Thinksnow18 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 11 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: 2007.... Ok 3 things about that clip, 1) always liked Sharon Resultan, maybe crush like, 2 the reporter said north of Watertown, clueless there and 3 how deep the cold was getting all the way the the Carolina’s so much that DC had a high of 20! When’s the last time that’s happened to them? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMikeWx Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 I was just about to say Redfield, part of the Tug..looks fantastic. West Leyden also looking real good right now.. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 17 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: 2007.... While not as intense I had some friends get stuck at my house in Cheektowaga during that event as travel was banned in the southtowns. East Eden/OP/Hamburg/East aurora got hit pretty bad. Highest total off Erie was 42" at East Aurora. Lake was in the process of freezing, if it wasn't totals would likely have been double what they ended up being. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Lake Huron and GB moisture starting to push into LO. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-LakeOntario-02-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 The 12z has the first clipper over the weekend still diving into South Carolina, probably onto something, but as BW eluded to a few posts ago, Wednesday, Friday and the following Tuesday all look like opportunities for LE in the Metro area. I think the synoptic goes to shit but the lakes save us over the next 2 weeks. They’ll have to because they’re about to freeze quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 2007 - Called “Winter in a Week”. Channel 9 did a half hour special at the time. I have a copy of it on DVD somewhere. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 BGM's updated map actually was bumped higher for those of us in Northern Onondaga county... 8 to 12 inches. After the miss last night, I'm not sure if that's doable for this evening, unless the band slowly moves through our region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Getting some decent rates right now. Probably around or just under mile vis 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 28 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: BGM's updated map actually was bumped higher for those of us in Northern Onondaga county... 8 to 12 inches. After the miss last night, I'm not sure if that's doable for this evening, unless the band slowly moves through our region. Not sure about that...a previous version also had that northern sliver (my location) in the next darkest color (8-12") in a previous iteration. Really hard to see that happening but if the band moved slow enough south...maybe. I still like 6" as the over/under Mark here. Only about 4.5-5" to go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Not sure about that...a previous version also had that northern sliver (my location) in the next darkest color (8-12") in a previous iteration. Really hard to see that happening but if the band moved slow enough south...maybe. I still like 6" as the over/under Mark here. Only about 4.5-5" to go... Yeah, I think 6 inches is a good call. Hopefully whatever falls can survive our mid 30s on Wednesday and Thursday to continue a solid snowpack as we enter the synoptic desert period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Not sure about that...a previous version also had that northern sliver (my location) in the next darkest color (8-12") in a previous iteration. Really hard to see that happening but if the band moved slow enough south...maybe. I still like 6" as the over/under Mark here. Only about 4.5-5" to go... I'm guessing Binghamton thinks that the shallow bands overnight after the frontal passage will produce a decent amount. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Called my mother in Parish...she estimated about 1.5 feet...still pound town.... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Working in Saratoga, on and off bursts of about an inch total. -5° tonight maybe better with a few inches of unexpected pack so better day than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 That band is about to go nutzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 21 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Yeah, I think 6 inches is a good call. Hopefully whatever falls can survive our mid 30s on Wednesday and Thursday to continue a solid snowpack as we enter the synoptic desert period. We had one good Euro/CMC run. Isn't that enough for you? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Whatever town is just northeast of that lake has been getting pounded for a few hours already "That lake" is the Redfield Reservoir. Actually Salmon River Reservoir but everyone refers to it as the Redfield Res. Easy way to locate things up there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 .A LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL AFFECT PARTS OF JEFFERSON...OSWEGO... AND LEWIS COUNTIES... HAZARDS...A lake effect snow band which can rapidly reduce visibility to less than a quarter of a mile. This lake effect snow band is producing extremely heavy snow at the rate of 2 to 3 inches per hour. LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 1233 PM EST, a wide band of lake effect snow was streaming in off Lake Ontario, from Oswego to Mannsville east to the Tug Hill and southern Lewis county. The lake effect snow band was intensifying, while remaining nearly stationary. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... Oswego, Sandy Island Beach State Park, Pulaski, Redfield, Selkirk Shores State Park, Highmarket, Mexico Point State Park, Nine Mile Point, Scriba, Richland, New Haven, Mexico, Williamstown, Lyonsdale, Orwell, Sandy Creek, Port Leyden, Lacona, Lyons Falls and Parish. This includes Interstate 81 between exits 33 and 38. SAFETY INFO... Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this lake effect snow band. Rapid changes in visibility and potentially slick roads may lead to accidents. Accidents have already been reported in the area today. Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 1 hour ago, CoolMikeWx said: I was just about to say Redfield, part of the Tug..looks fantastic. West Leyden also looking real good right now.. Yep. West Leyden is in that same snow belt as Ava. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Someone pull that damn band north 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 wolf gets hit with 2-4" an hour next 5-6 hours I think. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Parish timelapse webcam https://www.weatherbug.com/weather-camera/?cam=PRSHW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Noontime TV mets saying the band in central Oswego County moves south tonight courtesy of the artic front. Historically, when this setup occurs, do the fronts pass quickly or can they stall and band overperforms? Mets saying 3-6, closer to the 6 for Syr and surrounding towns they say and I gather northern burbs will get into it first Thanks ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 That band def tightened up, not cellular anymore 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Man, wish I was here today: https://www.northernchateau.com/w/webcam20.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 17 minutes ago, sferic said: Noontime TV mets saying the band in central Oswego County moves south tonight courtesy of the artic front. Historically, when this setup occurs, do the fronts pass quickly or can they stall and band overperforms? Mets saying 3-6, closer to the 6 for Syr and surrounding towns they say and I gather northern burbs will get into it first Thanks ! Try not to blink 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Yeah, unfortunately the frontal passage is usually very fast and almost always underperforms. I’m betting on a couple inches at most. We get a quick look at what Wolfie has for 12 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 Definitely rip city out, not sure if the band will stay stationary or go a little north before coming back south.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Definitely rip city out, not sure if the band will stay stationary or go a little north before coming back south.. Pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Definitely rip city out, not sure if the band will stay stationary or go a little north before coming back south.. Destruction. So jealous that band means business and probably sets up shop 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Yeah, unfortunately the frontal passage is usually very fast and almost always underperforms. I’m betting on a couple inches at most. We get a quick look at what Wolfie has for 12 hours. This, 100 percent. The front grabs the band, intensifies it, moves it boldly due south and it evaporates like a fart in the wind about 1 hour later. That 1 hour is usually fun but there is no stalling an arctic boundary on a Northerly flow. We barely even get the scraps. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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