LiQuiDBuD Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Woke up to an HVAC on the fritz, boy I hope I can get a technician before these single digit temps and impassable roads occur!Let's reel this big dog in, ladies and gentlemen!Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 06z gfs is a pretty nasty ice storm for some 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 One of the greatest spreads I’ve ever seen. GFS deepens into arguably a blizzard with a monster 12-18” swath meanwhile the Euro has a 1-3” special from Aiken to Wilmington. I will say I worry about how amped the GFS is throughout this storm, shows almost a foot of snow when this thing is back in Omaha & Des Moines. Euro is probably the more realistic solution at this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 A lot of sleet mixed in there too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: 06z gfs is a pretty nasty ice storm for some Yea I was thinking the same to myself. A low traveling inland through Fayetville and up west of Richmond into Chesterfield area would be very difficult for a lot to remain all snow as the dominant type. Still think the GFS is too amped but it doubled down its position from 0z and also has others joining its radical thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 7 minutes ago, nwohweather said: One of the greatest spreads I’ve ever seen. GFS deepens into arguably a blizzard with a monster 12-18” swath meanwhile the Euro has a 1-3” special from Aiken to Wilmington. I will say I worry about how amped the GFS is throughout this storm, shows almost a foot of snow when this thing is back in Omaha & Des Moines. Euro is probably the more realistic solution at this time Yeah there needs to be continuity with the models and right now there isn't much but plenty of time for things to come together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Here is the 00z EPS snow output. It’s night and day compared to the control run. This is both the furthest out I’ve ever seen ILM with 4+ inches on the Euro Ens. Come to think of it, this may be the only time I’ve seen ILM with 4+ inches on the Euro Ens. And I always check that, I mean, do you see my username? Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, ILMRoss said: This is both the furthest out I’ve ever seen ILM with 4+ inches on the Euro Ens. Come to think of it, this may be the only time I’ve seen ILM with 4+ inches on the Euro Ens. And I always check that, I mean, do you see my username? Lol It's really either wanting to make your day or be a huge let down. Hope this keeps it up cause what a wild storm with possible mountains to coast snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 9 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Yeah there needs to be continuity with the models and right now there isn't much but plenty of time for things to come together. There's spread but the overall setup is there which is the key. Also it appears the Euro keeps taking more steps towards the GFS. Gut feeling is we see some consolidation at 12z...but a long with the others the GFS looks too amped. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 6z EPS is gonna look good. Energy is digging more. Better look in the NE compared to the 00z. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 A hot December was worth it if we can reel this in... I think all of us can agree on that Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, burgertime said: There's spread but the overall setup is there which is the key. Also it appears the Euro keeps taking more steps towards the GFS. Gut feeling is we see some consolidation at 12z...but a long with the others the GFS looks too amped. Yeah I agree we are starting to see things come together and it's not like we are 10 days out for this storm. A lot of possibilities on the table from flurries to an all out raging snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 The 6z GFS retrogrades the low back inland in NC. That is definitely not what we want on that run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 The 6z GFS retrogrades the low back inland in NC. That is definitely not what we want on that run.question is will the 6z GEFS follow suit on thatSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, eyewall said: The 6z GFS retrogrades the low back inland in NC. That is definitely not what we want on that run. 6z EPS has the look you want. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, eyewall said: The 6z GFS retrogrades the low back inland in NC. That is definitely not what we want on that run. Here comes the slush and cutting snow totals by 80%. I'll give it until midnight before everyone south of Lexington is screaming about the warm nose. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Here comes the slush and cutting snow totals by 80%. I'll give it until midnight before everyone south of Lexington is screaming about the warm nose. Don’t forget about the soil temps. I’m sure they’ll be in the 60’s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 6z EPS again goes towards the GFS. Not the monster GFS is but a nice low track with an I-85 special. RDU east across much of the state is 4+. Not so far east with that 4+ as the 00z. Sorry @ILMRoss 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 GEFS: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Someone needs to show the individual EPS panels of the Euro I'll bet a lot of them are total crush jobs. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, burgertime said: 6z EPS again goes towards the GFS. Not the monster GFS is but a nice low track with an I-85 special. RDU east across much of the state is 4+. Not so far east with that 4+ as the 00z. Sorry @ILMRoss A result almost everyone on this board would be content with 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, burgertime said: 6z EPS again goes towards the GFS. Not the monster GFS is but a nice low track with an I-85 special. RDU east across much of the state is 4+. Not so far east with that 4+ as the 00z. Sorry @ILMRoss As you mentioned, not the bomb the GFS has YET. But, definitely a big step toward it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, eyewall said: GEFS: Wow looking at that the GEFS strongly disagrees with the OP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 EPS (6z which ends 18z Sunday): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, eyewall said: EPS (6z which ends 18z Sunday): I'd gladly take about half of those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 I woke up this morning and the first thing I checked was the 00z Euro. It was pretty disappointing as it showed one of my concerns - the cold air/hp totally crushes things and pushes the storm way too far south. The end result was not a very big storm for anybody. The 06z Euro I get only goes out 90 hours, so it was difficult to really tell where it was headed. Hoping the 12z Euro comes in with a bit more juice and widespread winter weather. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 6Z euro control run, mercy!! And still snowing. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 E44 with a 73 redux... good lord!Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Still worried about the warm nose. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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