please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 It’s early, but WNE can probably start drooling soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Way too early to make any calls, but this is the type of storm that we may do very well in... We could but It’s a precarious setup. The goalposts are super wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: It’s early, but WNE can probably start drooling soon. I didn’t think this could turn the corner that quickly after it gets buried into the southeast but the trailing sw diving in will ultimately have a lot to say as to who wins and who whines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Confidence high on a storm on the EPS, but plenty of spread....but not bad for D6. Don't think we could ask for much better - that's probably right at the performance ceiling for the state of the art of the technology. lol.. seriously though. I've seen much worse at that time of range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Ukie was late on SV, But its east of the other guidance at 12z fwiw. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 EPS has a bunch of members out west That concerns me a little, but 6 days out not a bad look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I didn’t think this could turn the corner that quickly after it gets buried into the southeast but the trailing sw diving in will ultimately have a lot to say as to who wins and who whines. That phase part and where that happens will say it all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewbeer Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I didn’t think this could turn the corner that quickly after it gets buried into the southeast but the trailing sw diving in will ultimately have a lot to say as to who wins and who whines. Storm prediction: there will be more whining than winning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now