ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:13 PM, dryslot said: Friday looks to be helping this out, More confluence to the north early on. Expand Yeah it was pretty clear early on that the Friday system was hanging back and slower to exit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Gfs verbatim would thump here pretty good to start 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:13 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Here’s the thing.. the farther west it snows Friday , the more this shifts Monday east Expand Let's get 4-8" back to ALB then. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 a miss to the east followed by a sou'easter. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:14 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it was pretty clear early on that the Friday system was hanging back and slower to exit. Expand Yes its right over my head so that helped it out, Lets keep that look going, At least try to get this back to at least a hugger with the low on the coast not to BGM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:15 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Gfs verbatim would thump here pretty good to start Expand And it's zipping thru so any rain is hard but short. DISCLAIMER: this is not a forecast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:16 PM, dryslot said: Yes its right over my head so that helped it out, Lets keep that look going, At least try to get this back to at least a hugger with the low on the coast not to BGM. Expand I think that is very doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:15 PM, forkyfork said: a miss to the east followed by a sou'easter. lol Expand Gonna b rough down in jersey. You should discuss it with them so as to provide comfort 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:16 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: And it's zipping thru so any rain is hard but short. DISCLAIMER: this is not a forecast Expand Make sure you add the disclaimers ha ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:17 PM, mahk_webstah said: Gonna b rough down in jersey. You should discuss it with them so as to provide comfort Expand Was hoping no one would acknowledge. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:17 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think that is very doable. Expand Scooter does not in met text group Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:15 PM, forkyfork said: a miss to the east followed by a sou'easter. lol Expand must be a slow day for your nonsense in the off topic threads??? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:17 PM, mahk_webstah said: Gonna b rough down in jersey. You should discuss it with them so as to provide comfort Expand has the benchmark moved to saranac lake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:17 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think that is very doable. Expand I do too and have held my ground, No one should be jumping ship as it looked early this morning, Maybe some was in jest, But i know some were not, Christ its the GFS, It sucks at coastal's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:17 PM, dryslot said: Make sure you add the disclaimers ha ha Expand ha, yup. It's vital during these emotionally challenged times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:18 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Scooter does not in met text group Expand No reason to doubt a LI to cape/far se MA track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:16 PM, dryslot said: Yes its right over my head so that helped it out, Lets keep that look going, At least try to get this back to at least a hugger with the low on the coast not to BGM. Expand The dual low is rough here. 12z GFS keeps that primary trucking towards Watertown with great mid-level lift west of that… then there’s the low level jet that breaks off and follows the secondary low up the coast. Nice 7-10 split here. Be interesting to see if we can get the coastal more organized with conveyors instead of just a WCB low level blast of SE flow then dry slot. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:19 PM, forkyfork said: has the benchmark moved to saranac lake Expand Has New Jersey moved to New England? 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:19 PM, dryslot said: I do too and have held my ground, No one should be jumping ship as it looked early this morning, Maybe some was in jest, But i know some were not, Christ its the GFS, It sucks at coastal's. Expand I'll want to see EPS shift east a some today...there was a good cluster of members as far west as the GFS on the 06z EPS run. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:21 PM, powderfreak said: The dual low is rough here. 12z GFS keeps that primary trucking towards Watertown with great mid-level lift west of that… then there’s the low level jet that breaks off and follows the secondary low up the coast. Nice 7-10 split here. Be interesting to see if we can get the coastal more organized with conveyors instead of just a WCB low level blast of SE flow then dry slot. Expand Starting to think NE maybe be best with that look....def getting SWFE like, as the primary runs into the confluence behind that departing ocean low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 The coastal flooding could be pretty wild with this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:20 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: No reason to doubt a LI to cape/far se MA track. Expand Agreed. It probably crosses CHH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:21 PM, JC-CT said: Has New Jersey moved to New England? Expand He may think it is...... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:22 PM, ORH_wxman said: I'll want to see EPS shift east a some today...there was a good cluster of members as far west as the GFS on the 06z EPS run. Expand Yes For sure, Definitely don't want to see more going west at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:23 PM, weatherwiz said: The coastal flooding could be pretty wild with this. Expand And wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:21 PM, powderfreak said: The dual low is rough here. 12z GFS keeps that primary trucking towards Watertown with great mid-level lift west of that… then there’s the low level jet that breaks off and follows the secondary low up the coast. Nice 7-10 split here. Be interesting to see if we can get the coastal more organized with conveyors instead of just a WCB low level blast of SE flow then dry slot. Expand Shift that all to the east some, Plenty of time for more changes, The one on friday will play a big role in this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 For the nor’easter last December the models had the low cutting to Wisconsin at one point with a massive rainstorm in the east. I ended up with around 15 inches in that one with areas NW getting even more (Binghamton NY got 40+ I believe). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Maybe we can get some January spinners with the deep southerly flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 @George001Costanza...how's the new navy look? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 4:20 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: No reason to doubt a LI to cape/far se MA track. Expand I think it still looks shitty verbatim, but I am biased by locale obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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