40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:15 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah ...the reference to those dates wasn't in deference/context that way - ..interesting interpretation, tho - It was written in black and what 'medium to major,' first, in bold, and that impact was 'TBD' The references to those dates was not a context for assigning this one as analogs. No - Like I said.. .whatever - I think the bigger aspect of interest is that those sentiments originally put forth are still where we are at some 70 page later - that's funny. Expand Nothing wrong with your original post, frustration not withstanding. It was actually some stellar, spot on analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:15 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah ...the reference to those dates wasn't in deference/context that way - ..interesting interpretation, tho - It was written in black and what 'medium to major,' first, in bold, and that impact was 'TBD' The references to those dates was not a context for assigning to this one, those as analogs. No - Like I said.. .whatever - I think the bigger aspect of interest is that those sentiments originally put forth are still where we are at some 70 page later - that's funny. Expand Fair enough Tip…it’s all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:16 PM, FXWX said: Too many folks are so busy comparing the minor nuisances of every 6-hour model run that they don't take the time to read and comprehend a very clear-cut statement! Nothing in your original headline & post suggested you were screaming "here comes the monster"... Expand Aside from some weenie PTSD derived superstition about when to start threads.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 top CIPS analog is Feb 2014, but #2 was a big rainer for sne (12/26-27/2012) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:10 PM, dryslot said: Almost looks to be making two camps, Those ones to the west in PA and a cluster over western LI and east. Expand By Sunday, this could look completely different than our first ideas from Tuesday of a bonafide Miller A as we know them. This thing seems to be mutating into something different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:20 PM, WinterWolf said: By Sunday, this could look completely different than our first ideas from Tuesday of a bonafide Miller A as we know them. This thing seems to be mutating into something different. Expand it's still a miller A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 That won't change, Where it ends up tracking TBD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:20 PM, JC-CT said: it's still a miller A Expand Technically, yea. The N stream phases into the back side of the trough, which tilts it negative and slings the s stream SW up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:23 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Technically, yea. The N stream phases into the back side of the trough, which tilts it negative and slings the s stream SW up the coast. Expand I suppose depending on how much phasing there is, you could call it a hybrid. the closed off low in georgia screams miller a though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:06 PM, ORH_wxman said: EPS spread actually increased from 06z which is weird when you get closer. Expand I take the greter dispersion as a positive. There's that small cluster to the east that are catching (or missing) something. While everyone else is asleep, Jerry can keep an eye on the 00z EPS to see if this is shot over the bow that things will be coming east. Or it's a hiccup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:26 PM, JC-CT said: I suppose depending on how much phasing there is, you could call it a hybrid. the closed off low in georgia screams miller a though Expand Agree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:19 PM, JC-CT said: top CIPS analog is Feb 2014, but #2 was a big rainer for sne (12/26-27/2012) Expand Here are the notes from my log for that storm: 02/13/14 10” Part 1 of a massive storm. Incredible WCB crushed us with 2+ inches per hour in a.m., then a tad of sleet just before dry slot. Cold dome was retreating into N Atlantic with track tight to coast amazing we didn’t change over, ended by noon. We did about as good as anyone. Big win for power of UVVs. 02/14/14 3” Really part II of yesterday’s storm. ULL came up from VA just to our west. Many reports of Tstorms in our area. Huge totals to our west. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:19 PM, JC-CT said: top CIPS analog is Feb 2014, but #2 was a big rainer for sne (12/26-27/2012) Expand I feel like both of those did well here. I remember 12/26/2012 well. We got around 12" of heavy snow. I pretty sure it got destroyed by a January thaw. Man I wish the second half of that winter could walk through our door! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:30 PM, Go Kart Mozart said: Here are the notes from my log for that storm: 02/13/14 10” Part 1 of a massive storm. Incredible WCB crushed us with 2+ inches per hour in a.m., then a tad of sleet just before dry slot. Cold dome was retreating into N Atlantic with track tight to coast amazing we didn’t change over, ended by noon. We did about as good as anyone. Big win for power of UVVs. 02/14/14 3” Really part II of yesterday’s storm. ULL came up from VA just to our west. Many reports of Tstorms in our area. Huge totals to our west. Expand Looks like you were blinded by the light, Wrapped up like a deuce another runner in the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:38 PM, dryslot said: Looks like you were blinded by the light, Wrapped up like a deuce another runner in the night. Expand Without looking it up...who wrote that song? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:19 PM, JC-CT said: top CIPS analog is Feb 2014, but #2 was a big rainer for sne (12/26-27/2012) Expand NO shit - something in 2012 hot syringed testicles? ..haha 2012 man. ho man. That is bar none, numero uno ( like saying it in another language makes it even more so, right -) the worst f Jan -Mar in history. The only thing that ( sorta ) redeems that Turkish prison sentence of a winter is that October 30 waste of clown space storm. As amazing as that was, any winter enthusiasts out there NOT willing to trade that p.o.s. in for a better January two.5 months later? 'Course, I'm a little biased against the Octo-bomb because I have a personal fetish about NOT losing power for any reason - but that's just me. Which I did for a week. What made that rub particularly chaffing is that since I am the last person an a 10,000 service trunk, I was of course by dumb f'n CD luck, right next door to a trunk that did not lose power that long. I spent 4 day in dark cold, while musics and light, and the aromas of dinner cooked within plain sight. I will never forgive 2011-2012 for weather. But... on a personal note ( LOL ) I was able to play disk golf every weekend Jan and Feb, in cargo shorts and light sweat shirt. Open fairways ... not bugs... now over grown prickly shit in the fields. Lots of light wind.. It was a utopia for that sport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:37 PM, GCWarrior said: I feel like both of those did well here. I remember 12/26/2012 well. We got around 12" of heavy snow. I pretty sure it got destroyed by a January thaw. Man I wish the second half of that winter could walk through our door! Expand Yeah I was driving SYR-BOS the day before that and had to leave early to make sure I didn't get caught in it. From various notes, logs and memories it stayed mostly snow NW of a LEB-IZG line. The wikipedia page for that is mostly about the severe wx down south, but has a nice shot of the satellite. Looks like it was over TN, so it must have bounced east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:42 PM, Go Kart Mozart said: Without looking it up...who wrote that song? Expand Manfred Manns Earth Band was who played it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:27 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Agree. Expand Speaking of weenie PTSD. People hating on Miller A or B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:44 PM, dryslot said: Manfred Manns Earth Band was who played it Expand They had a popular version...but it is a Springsteen song. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:44 PM, dryslot said: Manfred Manns Earth Band was who played it Expand Springsteen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcostell Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:42 PM, Go Kart Mozart said: Without looking it up...who wrote that song? Expand The Boss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:43 PM, Typhoon Tip said: NO shit - something in 2012 hot syringed testicle? ..haha. Expand Just a couple days after that one is one my all time favorite storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:44 PM, Ginx snewx said: Speaking of weenie PTSD. People hating on Miller A or B Expand Fully endorse Ray's annoyance of Miller A. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:45 PM, Go Kart Mozart said: They had a popular version...but it is a Springsteen song. Expand On 1/13/2022 at 7:46 PM, Ginx snewx said: Springsteen Expand Not a big fan of his. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:38 PM, dryslot said: Looks like you were blinded by the light, Wrapped up like a deuce another runner in the night. Expand Isn't it revved up like a deuce.? Meaning a 50s street rod 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 we have to endure a bitterly cold Saturday beforehand, and then we get taken to the woodshed. I wanted a Miller A, like Ginxy said be careful what you wish for . On 1/12/2022 at 2:26 PM, JC-CT said: available Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:46 PM, CoastalWx said: Fully endorse Ray's annoyance of Miller A. Expand 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:47 PM, Ginx snewx said: Isn't it revved up like a deuce.? Meaning a 50s street rod Expand Could be, Just off the top of my head, Did not look up the lyrics, Most people thought when they heard that song he was saying dutche instead of deuce....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 7:47 PM, Ginx snewx said: 2015 Expand no way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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