Stash Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:05 PM, EMontpelierWhiteout said: Anecdotally, I went to school in Schenectady in the late 80s and I remember thinking it was significantly snowier than what I was used to living in Needham, MA through high school. Windier, snowier, colder. Expand When I first moved to the area in the 90s, Alb averaged closer to 67". The last couple of 30 year climate updates have steadily dropped it to around 60 now, while most other northeastern cities have increased their averages. Just a lot of bad luck for them in the 2000s, outside of a few massive storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 8:30 PM, Snowcrazed71 said: You must not be a home owner. Trust me.. You would feel completely different Expand I believe he is a homeowner. So is Kevin who lusts after damage to his home. OTOH I’ll take rain and above freezing any day over zr or a potential loss of power. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:20 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: This whole hot mess of a storm set up, would be a little less irritating to me, if it wasn’t going to be so f**cling cold this weekend. Expand Right? Wash away what's left of the last storm, fine, it would clear off my golf mat and I could fire up the backyard sim again...but nope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:21 PM, weathafella said: I believe he is a homeowner. So is Kevin who lusts after damage to his home. OTOH I’ll take rain and above freezing any day over zr or a potential loss of power. Expand I tried my best kevin impersonation, apparently it went over heads 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Enjoy the storm NNE peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Best spot I see is Buffalo then into Canada of course it can’t be during pats game 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:28 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Best spot I see is Buffalo then into Canada Expand Gonna head west ? Find a chateau with Dilfs in Batavia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:21 PM, weathafella said: I believe he is a homeowner. So is Kevin who lusts after damage to his home. OTOH I’ll take rain and above freezing any day over zr or a potential loss of power. Expand I don’t want my home or any homes damaged. I just want every tree on your property downed 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:29 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Gonna head west ? Find a chateau with Dilfs in Batavia Expand I’m at that point , sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:12 PM, bwt3650 said: You’re in the sweet spot. Pack builder. Expand East flow is my jam. @jculligan will crush too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:30 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’m at that point , sure Expand Actually so am I . Pick me up? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:30 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Actually so am I . Pick me up? Expand George has agreed to be the gimp in the trunk . Iceberg is curios, and ray is Willing to be roofied for a jack pot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:33 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: George has agreed to be the gimp in the trunk . Iceberg is curios, and ray is Willing to be roofied for a jack pot Expand Ray is ready to move to the Carolina’s .. where they icestorm and snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Ginx is gone too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:35 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Ginx is gone too Expand Pigpile drive him away? I'm rippin pounders and cranking some tunes and unwinding. We Untappd. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 ... I was just noticing something interesting...this quasi closing S/W in the deep south, responsible for this event, may never see the Atlantic skies. It rolls up into eastern Canada in most guidance, bi-passing phase entirely ...to where it just opens up and loses identity, decaying into the back ground isohypsic flow. Gone... It's comes into existance as a phase over ~ Kansas, does a parabolic p.o.s. motion, gone. Usually these things trundle on to contribute/evolve into new events down stream. Eerily doing this for one aspect, getting a rain against all cold odds... That's a neat trick LOL 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:38 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Pigpile drive him away? I'm rippin pounders and cranking some tunes and unwinding. We Untappd. Expand Yeah it’s about beer . Always has been and always will. Beer 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:42 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah it’s about beer . Always has been and always will. Beer Expand Beer is good beer is great 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 ratios are going to be trash 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:53 PM, DotRat_Wx said: Beer is good beer is great Expand And dad is good , dad is great , so give us some chocolate cake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:57 PM, forkyfork said: ratios are going to be trash Expand Especially where it goes straight to sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:58 PM, Damage In Tolland said: And dad is good , dad is great , so give us some chocolate cake Expand Call me daddy? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just bothered to look at the 18z GFS sfc evolution... We're not getting much substantive analysis over these disseminations any longerProbably event fatigue as set in. I know I'm hand tossing and done .. But, I can say I doubt this run can happen in reality. It's not going to start commiting to new low in the outer Bite region SSE of L.I., even hinting at closing an isobar, then suddenly ... give up and end up with a 975 mb low N of ALB 4 to 6 hours later. It's more likely to commit less to that new center entirely, or, commit more - but that hopscotch act is less likely. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 11:04 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Just bothered to look at the 18z GFS sfc evolution... We're not getting much substantive analysis over these disseminations any longerProbably event fatigue as set in. I know I'm hand tossing and done .. But, I can say I doubt this run can happen in reality. It's not going to start commiting to new low in the outer Bite region SSE of L.I., even hinting at closing an isobar, then suddenly ... give up and end up with a 975 mb low N of ALB 4 to 6 hours later. It's more likely to commit less to that new center entirely, or, commit more - but that hopscotch act is less likely. Expand Dollars to donuts 18z Euro does that and continues its theme of 2ndary SSE of LI and along south coast crossing elbow of CC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:10 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: The NWS Albany snow maps for NW Berks and S VT seem way overdone based on current model guidance. We shall see. Expand Agreed. My gut says this keeps warming aloft until about 24h out. Then maybe we get a little messenger tickle but most of the damage will be irreversible by then. I think the sfc warmth is overdone in the deep interior though so it wouldn’t surprise me to see some decent icing and sleet too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 11:04 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Just bothered to look at the 18z GFS sfc evolution... We're not getting much substantive analysis over these disseminations any longerProbably event fatigue as set in. I know I'm hand tossing and done .. But, I can say I doubt this run can happen in reality. It's not going to start commiting to new low in the outer Bite region SSE of L.I., even hinting at closing an isobar, then suddenly ... give up and end up with a 975 mb low N of ALB 4 to 6 hours later. It's more likely to commit less to that new center entirely, or, commit more - but that hopscotch act is less likely. Expand Agreed. I hadn’t read this post yet but when I responded to hippy i mentioned the sfc warmth is overdone on some of these runs. I think at minimum a triple point low goes over SE MA or close to there (maybe BOS?). I think the midlevels are cooked though based on the upper air evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 11:10 PM, ORH_wxman said: Agreed. My gut says this keeps warming aloft until about 24h out. Then maybe we get a little messenger tickle but most of the damage will be irreversible by then. I think the sfc warmth is overdone in the deep interior though so it wouldn’t surprise me to see some decent icing and sleet too. Expand I am seeking the overall jackpot. Greedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:53 PM, DotRat_Wx said: Beer is good beer is great Expand What if beer was one of us? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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