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OBS and nowcast for a widespread 2-6" event significant impact event, mainly midnight-Noon Friday morning January 7, 2022


wdrag
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6 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Cannot believe how this overperformed. Incredible. 

When I woke up at 4 am and saw 4" down already, I knew it was game over. 

Model busts

Looking through the guidance, it seems that last night's 0z HREF was really the first model to come out with the kind of totals that we actually saw. It was a pleasant surprise.

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2 minutes ago, Rjay said:

I think it was the ratios but we'll see.

Maybe a combo. We got a nice slug of moisture in here that didnt move. But the Kuchera models were always around 10:1 ratios city and east, so maybe that needs to be throw in the trash...

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1 hour ago, psv88 said:

Cannot believe how this overperformed. Incredible. 

When I woke up at 4 am and saw 4" down already, I knew it was game over. 

Model busts

Not sure about the model bust. QPF looks pretty close from most reports. Models don't predict accumulated snowfall.

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