wncsnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Heavy snow WNC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Surface reflection is still a mess but the trend is clear 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 One more shift should do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 baby steps but definitely steps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Yea the surface reflection looks wonky to me but the overall evolution was slightly less amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Seems like the shift in upper features didn't really translate to surface/sensible weather. Probably just model noise which will sort itself out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 0z GFS has Charlotte at 2.02 inches of ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Definitely improved in the upper levels but the surface is a disaster! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 It still pushed a low into ETN 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 At this point a few more trends SE and I believe a lot of NC will good a lot of snow. METS is it possible? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Using Kuchera, Roanoke around 2 Feet. Around a foot here in mby.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I don't buy surface map.. something off when it doesn't show the spine of the Apps of TN and NC with no heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Plenty to work with.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Here's a nice loop of 500mb GFS from 0z Jan 11 when the NW trend started and then starting to reverse itself in today's runs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 The clowns 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 About 24 hrs from sounding the warning bell on the ice. Really has nasty potential. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Man what a smoke show yet another run. 2ft again. The ULL swings right underneath me and THAT is a classic major snowstorm for western VA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GEFS following the same trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, HKY_WX said: About 24 hrs from sounding the warning bell on the ice. Really has nasty potential. Even if you cut the totals in half, it's still a historic ice storm for the CAD areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Man what a smoke show yet another run. 2ft again. The ULL swings right underneath me and THAT is a classic major snowstorm for western VA The front end thump Is gonna be hefty totals! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, Wow said: GEFS following the same trend As the GFS 0z op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 ukmet looks like it didn't change much at all from 12z based on the crude maps. CMC looks the same as well, maybe a slight bit more suppressed and sped up a few hour?(going off black and white maps) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, Wow said: GEFS following the same trend Very noticeable looking at it on TT. Flatter flow out ahead of it is def helping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, burrel2 said: ukmet looks like it didn't change much at all from 12z based on the crude maps. CMC looks the same as well, maybe a slight bit more suppressed?(going off black and white maps) Where are you seeing those models at. UKMET is not showing up for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Apparently the GEFS is further south than the OP? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Feeling now 50/50 or better to lose power (ice) here in Winston. Would be second time in two weeks after the wind/rain/snow extravaganza. Fun times. Also feels like pure snowstorm will be well west of 77 and ++ elevation. ~800 to 1,200 feet maybe WAA thump but quickly sleet/ice fest. Nothing like 25 degrees and pingers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: Where are you seeing those models at. UKMET is not showing up for me. https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo2.php?carte=1021&ech=72&nh=1&archive=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GEFS 0z left 18z right 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GEFS much further SE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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