brianc33710 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 hours ago, Sandstorm94 said: Newest frame, moving due east on the coastline Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk That's typically an almost ideal Low Pressure center for snowstorms in Cen AL. But obviously things can change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianc33710 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Also, has anyone else noticed the snow/ice storm all the way down to the Gulf Coast GFS has forecast for the end of January? Obviously thats a ways off. BUT, this shows Baton Rouge & Savannah would get 17", Meridian 16", Biloxi/Gulfport 15" of snow lol. That would probably take a bitterly cold airmass to make this happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Also, has anyone else noticed the snow/ice storm all the way down to the Gulf Coast GFS has forecast for the end of January? Obviously thats a ways off. BUT, this shows Baton Rouge & Savannah would get 17", Meridian 16", Biloxi/Gulfport 15" of snow lol. That would probably take a bitterly cold airmass to make this happen. You used the total snowfall so that is the max from the entire run (and includes sleet), these are the totals from that storm at the end of the month Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Also, has anyone else noticed the snow/ice storm all the way down to the Gulf Coast GFS has forecast for the end of January? Obviously thats a ways off. BUT, this shows Baton Rouge & Savannah would get 17", Meridian 16", Biloxi/Gulfport 15" of snow lol. That would probably take a bitterly cold airmass to make this happen.Yes, that along with other upcoming storm threats are being talked about in the Long Range thread. This is just for this storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianc33710 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: You used the total snowfall so that is the max from the entire run (and includes sleet), these are the totals from that storm at the end of the month Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Gotcha! So that would mean a foot of sleet that far south? Ill let this go as this isnt the thread for this. Thanks for clarifying that @AirNelson39 ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Gotcha! So that would mean a foot of sleet that far south?That is purely snow, Savannah would get nothing but .71" of ice from that system. That is the thing about Tropical Tidbits, it is limited on what is available due to it being free to use, whereas cites like Weatherbell that need a subscription offer more detailed products.Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 850’s still doing a little better than forecasted for this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Low deepening and starting a much more northerly jog, as expected. The mountains are just going to get hammered with this amount of moisture. Wouldn't be surprised if someone ended up with 20 inches. Really wish we headed up to Beech, as we considered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 An ATL-based meteorologist suspects the backside of the system might overperform in AL/GA tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Chris Justus here in Greenville already saying the initial band of snow incoming is over performing. He’s nota ready to up his totals, but leaving the door open to doing so.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Latest HRRR is nowhere close to current radar and ground reports. Much larger precip shield and lots of snow in places showing as a mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I see the hrrr still looks good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 hour ago, buckeyefan1 said: I see the hrrr still looks good 21, and some light snow falling…just N of Boone…in Meat Camp/Todd. I wish I could hear Frank Deal talk about this and bust a corny little joke-he loved the mountains 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 The snow line looks like it goes all the way down to the northern suburbs of Atlanta now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 hours ago, LovingGulfLows said: An ATL-based meteorologist suspects the backside of the system might overperform in AL/GA tomorrow. Agreed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I think GSP needs to raise their projected snowfall totals especially for the northern Upstate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianc33710 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 BMX added several counties further down to its WWA. Unfortunately I can't copy & paste the graphic and the screenshot photo is too large to share thru my phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarvelMountain Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Started at 3 a.m. Very fine "sugar" snow. 25 degrees. Only two inches so far, but more is on the way I'm sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 For those wondering, the ratio for sleet is about 4:1 I believe . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthernUpstateSC Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 9 hours ago, burrel2 said: Yea, i'm not expecting anything more than a very light glaze from freezing drizzle in between heavier sleet showers mid-day tomorrow. 95% of our precip will be snow or sleet. Burrell you are the man! 8 inches of snow and now heavy sleet in northern Six Mile. NWS blew it again this way!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthernUpstateSC Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 21 minutes ago, NorthernUpstateSC said: Burrell you are the man! 8 inches of snow and now heavy sleet in northern Six Mile. NWS blew it again this way!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 41 minutes ago, NorthernUpstateSC said: Burrell you are the man! 8 inches of snow and now heavy sleet in northern Six Mile. NWS blew it again this way!!! Burrell never wavered on what he expected. It happened exactly as predicted. GSP and Justus reacted, which is unusual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, TPAwx said: I'd say that's more than likely.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthernUpstateSC Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, Tony Sisk said: Burrell never wavered on what he expected. It happened exactly as predicted. GSP and Justus reacted, which is unusual. Yeah I was surprised with Chris Justus but, understand after 2014 when he was forecasting 12-14 inches of snow. And we only got 2 inches of slop and he received death threats afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 They are upping projected winds in the NC Piedmont because of obs farther upstream. Maybe some 50 mph gusts later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Tornado outbreak in Fl blowing up on Twitter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 hour ago, HKY_WX said: Tornado outbreak in Fl blowing up on Twitter Some of the reports coming out of there are incredible. Parents live in Naples and on the news Troopers on I-75 reported watching a big rig get flipped and tossed over like nothing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianc33710 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I think that we've now set a precedent for all winter weather threats from here in Bham on out. From now on, strange atmospheric conditions will always place themselves over within a 30 mi radius while everyone around us gets snow but we just get a cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Seems like the ice storm busted for most due to sleet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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