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Jan 14-15th Hybrid Winter Storm


Chicago Storm
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54 minutes ago, Chambana said:

0.1” snowfall total on the season will do this to you. 

.2" here and think that was kind of a stretch, plus a trace in December. If we don't get anything by Valentines day I'll be ready to move onto Spring, which is when I'll get denied that wish and tormented with snows that last 3 days. I would take another Palm Sunday snow like the one several years ago. 17.5" and gone by Good Friday.

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1 hour ago, chuckster2012 said:

What is the purpose of this thread? I see no model support.

was pretty much on all 12 Z models and coming and going since yesterday:

LOT AFD:

A SECOND AND STRONGER CLIPPER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN LATE   
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW ACROSS THE AREA.   
GUIDANCE IS IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE PRECIPITATION COVERAGE WITH   
A STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW, BUT THE TIMING AND   
TRACK OF THE LOW REMAINS UNCERTAIN. THE EURO AND CANADIAN BRING THE   
LOW INTO THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING AND EXITING SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH   
THE GFS BRINGING IT THROUGH LATE IN THE EVENING AND EXITING IT   
SATURDAY EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE ONCE AGAIN LOOKING TO BE   
BELOW FREEZING INDICATING AN ALL SNOW EVENT WITH DECENT SNOW   
ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.

 

Quad Cities:

FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...  
  
PERIOD WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED IN SUBSEQUENT FORECAST PACKAGES.   
THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT OF ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA,   
ESPECIALLY IN EASTERN IOWA AND NORTHWEST ILLINOIS. 

Indy:

ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY TOWARD NEXT WEEKEND   
WITH SEVERAL VARIATIONS OF SHORTWAVE AMPLITUDE AND TIMING. THE   
MOST LIKELY PERIOD FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT AND   
SATURDAY WHEN MOST OF THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SHOW A DEEPER MORE   
AMPLIFIED TROUGH AND SUFFICIENT MOISTURE. THERMAL PROFILES WOULD   
SUPPORT ALL SNOW.

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1 hour ago, Baum said:

was pretty much on all 12 Z models and coming and going since yesterday:

LOT AFD:

A SECOND AND STRONGER CLIPPER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN LATE   
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW ACROSS THE AREA.   
GUIDANCE IS IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE PRECIPITATION COVERAGE WITH   
A STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW, BUT THE TIMING AND   
TRACK OF THE LOW REMAINS UNCERTAIN. THE EURO AND CANADIAN BRING THE   
LOW INTO THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING AND EXITING SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH   
THE GFS BRINGING IT THROUGH LATE IN THE EVENING AND EXITING IT   
SATURDAY EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE ONCE AGAIN LOOKING TO BE   
BELOW FREEZING INDICATING AN ALL SNOW EVENT WITH DECENT SNOW   
ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.

 

Quad Cities:

FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...  
  
PERIOD WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED IN SUBSEQUENT FORECAST PACKAGES.   
THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT OF ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA,   
ESPECIALLY IN EASTERN IOWA AND NORTHWEST ILLINOIS. 

Indy:

ENSEMBLE SPREAD GROWS CONSIDERABLY TOWARD NEXT WEEKEND   
WITH SEVERAL VARIATIONS OF SHORTWAVE AMPLITUDE AND TIMING. THE   
MOST LIKELY PERIOD FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT AND   
SATURDAY WHEN MOST OF THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SHOW A DEEPER MORE   
AMPLIFIED TROUGH AND SUFFICIENT MOISTURE. THERMAL PROFILES WOULD   
SUPPORT ALL SNOW.

i know this but why is it called a hybrid storm? Just a moderately strong clipper.

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42 minutes ago, chuckster2012 said:

i know this but why is it called a hybrid storm? Just a moderately strong clipper.

not sure the title. But a non pro viewpoint would be some of the models show an almost north to south movement of this system which is quite unique for your normal clipper type systems.

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Lol 0z gfs just hits a wall in along the MS River. It's like done in IL. Still many days out and not getting caught up in run to run solutions. Hopefully this one won't trend to crap like our last system did. Clippers or in this case a hybrid clipper tend to perform better around here. Track can be extra finicky with clippers this far out. I expect to see plenty of shifts all week. Energy for this storm way out by Hawaii. 

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:weenie::weenie:maybe we should be rooting for this to keep diving in further west to give it enough space and time to allow the piece behind it to phase in.  Meanwhile the northeast confluence weakens, the SER flexes, the trough goes negative over the gulf states, and a monster emerges. :weenie::weenie:

Although what would actually happen is another MECS.:arrowhead: 

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