TugHillMatt Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Good thing is though, the rain last night added some meat to it, so that will help Yeah, but there are blades poking through in some areas (as in a some places lost complete snowpack yesterday.) So in our next thaw, it will definitely be patchy in area. Still, in general, a 2 to 4 inch pack. Silly..but better than most are doing right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 Oh geez lol They actually increased totals..It better snow like 5" an hour this afternoon Today Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Areas of blowing snow before 2pm. High near 21. West wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 15 to 21 inches possible. Tonight Snow before 11pm, then snow showers likely, mainly between 11pm and midnight. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around -5. Wind chill values as low as -15. North wind 8 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Oh geez lol They actually increased totals..It better snow like 5" an hour this afternoon That looks to robust to me for your area. I would make the 24-30 in the upslope territory by lewis,jeff,oswego counties meet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 16 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: That looks to robust to me for your area. I would make the 24-30 in the upslope territory by lewis,jeff,oswego counties meet. Well this is a perfect setup to get some insane rates like 6...7...8" per hour.... For them to potentially allude to that is remarkable, and noted.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Well this is a perfect setup to get some insane rates like 6...7...8" per hour.... For them to potentially allude to that is remarkable, and noted.... Yep this afternoons band will be 4-6" per in heart of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Even a few models show the insane rates coming later, check the graph that purple is 6"+ per hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 3 hours ago, CNY_WX said: Look at the intensity of the band just north of you around Perth. It’s only about 3-4 miles wide but is probably producing 1-2 inches per hour. I assume you’re south of that. Just like me it’s very frustrating to be a spectator in a front row seat. Yeah, was over my house then drifted north. Drove thru it though... pictures didn't do it justice. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 Ripping pretty good here now, wind is fierce.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: A LOT of work to do to get those #s in southern Oswego cty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Ripping pretty good here now, wind is fierce.. Enjoy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 About 1.5 inches OTG in Cicero; hope to add a few more in the next 18 to 24 hours but not pining my hopes on that. I was envisioning all day S+ today, but no worries, they'll be other times Just give me 4 inches later and I'll be okay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 Moderate to heavy lake snows remain locked in place across Oswego county late this morning...`behaving` quite well with the forecast. While the activity has become a little cellular this morning...feel that with a stronger upstream connection this afternoon...the band will consolidate a bit and push north by miles or so. This is where the RGEM has been anchoring it for several days now...and as no surprise...is where the new 12z run of the NAM takes it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Just now, wolfie09 said: Moderate to heavy lake snows remain locked in place across Oswego county late this morning...`behaving` quite well with the forecast. While the activity has become a little cellular this morning...feel that with a stronger upstream connection this afternoon...the band will consolidate a bit and push north by miles or so. This is where the RGEM has been anchoring it for several days now...and as no surprise...is where the new 12z run of the NAM takes it. RGEM is king. No doubt 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 12 minutes ago, sferic said: About 1.5 inches OTG in Cicero; hope to add a few more in the next 18 to 24 hours but not pining my hopes on that. I was envisioning all day S+ today, but no worries, they'll be other times Just give me 4 inches later and I'll be okay! This is what usually happens with strong Lake Events with West or WNW flow. We get a bit up front as it's starting...and at the tail end...but the bulk of the event stays north of here until a s/w or front pushes it south. And if it moves quickly it blows thru with 1-4" and falls off the lake while transitioning to NW flow multibands, where we might get another inch or two. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 1 hour ago, LakeEffectKing said: Well this is a perfect setup to get some insane rates like 6...7...8" per hour.... For them to potentially allude to that is remarkable, and noted.... I def will defer to you then as I have no knowledge with lake effect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 I think the area that will JP will be just south of here, parish, mexico, maple view etc..The band will go through that area late this evening once again..I still yet to see much northern movement which kbgm alluded to.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 A lake effect snow band covered most of northern Oneida County. Its expected northward drift has been slow to materialize, and this may result in higher snow totals in some places, such as Camden, Lee, and Delta Lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I think the area that will JP will be just south of here, parish, mexico, maple view etc..The band will go through that area late this evening once again..I still yet to see much northern movement which kbgm alluded to.. Wasn’t it Parrish and Mexico about a decade ago that got absolutely demolished to the tune of over 100” over like a 3 day period? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I think the area that will JP will be just south of here, parish, mexico, maple view etc..The band will go through that area late this evening once again..I still yet to see much northern movement which kbgm alluded to.. Whatever town is just northeast of that lake has been getting pounded for a few hours already 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 They have had a couple monsters lol 2004 was 86" in 3 days.. Infamous 2007 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Pretty colors. lol The band doesn't have much time to move north according this radar: https://weather.gc.ca/map_e.html?layers=radar&province=ON&zoom=8¢er=43.92538978%2C-77.26366609&radarColor=8&basemap=transport Look at that massive band on Huron...dang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 6 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Whatever town is just northeast of that lake has been getting pounded for a few hours already Redfield 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 I think Carol is in north redfield, that looks like south redfield where @TugHillMattwas. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 This wind finder map is hardly ever wrong..It shows converging winds around lunchtime, front comes through around 7.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 42 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Moderate to heavy lake snows remain locked in place across Oswego county late this morning...`behaving` quite well with the forecast. While the activity has become a little cellular this morning...feel that with a stronger upstream connection this afternoon...the band will consolidate a bit and push north by miles or so. This is where the RGEM has been anchoring it for several days now...and as no surprise...is where the new 12z run of the NAM takes it. The NAM…the black sheep of all models 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 14 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Wasn’t it Parrish and Mexico about a decade ago that got absolutely demolished to the tune of over 100” over like a 3 day period? 2007.... 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 11 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I think Carol is in north redfield, that looks like south redfield where @TugHillMattwas. lol..yup! That is smack dab over the location I was at and waited a whole winter. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 7 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: 2007.... Hard to believe it was that long ago. I had to drive to Nine Mile Point thru that week long storm every day for work. Was a circus. One day a couple of us stopped to rescue a stranded coworker. Got a toofless person from a nearby trailer park to go get a chain and pull him out after digging in 2-3"/hr snow rates got us nowhere. Bless his kind heart. Never made it in that day, turned around and headed back to the Sunny Sizzle... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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