CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Beer? Run. Haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Gfs op still sucked south of pike even inland. I wouldn’t lose my wad to that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: I’ll still scold you. The op euro is not all that good now…period. Not saying it’s always wrong, but it’s not anything like it used to be. Caves all the time like a wet piece of paper. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: The gfs op had had short term busts too. Whatever models show the most snow, weenie will hump. We’re at least back to familiar territory with gefs on the se side of the envelope. Unfortunately it’s not far enough because even a 50/50 compromise, which is being generous, would send this up the Hudson along with Ant’s squad car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs op still sucked south of pike even inland. I wouldn’t lose my wad to that. How very graphic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 We have a long ways to go, Were not even into the end of the meso range yet up here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs op still sucked south of pike even inland. I wouldn’t lose my wad to that. Porn? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 We plan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Think about this. The GFS was the first one that made its way inland. The Euro followed behind slowly. Now the GFS is heading back east. Watch the trends of the Euro follow suite. Just saying 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 IT FINALLY RAN! sort of. But that is very...south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Why does everyone like the eps ? It's not God. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Why does everyone like the eps ? It's not God. It’s a tool in the toolbox… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Why does everyone like the eps ? It's not God. Because in general it’s better than the GEFS. Too many weenies using anecdotal evidence. I will say the GEFS have done better long term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 This will be a entertaining day 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Ugh ugly runs overnight. Starting to look beyond. Not much past this storm on the models BUT we are heading into the good pattern depicted on the ensembles. We wait. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 People used to say that the models, especially the Euro, would hold back energy in the southwest too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Fish storm tomorrow, arctic cold then maybe snow, but probably rain end of the weekend. WONDERFUL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, Cold Miser said: Fish storm tomorrow, arctic cold then maybe snow, but probably rain end of the weekend. WONDERFUL. See, this is why people pick the snowiest model. Maybe the weekend will suck, but at least they'd be happy NOW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 43 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Chris had interesting points like last regarding recon flights sampling the pacific shortwave which would start showing up on the gefs. The stronger it is, the more likely members are off the coast and not inland. The 00z ensembles were really sensitive to the northern stream this time around. So that was what was really bullying the low pressure locations overnight. So some combination of weaker northern stream or stronger southern stream would be helpful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 No matter the outcome pretty happy I was able to identify Mon Tuesday as a major 16 days ago. Sometimes you just see the face. Next up the 22nd 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 06z EPS was a bit east of the 0z EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: The 00z ensembles were really sensitive to the northern stream this time around. So that was what was really bullying the low pressure locations overnight. So some combination of weaker northern stream or stronger southern stream would be helpful. Wait, so the opposite of what Tip said? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, dryslot said: 06z EPS was a bit east of the 0z EPS. This is still what I favor as a final track FWIW. Somewhere over CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Difflock Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 NOAA saying 39° and rain monday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: 06z EPS was a bit east of the 0z EPS. Yep right over NYC Coastal hugger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: No matter the outcome pretty happy I was able to identify Mon Tuesday as a major 16 days ago. Sometimes you just see the face. Next up the 22nd This will always been known as the Ginxy storm, even if most of this sub forum gets grinched while buffalo gets 50". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: This is still what I favor as a final track FWIW. Somewhere over CT. CHH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: CHH Maybe, but it's not what I'm favoring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 EPS coming back east some too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Probably a compromise eps gefs is the best status quo. With a lean towards the other guidance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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