CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You are pasty there....all powder here. Glad the kids are enjoying Its actually rather fluffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm pretty much in line with the other 3 sites. I should gone into work in Chelsea...they probably had like 10" lol If you had gone into work the band would have shifted north and then settled right over methuen...Chelsea would have had 1-2... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: If you had gone into work the band would have shifted north and then settled right over methuen...Chelsea would have had 1-2... Probably right lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Probably right lol Next storm the Merrimack Valley forum members are going to take up a collection to raise money to send you to the South Shore !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 12" 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 It’s good to see Cape Ann and S CT coast get hit hard . Did the cape get at least advisory snows The pattern last couple years seems to have really favored (more than climo ) areas away from the SE and E coastal areas , I wonder if the “man cold” pattern coming up will deliver for most all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 10.5-11" OTG. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Have about 10" in Beverly on the North Shore. Going at a decent rate right now with large dendrites in that last gasp band, might pick up a quick 1"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Thanks for the detailed post. I’ve always despised the model snow maps (or clown maps as I call them) and this is another great description of why they stink. They are fun to look at for sure…but they do often cause a lot of confusion and often inflate expectations compared to usual. Yep, great post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 The guy in N Wey had 13". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 35 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Just finished melting my core from today.... 0.46" L.E. 7.5" of new snow Yeah--this stuff will evaporate/sublimate really quickly. The cotton candy of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Down to 5-6" on paved surfaces. 9.5" depth now, down from a max of just over 11" 6 hours ago. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Yeah--this stuff will evaporate/sublimate really quickly. The cotton candy of snow. I'm expecting this to compact down to about 4" glacier by the time we get FROPA on Sunday night. It'll prob already be down to 6" or so by tomorrow night even before the brief warmup Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 22 minutes ago, tamarack said: And we know that with those rates snow will accumulate even on a warm surface. Might be up to 1.5" here, or even 1.7 to take 3rd place for the season's biggest. We will finish here with 3.5” of sand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 minute ago, dryslot said: We will finish here with 3.5” of sand. How far behind average is your area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Yeah--this stuff will evaporate/sublimate really quickly. The cotton candy of snow. My deck is south facing, down to 3 inches already. However the yard is still between 6 and 7. I wish it would melt faster on my solar panels. I definitely do not need a glacier forming on those.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 5.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 19 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: It’s good to see Cape Ann and S CT coast get hit hard . Did the cape get at least advisory snows The pattern last couple years seems to have really favored (more than climo ) areas away from the SE and E coastal areas , I wonder if the “man cold” pattern coming up will deliver for most all about 4" / 4.5" of paste. had trouble accumulating, just kept compacting down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: 5.7" That's higher than my season total. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: How far behind average is your area? 12” or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 My snow is kind of sticky, surprised because it was 26 during and only 28 now. Thank God I bought a new snowblower, what a dream, ate through the snow like it was buttah, just have to get used to the stick shift auger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Nice round numbers on this one. 4.0”/0.30” So even up here we managed 13:1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Nice round numbers on this one. 4.0”/0.30” So even up here we managed 13:1. Nice, that's about what I was figuring. A little above average but not super fluff. I need to order a new stratus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 19 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12” or so yeah i think this puts me at 17.5" or so for the season, which is (i believe) only 3" or so BN for PWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Just over 8" here. Sun poking out intermittently. Not a bad storm. Fell on upper side of my 4-8" call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 46 minutes ago, MuddyWx said: Have about 10" in Beverly on the North Shore. Going at a decent rate right now with large dendrites in that last gasp band, might pick up a quick 1"? Just about got it! 10.8" Final in Beverly. Nothing like a white, wintry landscape with a lot of fresh pow.. So peaceful out there with the muted sounds and some lingering light snow. Man I love winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 27 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12” or so ok,thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Reports coming in so far from CoCoRahs represent a pretty uniform 18-20:1 in that band over CT. Would like to see all the climo sites and take a look back to see what models did well in that regard, a quick look at the GFS and it seems pretty reasonable from the 00Z run last night over CT. The past 6 runs i would say are consistent after 18Z Jan 5th run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Indeed I have. Sim radar, for the models that have it, will always show a more accurate "in time" look at the storm's forecasted existence. Average precip rate is always lagging the actual storm evolution. HRRR seems to also have an explicit snow forecast, at least based on the (?) info screen on pivotalweather. Although it seems boilerplate so probably worth confirming. And also very possible that not all model sites use it for their graphics. Ah! I didn't know that field was available. You are correct. In the GrADS Data Server, there is a field called, 'asnowsfc.' It looks like the field is obtained via HRRR's LSM (I'll double check later to be sure). You can view it here if you'd like: https://github.com/wrf-model/WRF/blob/master/phys/module_sf_ruclsm.F The AMS submission is here: https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/25/1/2009waf2222311_1.xml?rskey=LFzwBc&result=4 To summarize its procedure, the weighted snow density (stepwise multiple linear regression) is first calculated by determining the (frozen) densities of snow, graupel, and sleet (as a function of the lowest atmospheric layer's temperature). The weighted snow density is then used to calculate SLR = (density of water) / (density of frozen). Snowfall is then the product of SWE * SLR. This is all done diagnostically using calls to the mp routine. It's also used to calculate new snowfall accumulation for its snow depth field. It's a pretty good algorithm actually compared to climatology and Kuchera. Taking the weighted contribution of different hydrometeors is a great method to avoid inflation of snowfall due to mixing. It's a huge advantage to have it calculated between modeled time steps too. Other modeling systems can incorporate this variable if the RUC LSM is applied. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Just finished snowblowing. Didn't seem all that fluffy as I thought, but that's probably because I waited too long to clear the driveway, so the bottom layer was melting onto the pavement making for a not so clean pass in some areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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