ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 If this system was progressive at all, we'd prob be in pretty good shape, but it just stops gaining longitude. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, dendrite said: Maybe we can LBSW this into SW PA and spawn a secondary. Maybe it can turn into a Miller B if it keeps slowing down? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Looks great! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: No way its east. It looks like a true coastal until it gets yanked west at the last second Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, George001 said: Maybe it can turn into a Miller B if it keeps slowing down? Eat up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: If this system was progressive at all, we'd prob be in pretty good shape, but it just stops gaining longitude. Where the hell is the Hadley Cell now? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 looks like a good thump though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Where the hell is the Hadley Cell now? I thought the NAO is negative Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Its a good 4mb weaker then 0z, This might produce more snow in the eastern areas then 0z though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: I thought the NAO is negative This season has had the most useless neg NAO known to man...completely and utterly futile and ineffective. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 That would probably be a hellacious thump for several hours though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 So we've thrown out the GFS, CMC, Euro, UKMET and NAVGEM. That leaves us with.... 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 SLP looked to track thru VT/NH line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Euro ptype is trying to drop very +SN here with that fetch coming up from the Bahamas, but I know that will be a tropical 34° +RA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 4-8” of snow then rainy then slot then fropa. Just one of many options all still on table 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: That would probably be a hellacious thump for several hours though. snow map shows almost 10 here I would take that followed by a little rain then the cold sweeps in and turns the pack into a glacier sign me up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, JC-CT said: So we've thrown out the GFS, CMC, Euro, UKMET and NAVGEM. That leaves us with.... Don't forget the Frenchie and German models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Ok that euro run is disgusting, we need massive large scale changes to the setup. Models are struggling with the pattern due to the massive ocean storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Don't forget the Frenchie and German models Frenchie hasn't run in a while :-/ Oh, and the icon? TOSSED 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 SLP: GFS: AOO-MDT-YUL ECMWF: DCA-ALB-YSC I'd rather have something else, but I guess the Euro > GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: So we've thrown out the GFS, CMC, Euro, UKMET and NAVGEM. That leaves us with.... Of course it probably goes up the Hudson River with Capt Sully before occluding and sliding ENE to EPO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 988mb Over State College to Syracuse. Congrats Toronto. Sweet get my 2-3” thump and then flip to heavy rain. Maybe we can get the bottom to fall out of the thermometer post storm to really finish my driveway off. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Agree with Will on the front-ender. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Classic 80s storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 This reminds me of the MLK weekend storm of 2019…. Slop to start and then heavy heavy rain. To flash freeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Classic 80s storm. Most of those dropped warning snows that 100% melted in the warm sector Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Classic 80s storm. The way it stands right now but at this lead time, I guess I’ll plan on anything from 2-8” before changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Classic 80s storm. The 1980s would be 1-3" washed away completely. I'm hoping this can morph into a 8-10" front ender that gets compacted down to like 5-6" and then FROPA. But these westward trends may not be done yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, dryslot said: That works for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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