Cyclone-68 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Looks like WNE/NNE is stealing our thunder snow Monday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 EPS looks fine, shut yer traps 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Yeah, gfs/euro look fine. Ski country needs snow, it's been pretty dire up there. if anything hopefully it hugs deeper and gets more of ON/QC involved 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: EPS looks fine, shut yer traps That hugs too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Reminds me a little of that storm. VD Day removed about 100mi se would be insane. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Well corrected, mean is off ACK. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: EPS looks fine, shut yer traps Windshield wiper we do it every big storm. Yesterday they were whining about nothing showing up for 10 days, ocean storm shutting down winter for the rest of Jan. Rita reality my ass. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That hugs too. Not as bad? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That hugs too. i guess it's all relative. the mean still goes east of the cape, vs inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Well corrected, mean is off ACK. That is fine... I don't need the deformation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, MaineJayhawk said: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 it's very similar to the GEPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Eric is back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I don't know whether to cry over that run, or laugh at that image...I think the latter is winning out OMFG 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 13 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: the OP runs are on the far western edge of their respective ensemble means, I’m not particularly worried about a far W track, especially given the initial confluence over Canada it’s a possibility, but not a major concern IMO .... the 500mb look is amazing though, that’s what matters most at this range Yup...and thx for the Euro cluster there - Yeah, these are really just another ens member at this range, frankly. Doesn't mean much for detailing an event that is on the "other side" of Friday's handling ... that's the other thing. It's still a wild card imho, not for how it impacts ( less is likelier ) but how it interacts with that -NAO flex going on up there next weekend..etc...etc... usual headaches --> back-logs an effect on the upstream eddy and all that fun. I mean, this thing could end up stalling - I can visualize several outcomes ... none of which are outside possibility. I'm really more impressed that this was signaled 3 or 4 days ago... laxed some in the interim, only to came back like this. It's got that history, but also fits the telecon numerics. Sometimes bigger events have so much physical "genetics" ...they're almost like recessive traits ( LOL), that they keep showing up. Then, there we are - We'll see. I think this thing's confidence as actually being there and real, leaped into higher tier like a 1990's pop star. We're in ens mode though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Not bad this far out for a mean track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well corrected, mean is off ACK. If it doesn’t go right over us, they’ll at least be a hellacious thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Not bad this far out for a mean track. Crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: If it doesn’t go right over us, they’ll at least be a hellacious thump Yeah you don't need over over 40/70. Just near ack or even CHH. I hate retreating highs though, but airmass even with that isn't abysmal if EPS is right. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I don't mind a hugger...just don't track it over my fanny....even an LI to Cape track would be an awful lot of snow before any taint. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 is it logical to assume that Monday system will hang around a bit regardless of precip type? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I don't mind a hugger...just don't track it over my fanny....even an LI to Cape track would be an awful lot of snow before any taint. man pack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Not bad this far out for a mean track. That actually looks just inside BM..perfect for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I don't mind a hugger...just don't track it over my fanny....even an LI to Cape track would be an awful lot of snow before any taint. Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Elbow or ack track, And most would be happy in here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, JC-CT said: man pack Lets go Feb 1-2 redux from last year....then we'll have to have Scooter's face photoshopped onto the FINISH HIM image. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 This is the type of event where I won't need the deformation or really have a JP fetish. Love to get it, sure, but...plenty to go around and the coastal front should be near by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That hugs too. No thanks. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Lets go Feb 1-2 redux from last year....then we'll have to have Scooter's face photoshopped onto the FINISH HIM image. That is the new porked GIF...the toaster GIF is so 2011. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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