CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ve prepared for the worst I’ll say 2-4 for you. You may salvage 1-2” slush turning to glacier. So you will keep it I think. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Hrrr is pretty cold. I suppose you should watch the trend, but on the other hand it should warm rapidly south of 84. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Pivotal and TT clowns still giving me 6-12", not factoring in sleet, etc on GFS, Euro, HRRR, Nammie I honestly don't think I know what to fully expect. Could be 3" of snow and a ton of rain, or 9" with some meat added 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Coast FTL. Wish I could fast-forward through this one. Definitely not looking forward to pounding rain and power outages. At least I won't have to deal with the driveway.I'd be happy with 6" but could do away with the rnSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 24 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: I think we have more overs than unders on NWS maps this season. Previous deals like this we typically do 2-3" more than lower valley sections like Amherst and Northampton. I think @HIPPYVALLEY does well and pushes 6" being further north. Weenie mode: engage. Hats off to one of the best gifs on here. That’s a keeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr is pretty cold. I suppose you should watch the trend, but on the other hand it should warm rapidly south of 84. I’m not convinced to expect much of anything at all. What We would need is the rain snow line being expected to flirt with Norwich/Warwick/Foxboro. Sadly this is more than just a couple tweaks away from getting the goods I think. HRRR is tempting but I am having trouble buying it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I bet Foxboro Mansfield area will get 2-4” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Pivotal and TT clowns still giving me 6-12", not factoring in sleet, etc on GFS, Euro, HRRR, Nammie I honestly don't think I know what to fully expect. Could be 3" of snow and a ton of rain, or 9" with some meat added Same here, Could be 3-10", On the fence but the longer we can hold off torching aloft the more snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I bet Foxboro Mansfield area will get 2-4” A similar rain snow line to this happened in a storm in early 2004 once. Mansfield got a mix at the start with just a hint of a coating. Woonsocket got about 1.5 inches of snow before the coup de gras turnover. i think that storm was less significant than this as a whole tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I bet Foxboro Mansfield area will get 2-4” I would take the under on that... maybe they sneak in a 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I bet Foxboro Mansfield area will get 2-4” The Bills just scored again. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’ll say 2-4 for you. You may salvage 1-2” slush turning to glacier. So you will keep it I think. Yeah that’s what I issued yesterday for last call .. 2-4” . If I can keep an inch or two new on top of the 3.5” glacier OTG now, I’ll consider that ok 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah that’s what I issued yesterday for last call .. 2-4” . If I can keep an inch or two new on top of the 3.5” glacier OTG now, I’ll consider that ok It’s gonna be very heavy rain with temps low 40s. Could be Elephant Man pack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I would take the under on that... maybe they sneak in a 2" Yeah 1 maybe 2 if lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I guess this looks pretty reasonable. I’ll take my 3-4” and run. It can be tough to forecast how far west the downsloping effects go. Sometimes it stays east of the Hudson, sometimes it goes pretty far west to the base of the Helderbergs. Often it’s less significant when the cold air dome is underestimated and the East winds goes over there to of the dome. Looks like fun times in Buffalo! I’m going to attempt to drive to Windham tomorrow. Should be a fun drive up the Catskill escarpment. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Pivotal and TT clowns still giving me 6-12", not factoring in sleet, etc on GFS, Euro, HRRR, Nammie I honestly don't think I know what to fully expect. Could be 3" of snow and a ton of rain, or 9" with some meat added Definitely over 3” haha. BOX map looked good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Pivotal and TT clowns still giving me 6-12", not factoring in sleet, etc on GFS, Euro, HRRR, Nammie I honestly don't think I know what to fully expect. Could be 3" of snow and a ton of rain, or 9" with some meat added Exactly how I feel about my backyard!. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I think we have more overs than unders on NWS maps this season. Previous deals like this we typically do 2-3" more than lower valley sections like Amherst and Northampton. I think [mention=919]HIPPYVALLEY[/mention] does well and pushes 6" being further north. Weenie mode: engage.That is the sexiest weenie I’ve ever seen! . 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It’s gonna be very heavy rain with temps low 40s. Could be Elephant Man pack I’m still skeptical of 40’s all day . Could happen, but I’ve lived here long enough to know sometimes the “relative” cold holds the torch at bay in SE CT. I’m thinking a few hours of 35-40 then drop late day . How strong do you think winds will be in your area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 12z ICON is really cold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m still skeptical of 40’s all day . Could happen, but I’ve lived here long enough to know sometimes the “relative” cold holds the torch at bay in SE CT. I’m thinking a few hours of 35-40 then drop late day . How strong do you think winds will be in your area? Prob like 3-4 hours at 40,42 for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Prob like 3-4 hours at 40,42 for you That’s what I’m thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I'm anticipating 1-3 with a net decimation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m still skeptical of 40’s all day . Could happen, but I’ve lived here long enough to know sometimes the “relative” cold holds the torch at bay in SE CT. I’m thinking a few hours of 35-40 then drop late day . How strong do you think winds will be in your area? Probably 50-65 or so. I do wonder if it inverts a bit. Still should be wild between 6-9a. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Models seem to be picking up on some of these colder solutions as we get close in, Looks like the GFS was a tic or two colder too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Probably 50-65 or so. I do wonder if it inverts a bit. Still should be wild between 6-9a. If you rip 65+ he’s coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m still skeptical of 40’s all day . Could happen, but I’ve lived here long enough to know sometimes the “relative” cold holds the torch at bay in SE CT. I’m thinking a few hours of 35-40 then drop late day . How strong do you think winds will be in your area? I agree and that rain Flys by. Thumper looks better for you. An hour or 2 holding off rain will be key. An hour of sleet will help as well. Think surface warmth oversold for you anyway. We know the drill here. I will torch you will briefly hit near 40. Nice snow squall post rain with bottom shelf ULL should give us a half inch on top. Just my opinion 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, ineedsnow said: I accept an outcome of 15" for me. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 hour ago, IowaStorm05 said: Still it’s a little frustrating to see 8 plus totals in litchfield county while a similar latitude of eastern CT gets maybe 1-2 inches. Bro..you gotta understand, it's not just about latitude (or longitude) for this event. The litchfield hills have 750', some places 1000', of elevation on you. In thermally marginal events, the snow totals will look like a terrain map. Just how it is. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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