40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I'm officially out on a really tasty solution. I expect like 3-5" here and then a flip to rain and slot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: 60 pgs for a storm going over the baseball hall of fame. Is that a forecast, sir? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 23 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks like tic tac toe at the surface trying to decide which SLP to go with. we just need a little redevelopment to keep us cold and snowing I think, at least beyond the qpf bomb thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, JC-CT said: Is that a forecast, sir? He’s not a forecaster anymore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, JC-CT said: Is that a forecast, sir? Sound like Kevin. No, but I would not rule it out lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: I think we can now safely say that the 06z GEFS were bunk. It was pretty to look at though. take the average of the 6z eps and 12zgefs and lean it west towards the UK and GGEM and that is our new status quo. The Euro then gets to decide the 12Z average outcome, and then onto 18Z. Still a ways to go and to trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm officially out on a really tasty solution. I expect like 3-5" here and then a flip to rain and slot. Not impossible that east winds erode things earlier than anticipated and we rain early 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 60 pgs for a storm going over the baseball hall of fame. You really think it's going to go that far inland ? I'm thinking a coastal hugger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Not impossible that east winds erode things earlier than anticipated and we rain early Yea, correction vector is worse, not better. This is not going to be a good event...no doubt in my mind anymore. I think max zones in SNE are like 4-8" 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, correction vector is worse, not better. This is not going to be a good event...no doubt in my mind anymore. I think max zones in SNE are like 4-8" Maybe the northern berks do better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Maybe the northern berks do better 5-10"? No one in MA, CT, RI sees a foot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, correction vector is worse, not better. This is not going to be a good event...no doubt in my mind anymore. I think max zones in SNE are like 4-8" Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: 5-10"? No one in MA, CT, RI sees a foot. Berks are going to do just fine! I'll send some pics of my morning commute Tuesday through Savoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, GCWarrior said: Berks are going to do just fine! I'll send some pics of my morning commute Tuesday through Savoy. I salute you......Fiyayyyaaaaaaaaaaaa!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, GCWarrior said: Berks are going to do just fine! I'll send some pics of my morning commute Tuesday through Savoy. Do you commute RT 2 through Savoy pass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 5-10"? No one in MA, CT, RI sees a foot. models seem to show >1" qpf across Berks/ NW MA, you'd think with east winds some spots will clean up. Assuming the low doesn't cut farther west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Not seeing much movement in modeling over the last day that makes this anything more meaningful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Do you commute RT 2 through Savoy pass? I love my job so I don't mind the commute. I drive route 2 to Charlemont, 8A to Plainfield and 116 to some back roads to Lanesborough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 My guess is Berks and nrn ORH do fine with deep erly flow. They'll thump and then slot with maybe some drizzle. Doing fine is relative, but solid 5-8 near Dave certainly is plausible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Do you commute RT 2 through Savoy pass? 116 is south of Route 2 and doesn't have the same elevation. But Savoy is up over 1800' feet in most spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 When is the next lip and hips next event? 1/23? I'm over this- 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 10 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Maybe the northern berks do better Welp...JMA is now on board for an inland hugger so all hope is lost for off land track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 This looks like it maxes out over NE pa then weakens . Isnt the initial thump going to Peter out as It reaches North of pike and Cne or not really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Not buying it stays nearly all snow in central NH with a track nearly up the CT river valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, GCWarrior said: I love my job so I don't mind the commute. I drive route 2 to Charlemont, 8A to Plainfield and 116 to some back roads to Lanesborough. Wow, hero commute in the winter! Any Sasquatch sightings? I know those roads and that is some remote territory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: When is the next lip and hips next event? 1/23? I'm over this- Think he had some lips n hips this morning after the outlier 6z GEFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Wow, hero commute in the winter! Any Sasquatch sightings? I know those roads and that is some remote territory. I drive a Subaru with a stick and snow tires. My drive to work is more fun than anything else! I don't see much in the morning, some times deer and local cops. That is about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 13 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: This looks like it maxes out over NE pa then weakens . Isnt the initial thump going to Peter out as It reaches North of pike and Cne or not really Yea, too many issues....I have learned to let ones like this go a far as expectations. When you need a venn diagram to map out your path to heavy snow, its probably best to not pin your expectations to big amounts. "We need this lobe to trend weaker, this one stronger so that these phase later, and tracks east, and that occludes slower"...blah, I'd rather sit on a piranha. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: When is the next lip and hips next event? 1/23? I'm over this- It's been showing up for quite awhile, and last night the numerical representation of the telecon likes the 19th -24th. There is a bit of flex in the PNA with modestly neg NAO tending modulate back up - It's beyond the free EPS sites vision though, and the individual GEF members are all over the map. Icon hints strongly fwiw Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Hear me out though... What if? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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