TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Edibles? How did I poo poo it? I've been one of the most level headed on here this morning. Isn't it a given it would be better in NNE or far interior? I wouldn’t be spiking any footballs if I were folks up north. If this moves any further west, they’ll be pumping water out of their basements just like the rest of us. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Remember when everyone melted over the NAM last Thursday? Take a deep breath folks. Sure it could cut, but it's not set in stone yet. If it's still going through Scranton at 6z Friday, we can probably meet Ray atop the Tobin. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Edibles? How did I poo poo it? I've been one of the most level headed on here this morning. Isn't it a given it would be better in NNE or far interior? So you think this is going to western NY like the GFS has? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I wouldn’t be spiking any footballs if I were folks up north. If this moves any further west, they’ll be pumping water out of their basements just like the rest of us. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, dryslot said: So you think this is going to western NY like the GFS has? Didnt he say a Euro OP track? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Weird track. The path of least resistance is on either side of that. I still say 80% chance it goes east and is a hugger at best. 20% it just totally blows up and goes to Cleveland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 lol, Who's spiking a ball? Some of you should take a break and come back Friday, Living and dyeing on every GFS run is not healthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Remember when everyone melted over the NAM last Thursday? Take a deep breath folks. Sure it could cut, but it's not set in stone yet. If it's still going through Scranton at 6z Friday, we can probably meet Ray atop the Tobin. It will probably come back east some, but we are getting to the point where we need changes fast, or the big potential is off of the table for sne. That is frustrating...I'm not thinking 60 and 100% rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I wouldn’t be spiking any footballs if I were folks up north. If this moves any further west, they’ll be pumping water out of their basements just like the rest of us. I've learned not to spike footballs when it comes to coastals up here. Getting fringed is always a concern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Didnt he say a Euro OP track? Are you his agent? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 In conclusion: Lot's of model consensus that a big storm is a comin. A zillion model cycles to go. Many possible outcomes. Weenies are shaken, not stirred. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Edibles? How did I poo poo it? I've been one of the most level headed on here this morning. Isn't it a given it would be better in NNE or far interior? You seem shook to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Edibles? How did I poo poo it? I've been one of the most level headed on here this morning. Isn't it a given it would be better in NNE or far interior? You have to be very literal around here and choose words wisely…and that’s still not enough as some will jump down your throat regardless. It’s what makes this place fun and maddening at the same time, sometimes. and I don’t mean Dryslot on you right now…just in general. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: lol, Who's spiking a ball? Some of you should take a break and come back Friday, Living and dyeing on every GFS run is not healthy. You need to remember to take into account backyards. For us southern folk, it's not a single GFS run. It's now basically everything except the ukmet..even the navgem would give SE Mass problems. EPS mean is deceiving imho, most members are no bueno. Of course it can change, but that's where it's at now. So someone in Taunton might be a little on edge about it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It will probably come back east some, but we are getting to the point where we need changes fast, or the big potential is off of the table for sne. That is frustrating...I'm not thinking 60 and 100% rain. I think it might actually go further west....not a lock mind you...but it's becoming more and more supported....all the ensemble sensitivity is still westward. 06z EPS has a lot of members tracking through VT and NY State now. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Had to note that so Jeff doesn’t think I was referring to him, because I wasn’t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Are you his agent? lol I should be getting paid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I think it might actually go further west....not a lock mind you...but it's becoming more and more supported....all the ensemble sensitivity is still westward. 06z EPS has a lot of members tracking through VT and NY State now. I could see that....I just feel like if I said that, I would have gotten jumped. You can get away with it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 21 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Shit libs? Lol ok. We love Ant and I was actually daring wolfie cuz Ant would have: Not you silly boy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I think it might actually go further west....not a lock mind you...but it's becoming more and more supported....all the ensemble sensitivity is still westward. 06z EPS has a lot of members tracking through VT and NY State now. LOL if this turns into a driving rainstorm for NNE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I could see that....I just feel like if I said that, I would have gotten jumped. You can get away with it. Lol same. I see very little in the way of positive model movement over the past two days...direction has been one way only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 This will be FROPA up here. Not a big deal. There will be another threat to latch onto shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, Hazey said: This will be FROPA up here. Not a big deal. There will be another threat to latch onto shortly. Seems to be helping the clipper for some reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 29 minutes ago, dryslot said: A lot of shook people in here, This is setting up to be a blockbuster, Once you have scooter acting like tblizz, Poo pooing everything, You know you're in for a biggie. Over the outer Cape track into GOM. Classic track for some big numbers. 6Z EPS precip track concurs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Lol same. I see very little in the way of positive model movement over the past two days...direction has been one way only. Look at how skewed westward those lows are into interior E PA....we need a pretty big change at 12z or its lights out for a big event....obviously there would be some front end snow (more the further north you go), but a lot of the region would flip 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 26 minutes ago, JC-CT said: shitlibs? Really steve? in a shitty city, too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Look at how skewed westward those lows are into interior E PA....we need a pretty big change at 12z or its lights out for a big event....obviously there would be some front end snow (more the further north you go), but a lot of the region would flip GEPS, which usually has pretty good spread, has like 1 member that doesnt go over land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Lol same. I see very little in the way of positive model movement over the past two days...direction has been one way only. Pretty typical day 5/6 windshield wiper effect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 I'd rather a whiff then this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: You seem shook to me. I already know where it's heading. But given the pattern ahead I'm not shook. You can't win them all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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