sferic Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: For real. He needs to be banned. He's a detriment to the Philly forum and I feel bad they have to deal with him. He didn't deserve the time and energy Mike Gorse put into talking with him. Marr, Can you name the exact forum topic or link, I too want to read and comment I don't like people like that who are trolls and contribute nothing and just stir the pot, I had them in NYC/LI forum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 5 minutes ago, sferic said: Marr, Can you name the exact forum topic or link, I too want to read and comment I don't like people like that who are trolls and contribute nothing and just stir the pot, I had them in NYC/LI forum I grew up in Lancaster, just outside the Philly area. My grandparents lived in Chester county...so a couple weeks ago he was arguing with another guy about the snowfall records for that county being "wrong." I shared my own experience of them often having higher amounts when I would go to visit and he got all up on my case and told me not to comment. lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 23 minutes ago, sferic said: @TugHillMatt Matt, Can you tell me please when and why one would look at Kuchera numbers? I'd hope that verifies. Id take 3 or 4". Usually kuchera maps are overdone but in this case probably not? Is kuchera ratios capped? Some could get 25:1+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 I have a feeling I'll be loosing some respect for the rgem after this lol Have no clue what it is see that other models aren't..If anything the max went a little north at 18z lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, Blue Moon said: It makes sense you're from Lancaster. I thought I saw you driving the family around here yesterday Lol..I legit had people ask me many times growing up if I was Amish whenever I mentioned I was from Lancaster. My response: "Yup. The buggy's parked out back." P.S. Your comment was clipped (I'm guessing by a mod) on that thread. lol. You've got the reputation... Sorry everybody for the derailment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Finally hit 33° but obviously no melting with the sun gone and ground temps. Probably going be a little sketchy in the morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 17 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: I'd hope that verifies. Id take 3 or 4". Usually kuchera maps are overdone but in this case probably not? Is kuchera ratios capped? Some could get 25:1+ Hey Eric, we're both further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 Kbuf forecast for just tonight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Snowpack took a HUGE hit today, but there's still a few inches out there to hopefully create a solid base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 12 minutes ago, sferic said: Hey Eric, we're both further north Yes we are! You're in a much better spot than I am, but we keep following each others lattitudes closely lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 8 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Yes we are! You're in a much better spot than I am, but we keep following each others lattitudes closely lol. If need be I can go to Liberty on a whim, Long Island too ! If "Conditions" warrant that !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polarbear Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 I’m sure I’ve missed it along the way but what time does the band look to get really cranking tonight/early tmw? Have a delivery in Watertown tmw morning around 5am… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 1 minute ago, Polarbear said: I’m sure I’ve missed it along the way but what time does the band look to get really cranking tonight/early tmw? Have a delivery in Watertown tmw morning around 5am… It starts near the Thruway tonight and then shifts north. You're going to end up driving through it at some point. It will be strong in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Cold front just came through, here we go, hopefully that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polarbear Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 8 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: It starts near the Thruway tonight and then shifts north. You're going to end up driving through it at some point. It will be strong in the morning. Ohhh yea I figured, I get to drive in plenty of them I just try to plan to miss as much or the worst of a band whenever I can. I just wasn’t sure when the 3”+ was going to get rolling as I could get going a little sooner Hope to be back to Syracuse and westbound by 6-630 if at all possible . Thanks for the info! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Cicero 5:40 PM 34.8 degrees Mainly light snow now Anybody else have snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 Hi Rez Canada continues to follow the rgem, actually came a little north as well..Crushes the southern tug.. We'll know soon enough.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 1 hour ago, Ericjcrash said: I'd hope that verifies. Id take 3 or 4". Usually kuchera maps are overdone but in this case probably not? Is kuchera ratios capped? Some could get 25:1+ That will be average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 19 minutes ago, Polarbear said: Ohhh yea I figured, I get to drive in plenty of them I just try to plan to miss as much or the worst of a band whenever I can. I just wasn’t sure when the 3”+ was going to get rolling as I could get going a little sooner Hope to be back to Syracuse and westbound by 6-630 if at all possible . Thanks for the info! Any way you can go up through Oswego county and back during the afternoon? I think that will be the best time for you. The band is looking maybe to weaken a bit before it refires as the arctic front moves in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 The only time we get anywhere near 25:1 is with tea kettle snow. Typical LES is probably 16:1. Typical synoptic stuff is usually 8:1-12:1. It would be a bad idea to do any math based on 25:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 What was the ratio with Buffalo’s recent event? I could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 11 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: The only time we get anywhere near 25:1 is with tea kettle snow. Typical LES is probably 16:1. Typical synoptic stuff is usually 8:1-12:1. It would be a bad idea to do any math based on 25:1. Dave its not uncommon to get 30 or 40 to 1 off ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 A good example here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 2 hours ago, sferic said: @TugHillMatt Matt, Can you tell me please when and why one would look at Kuchera numbers? You look at Kuchera only when you're desperate, like you're rolling around in the gutter nursing the last few drops of gut rot out of that whiskey bottle in a brown bag next to your trailer down by the river. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Kutchie is more accurate with lake snow for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Hoping the rgem is right, that would be nice to finally get some good lake effect here Monday night 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 45 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: The only time we get anywhere near 25:1 is with tea kettle snow. Typical LES is probably 16:1. Typical synoptic stuff is usually 8:1-12:1. It would be a bad idea to do any math based on 25:1. We had 20-28:1 with our recent LES around here off of L.O. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 5 minutes ago, Syrmax said: You look at Kuchera only when you're desperate, like you're rolling around in the gutter nursing the last few drops of gut rot out of that whiskey bottle in a brown bag next to your trailer down by the river. Not for LES. There is no current algorithm to account for LES that provides 25-40:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, Syrmax said: We had 20-28:1 with our recent LES around here off of L.O. Probably why it vanished so quickly today. My gosh! Oh, well... Still full coverage here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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