Patfan1987 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:26 PM, DotRat_Wx said: We definitely have at or above a foot. I had to step away. I'm not quite sure what the total is. I'm stuck inside until at least 3p. just measured we have a foot spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:23 PM, DotRat_Wx said: God please kill me Expand It would take a near guarantee of a repeat of the Blizzard of 78 for me to spend money to fly home early....of course by the time the plane landed the storm would be headed out to sea...a near miss... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:32 PM, Patfan1987 said: just measured we have a foot spot on. Expand Wow, if that's correct, we would have a ton of compaction. Must be loaded with qpf? @CoastalWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:22 PM, BrianW said: From SW CT. I think Norwalk. Expand I wonder if he's clearing his board when he takes those hourly measurements. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:22 PM, BrianW said: From SW CT. I think Norwalk. Expand Not supposed to measure and clear every hour. This looks suspicious because of the water equiv on an hourly basis (unless this person is using a heated rain gauge). A heated rain tipper will underestimate the w.e. as well. Just throwing that out there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Looks like around 12.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:35 PM, dendrite said: Not supposed to measure and clear every hour. This looks suspicious because of the water equiv on an hourly basis (unless this person is using a heated rain gauge). A heated rain tipper will underestimate the w.e. as well. Just throwing that out there. Expand very sus....also the rounded off #'s 1.0" 1.5" 3" etc. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 10". And like December 2019, I'm just a John Daly solid drive on the 18th from the coveted foot. This is now the 4th Storm in the past 3 Seasons where I got Under a Foot when everyone around me got a Foot-15", OR I got 12" when everyone around me got 15"-20". This is just a losing spot. It Used to be a Magic spot from February 2003-2011 (and some few times after, specifically my Only Jack in March 2019) Where the NWS Literally would NOT Believe my Snow Totals. Now I don't even have to report because the towns next to me have 2" more so it's worthless. ALSO Miss time on TV as I know the RI Mets. But I'm not going to Lie and inflate the total to get on air. 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 What a great snow storm for S CT to NE CT to NW RI to BOS S burbs. That band was magic Solid storm in Bedford Mass - was def not staying in Nashua for this one George - Geezus Christ .. good work someone slap me 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 2:40 PM, TheSnowman said: I’m not at All Trying to Jack Jerry, but when I wake up at 5”, and Everyone who’s East of Me where the storm started AFTER me has 8”, and Foxboro who’s 12 minutes from me in the Same Line of the band has 10” when I have 6”?? That’s absurd. And TO that, I’m in Foxboro right now. They have 9.5”. The “10 Inches at 7am” AS I said was complete BS. They would have 13” by now if so. They’ve got the same as NE RI. Getting a Foot to me is a Big big deal. And I keep missing out on So many storms where those around me get 12”. Starting with March 2017 when I Spent $700 and Flew home early from the Netherlands for 9” of glop. Expand Did you ever consider switching instruments to like say, A Violin? 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:41 PM, TheSnowman said: 10". And like December 2019, I'm just a John Daly solid drive on the 18th from the coveted foot. This is now the 4th Storm in the past 3 Seasons where I got Under a Foot when everyone around me got a Foot-15", OR I got 12" when everyone around me got 15"-20". This is just a losing spot. It Used to be a Magic spot from February 2003-2011 (and some few times after, specifically my Only Jack in March 2019) Where the NWS Literally would NOT Believe my Snow Totals. Now I don't even have to report because the towns next to me have 2" more so it's worthless. ALSO Miss time on TV as I know the RI Mets. But I'm not going to Lie and inflate the total to get on air. Expand Time to move to Marquette. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:35 PM, dendrite said: Not supposed to measure and clear every hour. This looks suspicious because of the water equiv on an hourly basis (unless this person is using a heated rain gauge). A heated rain tipper will underestimate the w.e. as well. Just throwing that out there. Expand Both the snow total and liquid equivalent match other reports from the area. If true, liquid ended up very close to modeled QPF consensus... maybe even a touch lower. The intense bands are key to big accumulations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Main roads/highways are in great shape for such a big snowfall. Great positive bust here. Was not expecting to be approaching double digits 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:42 PM, dryslot said: Did you ever consider switching instruments to like say, A Violin? Expand How much snow you got? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:41 PM, TheSnowman said: 10". And like December 2019, I'm just a John Daly solid drive on the 18th from the coveted foot. This is now the 4th Storm in the past 3 Seasons where I got Under a Foot when everyone around me got a Foot-15", OR I got 12" when everyone around me got 15"-20". This is just a losing spot. It Used to be a Magic spot from February 2003-2011 (and some few times after, specifically my Only Jack in March 2019) Where the NWS Literally would NOT Believe my Snow Totals. Now I don't even have to report because the towns next to me have 2" more so it's worthless. ALSO Miss time on TV as I know the RI Mets. But I'm not going to Lie and inflate the total to get on air. Expand Dude...10 ain't nothing to sneeze at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:48 PM, PhineasC said: How much snow you got? Expand Looks like around 3" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:42 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: What a great snow storm for S CT to NE CT to NW RI to BOS S burbs. That band was magic Solid storm in Bedford Mass - was def not staying in Nashua for this one George - Geezus Christ .. good work someone slap me Expand Looks like snow ratios were big in this storm, the QPF total was what the higher end of what guidance had (like eduggs said above) but the ratios were like 20:1 instead of 10:1, so those 10:1 snow maps ended up being an epic fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:46 PM, eduggs said: Both the snow total and liquid equivalent match other reports from the area. If true, liquid ended up very close to modeled QPF consensus... maybe even a touch lower. The intense bands are key to big accumulations. Expand Trust me I know about meso bands. lol The measuring method just looks suspect. That’s all I’m saying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 5", continues to snow pretty well. Better than radar would suggest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Just measured for first time. 12". But there may have been some compaction since I made no interim measurements. Still very light snow but just about over. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:28 PM, Tatamy said: Looks like your forecast from several days ago panned out for those areas situated where the band set up. Nice work! Expand Thanks, It sure did! I’ve had a lot of busts (like last Monday) so its nice to be right about one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:51 PM, dendrite said: Trust me I know about meso bands. lol The measuring method just looks suspect. That’s all I’m saying. Expand Might be. No argument there. But the end result looks reasonable. There would have been a lot of disappointed weenies in NYC and CT if this storm had come in with standard 10:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:56 PM, eduggs said: Might be. No argument there. But the end result looks reasonable. There would have been a lot of disappointed weenies in NYC and CT if this storm had come in with standard 10:1 ratios. Expand if my aunt had balls 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:54 PM, 78Blizzard said: Just measured for first time. 12". But there may have been some compaction since I made no interim measurements. Still very light snow but just about over. Expand I’m going with 11.7 as my final. Snow almost done.....wonderful over producer! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:50 PM, George001 said: Looks like snow ratios were big in this storm, the QPF total was what the higher end of what guidance had (like eduggs said above) but the ratios were like 20:1 instead of 10:1, so those 10:1 snow maps ended up being an epic fail. Expand Not totally accurate. Most ratios were more like 12-13-1 ratios. If you were lucky to be in the narrow Mega band then, 15-1 ratios were probably closer to the truth there. The 20-1 ratio would be a little too high of an estimate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:56 PM, JC-CT said: if my aunt had balls Expand It's a popular hobby to shit on the models. I'm just trying to counter that with factual observations. A positive snowfall bust does not necessarily mean a model bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:58 PM, eduggs said: It's a popular hobby to shit on the models. I'm just trying to counter that with factual observations. A positive snowfall bust does not necessarily mean a model bust. Expand I agree with that statement. Many of them don't even have a snow algo built in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Not ready to stop up here yet. Moderate 1/2 mile good growth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 4:41 PM, TheSnowman said: 10". And like December 2019, I'm just a John Daly solid drive on the 18th from the coveted foot. This is now the 4th Storm in the past 3 Seasons where I got Under a Foot when everyone around me got a Foot-15", OR I got 12" when everyone around me got 15"-20". This is just a losing spot. It Used to be a Magic spot from February 2003-2011 (and some few times after, specifically my Only Jack in March 2019) Where the NWS Literally would NOT Believe my Snow Totals. Now I don't even have to report because the towns next to me have 2" more so it's worthless. ALSO Miss time on TV as I know the RI Mets. But I'm not going to Lie and inflate the total to get on air. Expand Stop making RI look bad lol. Be happy with the 10". It's not a widespread 12" amount. Cumberland/Woonsocket is almost always in the higher end for RI. We barely have 6" down here and I'm only 22 miles away. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 3:40 PM, CoastalWx said: Looking back, the fronto signals were there. I think I wound have been more aggressive, but what about the dual low? Would it be these big bands that we saw, or would it be more strung out and not as consistent? Those were the questions I had. Other than that, signs were there. It looked like enough forcing from s/w was there to overcome it. Expand You and others nailed the fronto signals. We were also posting soundings with great crosshair / snowgrowth potential. But the dual low issue and definite (and ultimately correct) trends to emphasize the easternmost surface low, along with the new downtrends on RAP/HRRR, were not easy to ignore. I think only after we were seeing the strong radar returns off NJ entering LI that I posted ~10pm was there some evidence the s/w was enough to overcome the further east surface low. Some cool anatomy of that band from 6z NAM 5-7am: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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