PhineasC Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GFS is a quick blasting and then dry slot here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Not many redeeming qualities about that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Or maybe not.. Slightly west, long time to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 looks like it develops a low just south of us to keep my area locked in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Congrats Akron. Over and out for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, DavisStraight said: Slightly west, long time to go You’re a day behind. It is as Phin says. Thump for most with a taint and no one sectors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Really not much different then 18z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 There go those EMA thumps. Methuen, too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Why, are they afraid of getting warm sectored? Yes. Deform in Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Really not much different then 18z. Hr96, it looked se at h5 which threw me off but the end result is the same…agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: looks like it develops a low just south of us to keep my area locked in So you’re saying it triple points? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: There go those EMA thumps. Methuen, too. More like a tap instead of a thump? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: There go those EMA thumps. Methuen, too. I'm getting at least a few inches, regardless....Boston and SE MA more dubious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: looks like it develops a low just south of us to keep my area locked in I think it will be the Western goalpost for this storm and it still gives WNE a solid front end thump. It looks like 6-8" here and then some mixed precip/rain. Hopefully it corrects East a bit the next 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 10 minutes ago, CT Rain said: GFS is a horror show for the weenies. I can't say I'm really surprised given the GFS has been underplaying western heights all day. That's one of the ensemble signals for the cutter scenario vs tracking closer to the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 500mb subtly S-E of the the previous run’s position. Not reflected in the SFC for longitude but slightly so in latitude. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm getting at least a few inches, regardless....Boston and SE MA more dubious. I think you end up doing better than that. I'm more interested in the 12z runs tomorrow and thereafter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: I can't say I'm really surprised given the GFS has been underplaying western heights all day. That's one of the ensemble signals for the cutter scenario vs tracking closer to the benchmark. This is why the ensembles are better. Makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: I think you end up doing better than that. I'm more interested in the 12z runs tomorrow and thereafter. Yea...."at least". I think worst case is 2-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 There are changes forthcoming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: 500mb subtly S-E of the the previous run’s position. Not reflected in the SFC for longitude but slightly so in latitude. Yup. That’s what I saw when I thought it looked se: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hr96, it looked se at h5 which threw me off but the end result is the same…agree. We will need more time on this, Nothing lost, Nothing gained this run, Status quo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 13 minutes ago, weathafella said: Some awful analysis here… Thanks bud. We try. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is why the ensembles are better. Makes sense. They provide good information. It may not be the information we want to hear on the other hand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I'll take that GFS track. Only means it's downhill from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: They provide good information. It may not be the information we want to hear on the other hand. So in this case, greater western heights are bad....holy shit the irony considering December...not sure whether to laugh or cry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GGEM into Syracuse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yup. That’s what I saw when I thought it looked se: This doesn’t strike me as an all at once correction Southeast type of scenario -,it’s probably gonna take about three cycles and it’s not clear how much correction that’s going to be total. During the day tomorrow we’re going to be relaying the first short wave of this duality and see you there, off the Pacific… Then the Nstream component comes in 54 hours out approximately. Again plus there may be modulations going on with that whole negative NAO and stuff going on over the weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Thanks bud. We try. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Well, if she's heading for Buffalo she's digging pretty deep to the Southeast before the run due North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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