78Blizzard Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Final Call on Sunday.. First Call: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/01/first-call-for-major-mess-likely-tuesday.html I would have been more generous to SW CT, as i think they could be in the 6" area with a better thump than the rest of SNE. JMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 30 minutes ago, ariof said: I think that was more of a "no one believes this" but yes it was forecast several days out. The numbers kept going up, I too remember 6-12" the night before (afternoon high of 63) and 10-14" the morning of. I think it took some time to change over on the coast, KBOS only reported 3" on the 31st but MQE had 15". Yeah climo would not suggest 2'+ that time of year. If it happened today this site would mostly be posts about sun angle. As I was driving home on the snowy afternoon of 3/31/97, forecasters in Maine were predicting an SNE paste bomb for the next day. (We were toward the end of 7.5" from a different system.) I'll never again see a positive bust like April 1982. CAR forecast of 20s/windy/flurries the evening of 4/6 turned into 26.3", their biggest on record at the time and still in 4th place. Nice late shift to the west! Sugarloaf 4/17/07 snow has no problem accumulating with a high sun angle if it snows hard enough. Only 5.2" here but also 5" cold RA. 16th had 35/31 with 3.38" precip and 1.2" snow. No surprise the 'Loaf got bombed, especially near the summit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: we had a good snowstorm here last year in mid April it happens I love this pic though 4/17/21 I think 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 17 minutes ago, tamarack said: As I was driving home on the snowy afternoon of 3/31/97, forecasters in Maine were predicting an SNE paste bomb for the next day. (We were toward the end of 7.5" from a different system.) I'll never again see a positive bust like April 1982. CAR forecast of 20s/windy/flurries the evening of 4/6 turned into 26.3", their biggest on record at the time and still in 4th place. Nice late shift to the west! Sugarloaf 4/17/07 snow has no problem accumulating with a high sun angle if it snows hard enough. Only 5.2" here but also 5" cold RA. 16th had 35/31 with 3.38" precip and 1.2" snow. No surprise the 'Loaf got bombed, especially near the summit. Sugarloaf summit snow depth was ridiculously deep. 97" of snow at Sugarloaf summit in April of 2007. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GFS now jumping to the offshore low. That at least locks it in for the interior -- still work to do for the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Interesting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GFS op under CT and to the elbow… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Congrats sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Trying to redevelop the ML center too. But I want to see some more support. No other model looks like that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 hours ago, JC-CT said: I hacked into the FBI's supercomputer and they have a secret weather model that only them, CIA and NSA can access, and you won't believe what it shows: Now do Jan11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GFS has no idea with the meso lows. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 hours ago, JC-CT said: I hacked into the FBI's supercomputer and they have a secret weather model that only them, CIA and NSA can access, and you won't believe what it shows: Golden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Trying to redevelop the ML center too. But I want to see some more support. No other model looks like that. GFS has been lead dog. Can we mimic Jan 11 I need to see that thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Trying to redevelop the ML center too. But I want to see some more support. No other model looks like that. It’s been very steadfast with that idea and ens have agreed . If 18z Euro jumps SE again , think we can give nod to another GFS Win 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: GFS has no idea with the meso lows. It's funny how everyone hated the offshore mesolows on the last storm... but is all about them this storm. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 39 minutes ago, eduggs said: Yup. Miller classification is an oversimplified binary classification system from the 1940s. There's no deep meaning behind it. This was before the satellite era. Meteorological analysis is much more sophisticated these days (outside this forum). Funny I find no better place to discuss. Perhaps you and Rotary Phone Chris can start your own forum 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: GFS has been lead dog. Can we mimic Jan 11 I need to see that thread Climo track is outer Cape. Not HRV which is very rare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, CT Rain said: It's funny how everyone hated the offshore mesolows on the last storm... but is all about them this storm. Look at the GFS lol, good luck figuring that one out. Tomorrow's storm and now this is loaded with convective issues it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angus Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 A few years ago mentioned the tremendous skiing at Wildcat the weekend after that final big dump in April 07 but as they normally do late season they were closing mid-week. All the Wildcat skiing staff couldn't wait to close and drive to SLoaf to ski for the week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Look at the GFS lol, good luck figuring that one out. Tomorrow's storm and now this is loaded with convective issues it seems. I'd take that snowfall map. But, yeah, there's a long way to go with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Interesting "We have all been here before." "Move along, there's nothing to see here." _____________________ The solution has yet to be revealed. I'd go snow to rain coastal plain. Snow to mix to rain out to Rt128. Snow to mix back to snow outside 495. SAFE BET...ATT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Snow eater storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Climo track is outer Cape. Not HRV which is very rare Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: It's funny how everyone hated the offshore mesolows on the last storm... but is all about them this storm. So you're saying its going to track further west than modeled once it doesn't chase the offshore mesolows? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: So you're saying its going to track further west than modeled once it doesn't chase the offshore mesolows? he's commenting on the psychology of the forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: he's commenting on the psychology of the forum I know. And I'm commenting on the fact that for the last storm, the models chased convection/mesolows, but in reality the system didn't and ended up further northwest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Trying to redevelop the ML center too. But I want to see some more support. No other model looks like that. Disregarded for now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Kev must have early onset dementia...always disoriented. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Disregarded for now. The Jan 05th for Jan 11 2011 thread is a total hoot. The more things change the more they stay the same. Funny comment from Ryan, chastised Mike Wankum for putting out totals 60 hrs before. Now that has certainly changed from the top down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 11 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: So you're saying its going to track further west than modeled once it doesn't chase the offshore mesolows? I'm not sure it makes a huge difference south of the Pike... but farther north if you do have a mesolow or some weakness offshore you might be able to hold some boundary layer chill a bit longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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