rduwx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: huh? 99hrs it is well west of the 6z run It turned out a lot better on the sfc than I was expecting watching the 500 maps. LOL! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: Anyone post ICON snow maps? I will once TT decides to speed up unless someone else feels like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: Anyone post ICON snow maps? It's trending towards the GFS 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Anyone post ICON snow maps?WeatherBell is only out to hr93 so I got to waitSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 The trend is the only thing worth looking at on the ICON and it is good. All else is noise. Lets not clog up the thread with every panel of the models quite yet, especially the lesser poorer performing ones. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I change my mind, the ICON is a great model! 2 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC DataDude Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 TT is missing 102 to 141 for me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, burgertime said: It's trending towards the GFS And it's still a huge hit for 2/3 of NC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, Cheeznado said: The trend is the only thing worth looking at on the ICON and it is good. All else is noise. Lets not clog up the thread with every panel of the models quite yet, especially the lesser poorer performing ones. Bingo. It's hilarious to me a model made specifically for Germany who europeans mainly use for short range is used so often here. (me being the worst offender of course) 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, burgertime said: Bingo. It's hilarious to me a model made specifically for Germany who europeans mainly use for short range is used so often here. (me being the worst offender of course) Its like the previews at AMC before the main show. Hard not to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 For everyone watching we need that ridge in the northwest to act as the highway to to the south. The energy in the NE to play the perfect game of suppression/relief and for the 00z GFS to work out some northern energy to drop down and juice our system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 here's a frame at 126 hrs. just precip but that's a blizzard right there for S VA and N NC 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, rduwx said: Slide those heavy totals towards the east a bit! Moved to Wilson, NC recently from NJ and would love to see some snow here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Everybody better make a store run... The Weather Channel just ignited a wildfire with this tweet: Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, burgertime said: For everyone watching we need that ridge in the northwest to act as the highway to to the south. The energy in the NE to play the perfect game of suppression/relief and for the 00z GFS to work out some northern energy to drop down and juice our system. Here's a gif of what to look for. Red is the "highway". Purple is the energy in the NE. The arrow is pointing to the phase that juices the system. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 8 minutes ago, NJsnow89 said: Slide those heavy totals towards the east a bit! Moved to Wilson, NC recently from NJ and would love to see some snow here. For higher totals in Wilson, you need the LP off the coast to be further east of the location showed on the ICON. If you noticed the map Wow posted, the LP is right on the coast or slightly inland. Need that a little east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Yeah this would be a mix for RDU in reality but here is the Icon clown map: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 It is so lame that my former employer (TWC) is putting totals on that map. I hated that when I was there and still do. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, burgertime said: Bingo. It's hilarious to me a model made specifically for Germany who europeans mainly use for short range is used so often here. (me being the worst offender of course) I did not know that was the origin. I implore everyone to not get too caught up in the Diet ECMWF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, rduwx said: For higher totals in Wilson, you need the LP off the coast to be further east of the location showed on the ICON. If you noticed the map Wow posted, the LP in right on the coast or slightly inland. Need that a little east. Heck, even we'd need it a little east in Cary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, CaryWx said: Heck, even we'd need it a little east in Cary Yes, I agree. Not putting a lot of stock in the ICON on the placement. Hopefully we don't see this in future model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 At first glance, 12z rgem is west and stronger at 84 vs the icon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, CaryWx said: Heck, even we'd need it a little east in Cary Agreed, the inland scenario is bad news to be honest. It would be a snow chase to the Triad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, ILMRoss said: I did not know that was the origin. I implore everyone to not get too caught up in the Diet ECMWF. Yea it was essentially the German NAM. It was then updated to cover more areas here. It does really well here especially at around 90 hours or so. But I've seen it bust pretty hard here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Early guess on the 12z GFS is that it and the Euro are starting to come to an agreement and meeting in the middle. Out to 72 and some slight changes between it and the 00z run last night. It still looks really good though. So get the popcorn ready. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, Lookout said: At first glance, 12z rgem is west and stronger at 84 vs the icon. GFS looks to be backed a tick southwest hr 66 at 12z as well h5 wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 @81 the GFS looks a bit slower. Closer to the Euro, but it still has two strong parcels of energy starting to interact in the west. Our energy in the NE is further west which is gonna suppress this a little more than the 00z if I had to guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 In case anyone is worrying about soil temps, they are now in the 30's and 40's. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Still looks like a blockbuster. Slower and slightly more of positive tilt vs. 00z. to my eye. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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