wxmanmitch Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Eagerly awaiting the first flakes from what looks to be a doozy here. I knew those NAM runs from a couple of days ago were way too warm as it overdoes WAA in storms with strong dynamical cooling processes. It's best with run of the mill SWFEs, but not these storms. The E to SE LLJ slamming into the Greens is a big win, giving my spot the maximum possible upslope assist. Modeling is averaging around 2 inches of QPF here from both the front and back of the storm, pretty much all of it snow. Worst case scenario, there may be some brief mix around the time the occlusion comes through here from the south late morning, early afternoon tomorrow, but the 18z 3-km NAM keeps me all snow and has a max temperature of around 32-33° F before we start getting CAA from the south tomorrow afternoon. Boy do we need this! This is white gold for the ski areas and winter sports around here as it's been a rather anemic winter so far. 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 19F and still dropping. Can’t wait for the rain. This winter blows dead rats. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 10 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: We went there in the Spring when temps were in the 40's, good food there. Yeah. I feel for the employees. Short staffed. Good food. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 It a rare day when I don't want it to snow but being a plow driver with covid right now really has me rooting for rain. All my accounts are in the torrington area. Can anyone tell me if you think all the snow that falls will be washed away at least on paved surfaces? I dont think i can even sit in a plow truck for 30 mins right now never mind my full route that takes about 8 hours. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, WhiteLawns said: It a rare day when I don't want it to snow but being a plow driver with covid right now really has me rooting for rain. All my accounts are in the torrington area. Can anyone tell me if you think all the snow that falls will be washed away at least on paved surfaces? I dont think i can even sit in a plow truck for 30 mins right now never mind my full route that takes about 8 hours. Planning on cleaning up everything on our routes before we get too much rain, don’t like the thought of pushing water/slush mess, we’re all commercial though….. I would probably let residential driveways melt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Johnno said: Planning on cleaning up everything on our routes before we get too much rain, don’t like the thought of pushing water/slush mess, we’re all commercial though….. I would probably let residential driveways melt Yeah I’m only truly worried about my commercial account. Which is a 22 house homeowners association. I do the driveways and the road. It’s a 65 and older community and they have all the time in the world to complain so I have to make sure they are all happy all the time haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 24 minutes ago, WhiteLawns said: It a rare day when I don't want it to snow but being a plow driver with covid right now really has me rooting for rain. All my accounts are in the torrington area. Can anyone tell me if you think all the snow that falls will be washed away at least on paved surfaces? I dont think i can even sit in a plow truck for 30 mins right now never mind my full route that takes about 8 hours. Hope you feel better soon! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 That's a heck of a thump on the GFS here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 32 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said: Eagerly awaiting the first flakes from what looks to be a doozy here. I knew those NAM runs from a couple of days ago were way too warm as it overdoes WAA in storms with strong dynamical cooling processes. It's best with run of the mill SWFEs, but not these storms. The E to SE LLJ slamming into the Greens is a big win, giving my spot the maximum possible upslope assist. Modeling is averaging around 2 inches of QPF here from both the front and back of the storm, pretty much all of it snow. Worst case scenario, there may be some brief mix around the time the occlusion comes through here from the south late morning, early afternoon tomorrow, but the 18z 3-km NAM keeps me all snow and has a max temperature of around 32-33° F before we start getting CAA from the south tomorrow afternoon. Boy do we need this! This is white gold for the ski areas and winter sports around here as it's been a rather anemic winter so far. ALY bumped up totals a bit in SVT. Went from 4-5" earlier here to 12" now. I don't see that happening in the valley. Also some 18-24" in the Stratton zone, this thing is moving pretty quick for 2ft. Seems a liittle aggressive, even if we can add some backside upslope. Going to be interesting to see this how this plays out across the area with all the terrain nuances that will be even more in play than normal with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, backedgeapproaching said: ALY bumped up totals a bit in SVT. Went from 4-5" earlier here to 12" now. I don't see that happening in the valley. Also some 18-24" in the Stratton zone, this thing is moving pretty quick for 2ft. Seems a liittle aggressive, even if we can add some backside upslope. Going to be interesting to see this how this plays out across the area with all the terrain nuances that will be even more in play than normal with this event. Yeah, GYX trimmed back the 18-24 stuff for their zones which I think makes sense. This thing has mixing issues and is hauling ass. Doesn't seem like something with widespread 15"+ totals. I know the idea is 6-7 hours of monstrous rates but we all know a couple hours of that will be spent on spottier stuff like always. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 16/2 currently. I wonder how low we go before reversing direction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: 16/2 currently. I wonder how low we go before reversing direction? 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 NBC30 just expanded the 3-6” range further south in CT and WTNH added a 6”+ for northern Litchfield and northwest Hartford county… maybe we can pull a small positive bust before the deluge following and end with a gain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, Johnno said: NBC30 just expanded the 3-6” range further south in CT and WTNH added a 6”+ for northern Litchfield and northwest Hartford county… maybe we can pull a small positive bust before the deluge following and end with a gain It may not stick around, but every inch counts towards the seasonal total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Anybody have an updated but realistic wind map for tomorrow? About the only thing I'm looking forward to with this POS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 inches and some decent bursts down here in MD. More than I expected, actually. The snow laid on every surface immediately too which is pretty rare here. Usually hours of time and a quarter inch of precip are wasted cooling the fricking earth as millions of precious snowflakes make the ultimate sacrifice. Heavy rain overnight but all snow for now. Pingers in DC though I think. So it's coming. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Are you worried about roof leaks from losing shingles? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Are you worried about roof leaks from losing shingles? Nope. Never lost a single shingle in 17 years on current roof and we just had it (existing) re-roofed with the new addition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 hour ago, wxmanmitch said: Eagerly awaiting the first flakes from what looks to be a doozy here. I knew those NAM runs from a couple of days ago were way too warm as it overdoes WAA in storms with strong dynamical cooling processes. It's best with run of the mill SWFEs, but not these storms. The E to SE LLJ slamming into the Greens is a big win, giving my spot the maximum possible upslope assist. Modeling is averaging around 2 inches of QPF here from both the front and back of the storm, pretty much all of it snow. Worst case scenario, there may be some brief mix around the time the occlusion comes through here from the south late morning, early afternoon tomorrow, but the 18z 3-km NAM keeps me all snow and has a max temperature of around 32-33° F before we start getting CAA from the south tomorrow afternoon. Boy do we need this! This is white gold for the ski areas and winter sports around here as it's been a rather anemic winter so far. Pretty sweet spot to be. Old Dutch Hill should get smoked. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 54 minutes ago, Johnno said: Planning on cleaning up everything on our routes before we get too much rain, don’t like the thought of pushing water/slush mess, we’re all commercial though….. I would probably let residential driveways melt In Torrington? He will have an icy mess if left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 49 minutes ago, WhiteLawns said: Yeah I’m only truly worried about my commercial account. Which is a 22 house homeowners association. I do the driveways and the road. It’s a 65 and older community and they have all the time in the world to complain so I have to make sure they are all happy all the time haha. Damn hope you feel better. No one to fill in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 19 minutes ago, Hoth said: It may not stick around, but every inch counts towards the seasonal total. Set your alarms to wake up and measure before it melts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Down to 9 in Randolph. Can’t argue the airmass that is in place for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Looking forward to the rain to take care of the rancid snow piles remaining. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Full snowcover on my property, not looking forward to losing it. Temperature holding at 21F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 OT- I watch reruns of 'Law & Order' from the 90s and 00s. Filmed on location NYC. Half the time, actual snow or snow on the ground in Manhattan. That did not happen in the 1970s when I lived outside NYC, and it doesn't happen now. Is there a grand cycle, some multi-decadal oscillation, or bad decades for snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 Is it worth it to have a now-cast/Obs thread ? 19/7 ... near full moon dimly visible/halo Fwiw, the 22:27 analysis by WPC gives the impression that the GFS was slightly too aggressive in lowering surface pressure over eastern/central NE... That's 1:33 before 00z, which is perfectly comparative, but is close; it was 2 mb lower over western Ma, and had the center of the high considerable farther east of that ob position. Not sure if that's worth the mention... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Snow has started here. Let's see how long this lasts before turning to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just now, snowman21 said: Snow has started here. Let's see how long this lasts before turning to rain. What’s your temp? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 16 here, just read a forecast saying 8-12 for N ORH Cty. Find that hard to believe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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