JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 LFG 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 3:13 PM, dryslot said: Its on. Expand lol. Just need to get those mid-level goodies slightly further SE on a BGM to BTV arc and we'll be in business. Just need to keep getting away from that split conveyor belts and have some big deformation band arcing from PA in NNE. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 3:47 PM, powderfreak said: lol. Just need to get those mid-level goodies slightly further SE on a BGM to BTV arc and we'll be in business. Just need to keep getting away from that split conveyor belts and have some big deformation band arcing from PA in NNE. Expand That distribution is worthy of a Ray mortal combat knockout. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Ray would love that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 3:50 PM, CoastalWx said: Ray would love that. Expand most of the sub would love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 3:50 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: That distribution is worthy of a Ray mortal combat knockout. Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 3:13 PM, dryslot said: Its on. Expand It's (ic)on 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GFS looks a bit more suppressed than 06z on the heights out ahead of it at 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 3:36 PM, dryslot said: So around 12:45?. Expand your icon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 3:52 PM, ORH_wxman said: GFS looks a bit more suppressed than 06z on the heights out ahead of it at 48 hours. Expand Yeah definitely on a flatter trajectory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 3:53 PM, JC-CT said: Yeah definitely on a flatter trajectory Expand Only potential "negative" is the southern stream is a tick slower....so that could cause it to make up ground a bit later...but the heights are definitely noticeably lower over NE, so I think that hopefully ends up causing a less amped solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 3:54 PM, ORH_wxman said: Only potential "negative" is the southern stream is a tick slower....so that could cause it to make up ground a bit later...but the heights are definitely noticeably lower over NE, so I think that hopefully ends up causing a less amped solution. Expand I see that too. Lets get that STS to get the confluence going to our northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Barring a wholesale shift offshore... the retreating high and prolonged easterly flow is going to make it challenging to get >6" of snow south of the Pike. Even if you did track this thing over HVN-BOS for many it's heavy snow to heavy rain. I think a reasonable "best case scenario" for the I-84 corridor is like 3-6 or 4-8" followed by heavy rain. If the entire thing gets shunted offshore then we do better but that seems unlikely right now. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 3:53 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: your icon... Expand Ha no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 3:57 PM, CT Rain said: Barring a wholesale shift offshore... the retreating high and prolonged easterly flow is going to make it challenging to get >6" of snow south of the Pike. Even if you did track this thing over HVN-BOS for many it's heavy snow to heavy rain. I think a reasonable "best case scenario" for the I-84 corridor is like 3-6 or 4-8" followed by heavy rain. If the entire thing gets shunted offshore then we do better but that seems unlikely right now. Expand Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 3:57 PM, CT Rain said: Barring a wholesale shift offshore... the retreating high and prolonged easterly flow is going to make it challenging to get >6" of snow south of the Pike. Even if you did track this thing over HVN-BOS for many it's heavy snow to heavy rain. I think a reasonable "best case scenario" for the I-84 corridor is like 3-6 or 4-8" followed by heavy rain. If the entire thing gets shunted offshore then we do better but that seems unlikely right now. Expand Why does that seem unlikely based on the massive SE shifts we are already seeing today ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Stay high, stay high...and get high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 shunt, you cu...cumber sandwich 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 3:47 PM, powderfreak said: lol. Just need to get those mid-level goodies slightly further SE on a BGM to BTV arc and we'll be in business. Just need to keep getting away from that split conveyor belts and have some big deformation band arcing from PA in NNE. Expand It's kind of an odd deep/total layer evolution... It's attempting to capture and stall for 3 hours over Mt Wachusett... Don't normally see system perform pirouette at that location but the whole of this thing has got its peccadillo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 2:48 PM, ORH_wxman said: NY State...even if this ticks east some it will be in NY State probably....since the western solutions are in SE Ontario to near MSS....lol. Expand I am used to big defom bands in VT and NYS. That seems inevitable with this one. But still, if it trends east a bit more and head over the Cape, I would think the big nw to se very heavy band that Chris describes will start to pivot/rotate while areas s and e will dry slot. Is that scenario reasonably possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Still looks like a similar outcome, maybe a bit slower than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Closed contour over RI at the surface looks about the same as 06z maybe a bit colder as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Multiple secondary lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 4:01 PM, mahk_webstah said: I am used to big defom bands in VT and NYS. That seems inevitable with this one. But still, if it trends east a bit more and head over the Cape, I would think the big nw to se very heavy band that Chris describes will start to pivot/rotate while areas s and e will dry slot. Is that scenario reasonably possible? Expand Gotta take your QPF bomb this time and like it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 This runs close to all snow here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 East 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 4:04 PM, dendrite said: Gotta take your QPF bomb this time and like it. Expand Thank you sir, may I have another? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 4:05 PM, dryslot said: This runs close to all snow here. Expand She movin’ pretty quick too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Heavy snow to slot . Ends as drizzle . Huge net gain to increase the pack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Best run here in the last several cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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