weathafella Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: The UK looks nice for the NYC and CT area, but probably a rainstorm for BOS south. No it's snow all the way based on what I see out to 168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, weathafella said: No it's snow all the way based on what I see out to 168 It only goes out to 144. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, 78Blizzard said: It only goes out to 144. SV has it to hr 168. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: It only goes out to 144. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: No it's snow all the way based on what I see out to 168 Yea. UK would be pretty snowy: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I like your stance, I do. I am leaning that way as well. Thanks man. It’s just so early in this evolution. And so much to figure out. I mean look at Friday’s event…how that ran the gamut from soup to nuts..and in the end the sound meteorological ideas won the day for us, regardless of what modeling was trying to sell us. Sure this could cut/fail, but I’m not taking too much too seriously either way(good or bad for winter enthusiasts) until Saturday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, WinterWolf said: Thanks man. It’s just so early in this evolution. And so much to figure out. I mean look at Friday’s event…how that ran the gamut from soup to nuts..and in the end the sound meteorological ideas won the day for us, regardless of what modeling was trying to sell us. Sure this could cut/fail, but I’m not taking too much too seriously either way(good or bad for winter enthusiasts) until Saturday. We just need to keep it within striking distance until about 48hr out…then we pounce on it like a wolf in the wild. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. UK would be pretty snowy: That’s a nice look…we’d all like that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We just need to keep it within striking distance until about 48hr out…then we pounce on it like a wolf in the wild. Lmao..yes, just like that for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, Yankees29 said: In March '94, I was in Pawling, NY (valley location). Temp went from -22 under crystal clear skies to 53 with a driving rainstorm with 20+ southerly winds in 30 hrs (No frozen precip at outset) That was a rare blip in that incredible winter. We had a few snow/sleet flakes/pellets but ultimately also a 50 degree rain. The next day 3 inches of snow (anafrontal?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Would be funny if the euro missed OTS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Would be funny if the euro missed OTS The tendency the last 2 years is it does the opposite of the UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 GEM ensemble mean followed the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Euro 983mb over NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Euro a bit east of 12Z. Low comes over eastern CT/MA. Sort of a SWFE vibe with what appears to want to. triple point. in progress. Good evening folks. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, qg_omega said: Euro 983mb over NYC No it goes just east over LI. NNJ/Westchester actually does ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, weathafella said: No it goes just east over LI. NNJ/Westchester actually does ok. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, weathafella said: Euro a bit east of 12Z. Low comes over eastern CT/MA. Sort of a SWFE vibe with what appears to want to. triple point. in progress. Good evening folks. Didn’t see the precip maps but if it goes from NYC to right over eastern mass that’s a step in the right direction. Still would be rain for my area, but even like 20 miles NW of my area would probably stay snow the whole storm and get a blizzard, rather than being confined to far inland. So far mixed signals, Canadian trended in the wrong direction Euro in the right direction. Models are still struggling with the pattern, hopefully the low doesn’t go inland at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Yeah I was looking at 12Z. Similar but kind of NYC to BOS track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 We need the high pressure to stay rather than move east, I hope that changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 looks good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 EPS closer to OP this run. Runs the low over the Cape into the GOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Nice shift on the 12.00z EPS. Now looking like a big chunk of the forum (sorry AEMATT) with EPS members forecasting extreme snowfall relative to the model climate. The shift of tails hasn't really moved a lot. So this to me says that there is growing consensus for a decent snowfall for the interior, but the really big snow forecasts remain with the farther west members. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 I think we’ll definitely want to see a shift eastward in the 12z suite. Don’t like the idea of a storm tracking into interior NE. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 I think we’ll definitely want to see a shift eastward in the 12z suite. Don’t like the idea of a storm tracking into interior NE. I do! ... just not at this lead time. With the high and blocking in place, is there a definite limit as to how far west this could go? (Could it indeed cut?)At this time I'd prefer a BM track so it could adjust (like we know they always do) NW...Sent from my SM-A505U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Gfs is even more west Night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 06z GFS tracks the low through Scranton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Not looking good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 13 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: 06z GFS tracks the low through Scranton. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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