PhineasC Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 FWIW, more snow down south than forecast and NWS down here in MD just scrambled to hoist advisories because they say the models were too warm at the onset and more snow is falling than expected. Zero idea if that will keep translating north. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 The coastal flood threat on the Sound is pretty significant. The probabilistic ESTOFS has a median tide of 7.1ft MLLW at New London which is really high for them (highest since Sandy... and before that the last time about 7ft was Hurricane Carol). I'm in Truro for the storm so am pretty stoked to see the wind tomorrow morning at the ocean. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 18 minutes ago, snowgeek said: Euro has more robust low level cold so east winds glide over it and downslope less? . was this Euro another tick or two cooler across the board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EMontpelierWhiteout Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, PhineasC said: FWIW, more snow down south than forecast and NWS down here in MD just scrambled to hoist advisories because they say the models were too warm at the onset and more snow is falling than expected. Zero idea if that will keep translating north. I saw some data that the northern stream energy that will eventually phase with ULL coming up coast may be a little slower and weaker. As I understand it this is driving feature for pulling storm on it’s modeled track. Will be worth seeing if this plays out as eastern trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, EMontpelierWhiteout said: I saw some data that the northern stream energy that will eventually phase with ULL coming up coast may be a little slower and weaker. As I understand it this is driving feature for pulling storm on it’s modeled track. Will be worth seeing if this plays out as eastern trend. What data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Eerie, PA getting obliterated on the 18z hrrr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 18Z HRRR colder at the surface but warmer aloft than 12z for our area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 11:42 AM, CoastalWx said: 60 pgs for a storm going over the baseball hall of fame. good call 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I should change my screen name to Downslopophobia. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Looks like I"ll sleep through the snow--and I get up at 4:30. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Alb just upped amounts in Valley by about an inch. Woot! . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, snowgeek said: Alb just upped amounts in Valley by about an inch. Woot! . This winter we take what we can get 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Congrats, Pete and Mitch. Still snowing in northern Maine at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EMontpelierWhiteout Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 24 minutes ago, JC-CT said: What data? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Congrats to the interior. I am making good effort to not be snarky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 NAM coming in colder for sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 hour ago, CT Rain said: The coastal flood threat on the Sound is pretty significant. The probabilistic ESTOFS has a median tide of 7.1ft MLLW at New London which is really high for them (highest since Sandy... and before that the last time about 7ft was Hurricane Carol). I'm in Truro for the storm so am pretty stoked to see the wind tomorrow morning at the ocean. Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 42 minutes ago, forkyfork said: good call You don't know where it is do you 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 no i don't know how to use google 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: NAM coming in colder for sure Looks warmer to me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Looks warmer to me It is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 lots of meltage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks warmer to me Same here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks warmer to me im looking at the 3k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, dryslot said: It is I mean there a little weenie spot at 850 cooler in the Berks, but 925 and the sfc look the same or a tick warmer. I did see the ptype maps indicate snow holding on briefly longer, but I’m not going to overanalyze ptype maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, dendrite said: I mean there a little weenie spot at 850 cooler in the Berks, but 925 and the sfc look the same or a tick warmer. I did see the ptype maps indicate snow holding on briefly longer, but I’m not going to overanalyze ptype maps. are you looking at the 3k or 12? 3k seems colder to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, ineedsnow said: im looking at the 3k 2m looked warmer on there to me as well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, dendrite said: 2m looked warmer on there to me as well. initially looked colder then later frames did tic warmer seems like a better thump though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 They are. They're slightly warmer aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Looks like the high tries to hold on a bit longer. Similar that the HRRR has had all day . 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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