Albedoman Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: You stated before you had over 45 years in this industry also which is impressive. Overachieving ice accrual eh? Great Scott, I think you're on to something! Or on something. Not quite sure which at the moment. LOL, we will see on Sunday morning. A couple good shots of Honey Jack sat night should get me going on this potential. I love utilizing weather history in seeing how computer weather model forecasts unfold. I may not be right every time, but who is? Its a challenge and that is what I enjoy. This enjoyment comes from living throughout the country in my 63 years on this earth. I have seen every weather phenomena up close and personal from Cat 3-4 hurricanes in Mississippi , the formation and experience of being in midwest and local Derechoes. EF4 tornadoes in Arkansas/Tn, true blizzards of 4-6 ft of snow in the Sierra, mudslides in S CA , historical flooding throughout the country especially in Memphis and the MS river, dense fog so thick you cannot see the end of your car while driving in Los Angeles, lightning storms and sand storms in the Mohave desert, ice storms of ice almost an inch thick in Illinois, extreme heat from 126 in Death Valley to extreme cold -32 in Wisconsin and hail the size of a softball crashing though my patio cover in Memphis. I have gone through every major storm since 1987 here in the LV. I have on video the 93 superstorm and the 96 storms here in PA The only weather related features I really have not experienced is an avalanche. Prefer not to experience it. I have experienced three earthquakes in LA and Memphis and have actual ash from Mt St Helens as my uncle lived through the actual eruption as he actually lived about 15 miles from the mountain In vancouver/Battle Ground wa. . I went to his house right after the volcano erupted, the destruction was nothing like I have ever seen in my lifetime so far. I have seen and experienced a lifetime of natural phenomena most people have only dreamed of. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 59 minutes ago, Albedoman said: the problem is that even when the sun comes out tomorrow, Sat highs will not even get above freezing thus curtailing any melting on untreated surfaces. Tonight , everything will freeze solid- slush and all with lows near the single digits in some areas in the LV in the deepest valleys. The sun can only melt so much on Sat. I calculated the snow water equivalent (at least down here in Philly) as 18:1 (doing a melt from what was collected in my Stratus). And with the wind, dry arctic air, and dews in the low teens or less (I'm currently down to a dp of 12), much of the snow pack has been blowing around, and that means sublimation can come into play (even with temps below freezing), literally "evaporating" the snow (i.e., the water goes right from solid to gas in the bright sun). Quote That sets up perfect conditions for Saturday night. The skies will remain clear until about midnight. The temps will fall like a rock before things cloud up and will be in the upper teens and low 20's when the precip starts to fall -- first as a period of sleet/maybe snow pellets mixed in, then freezing rain throughout Sunday morning after sunrise. It will take almost all day for the cold air to get scoured out of the LV. The the arctic front comes through late Sunday night changing the little bit of warm rain back over to light snow with a flash freeze for Monday morning. Then the snow squalls reach us on Monday afternoon , especially in the northern parts of the LV. I have experienced this scenario a dozen times during my 35+ years here in the LV. I agree with the issues of scouring out that built-up cold air being a tall order. Will have to see how much of a warm nose happens Sunday (and where in the atmosphere it oozes in). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 If I may interject some belated observations etc. from last night's snowfall... Wound up with 4.1" here, within the forecast range, but exceeded my expectations due to the middle finger (subsidence zone) showing up on most of the mesoscale model runs. I totally enjoyed the snow. What a change from recent weather. Looks and feels like winter! Here is the baby snow pile, not very big but it does cast a shadow: 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 13 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: If I may interject some belated observations etc. from last night's snowfall... Wound up with 4.1" here, within the forecast range, but exceeded my expectations due to the middle finger (subsidence zone) showing up on most of the mesoscale model runs. I totally enjoyed the snow. What a change from recent weather. Looks and feels like winter! Here is the baby snow pile, not very big but it does cast a shadow: That's not bad at all!! If it survives the wind, a little warmup. and whatever intensity of rain is forecast for Sunday, it could flash-freeze into a thick glacial base for any future frozen precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 1 minute ago, KamuSnow said: If I may interject some belated observations etc. from last night's snowfall... Wound up with 4.1" here, within the forecast range, but exceeded my expectations due to the middle finger (subsidence zone) showing up on most of the mesoscale model runs. I totally enjoyed it. What a change from recent weather. Looks and feels like winter! Here is the baby snow pile, not very big but it does cast a shadow: Looks great! Nice foundation you have going there. Exceeded my expectations and as you said, feels like winter now. The wind cuts right through. Nice January weather....a viking beach day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: That's not bad at all!! If it survives the wind, a little warmup. and whatever intensity of rain is forecast for Sunday, it could flash-freeze into a thick glacial base for any future frozen precip. Thanks, lol. I think it will survive this coming week, Sunday will shrink it a little, but doesn't look like a whole lot of rain, nor too much of a warm up. Maybe we'll get some more snow to build on it with!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: Thanks, lol. I think it will survive this coming week, Sunday will shrink it a little, but doesn't look like a whole lot of rain, nor too much of a warm up. Maybe we'll get some more snow to build on it with!?! Need to keep up with current events analogs of 96,78 and 03 are popping up that thing will be a mountain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 21 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Looks great! Nice foundation you have going there. Exceeded my expectations and as you said, feels like winter now. The wind cuts right through. Nice January weather....a viking beach day. Thanks! Yeah, too windy and cold for a kettle fire tonight, even though it's Friday night! We had one last night, sort of becoming a pre-snow tradition for the time being. Finally came inside around midnight after an hour or so of virga, but it wasn't too long afterwards that we got flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 6 minutes ago, RedSky said: Need to keep up with current events analogs of 96,78 and 03 are popping up that thing will be a mountain Here's hoping! Funny you mention 1978, that's probably the first year I made a big snow pile, mostly because we had 2 big snows 2 weeks apart and didn't have a lot of room. So the pile got high, and I carved an armchair into it. Didn't use it a whole lot however, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 9:50 PM, Birds~69 said: My old stomping grounds in my 20s, rented a place up 2nd avenue off Main Street. Use to hit Toms bar for happy hour occasionally on my way home from work. Is that place still there/open? 31F / Light snow Nice I'm right next to the police station! It's looking like it'll be my stomping grounds through my 20s too, at least for the next year or so. Took months to find a decent spot that was affordable within 20 mins of KOP. Tom's is still open but I haven't gone in since I haven't been drinking because I've been dealing with really bad low back pain/sciatica due to stenosis this year and I'm trying to keep the inflammation down. Last fall my plan was to have moved north or west by this winter to snowboard all the time but now that looks like a pipedream. Hoping for some progress with my health so I can get back to pow chasing. Literally one of my biggest passions so its frustrating not being able to enjoy it at such a young age. Got probably 4 inches here but haven't gone outside since I have covid! My car is the only one in the lot with snow still on it haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 25 minutes ago, ChasingFlakes said: Nice I'm right next to the police station! It's looking like it'll be my stomping grounds through my 20s too, at least for the next year or so. Took months to find a decent spot that was affordable within 20 mins of KOP. Tom's is still open but I haven't gone in since I haven't been drinking because I've been dealing with really bad low back pain/sciatica due to stenosis this year and I'm trying to keep the inflammation down. Last fall my plan was to have moved north or west by this winter to snowboard all the time but now that looks like a pipedream. Hoping for some progress with my health so I can get back to pow chasing. Literally one of my biggest passions so its frustrating not being able to enjoy it at such a young age. Got probably 4 inches here but haven't gone outside since I have covid! My car is the only one in the lot with snow still on it haha. Yeah, I know exactly where you are located. I thought when I moved there winter weather would be better but it wasn't at all. (Not the reason I moved there) Whenever snow changed to rain in Philly it was only 20min or so before the changeover happened there..it didn't hang on.Maybe due to only 240' elevation. It wasn't any different living there than when I lived in Horsham. Best of luck w/your health as some injuries take a while to heal. And not sure if you know this but the movie "The Lovely Bones" (Mark Wahlberg, Susan Sarandon) was shot right in front of or around your place on main street. I moved away by this point but went up to check it out...pretty cool. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NR_1RDCh4Js 32F/Sunny 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 On 1/7/2022 at 5:35 PM, Albedoman said: the problem is that even when the sun comes out tomorrow, Sat highs will not even get above freezing thus curtailing any melting on untreated surfaces. Tonight , everything will freeze solid- slush and all with lows near the single digits in some areas in the LV in the deepest valleys. The sun can only melt so much on Sat. That sets up perfect conditions for Saturday night. The skies will remain clear until about midnight. The temps will fall like a rock before things cloud up and will be in the upper teens and low 20's when the precip starts to fall -- first as a period of sleet/maybe snow pellets mixed in, then freezing rain throughout Sunday morning after sunrise. It will take almost all day for the cold air to get scoured out of the LV. The the arctic front comes through late Sunday night changing the little bit of warm rain back over to light snow with a flash freeze for Monday morning. Then the snow squalls reach us on Monday afternoon , especially in the northern parts of the LV. I have experienced this scenario a dozen times during my 35+ years here in the LV. forecast still on target Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Non-diurnal trend continued overnight IMBY and I am now up to 29 with dp 23, with a deck of clouds overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 11 hours ago, Albedoman said: forecast still on target How did you make out up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 6 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: How did you make out up there? most of the freezing rain fell before 2pm . Had about .20 of precip. Not much overperformance luckily. The temps finally rose above freezing at 1pm. The temps never recovered above 34 degrees and actually are near freezing again. Hopefully the streets dry out before it freezes. They salted the crap out the main roads up here. Expect a brief snow squall/shower that could whiten the ground by tomorrow evening as the arctic front comes whizzing by to drop the temps into single digits for Tuesday morning. waiting for big one by the 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Down East, Maine cabin: Despite blizzard conditions not materializing, we did end up with ~12” (~20” ytd from 4 “significant” events…many dusting type events not included)! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 hours ago, snowwors2 said: Down East, Maine cabin: Despite blizzard conditions not materializing, we did end up with ~12” (~20” ytd from 4 “significant” events…many dusting type events not included)! Nice! Is that your remote camera/webcam? Though if it was and it was snowing I'd have mixed feelings about not being up there! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 On 1/11/2022 at 12:51 AM, KamuSnow said: Nice! Is that your remote camera/webcam? Though if it was and it was snowing I'd have mixed feelings about not being up there! Hey Kamu! Sadly, yes…Cabin is off-the-grid with minimal heat, so we need to shut it down for the winter, but I “live there” during snowstorms via my Starlink satellite internet, Blink cameras and Tempest weather station (-1.3° early Tuesday AM)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 18 hours ago, snowwors2 said: Hey Kamu! Sadly, yes…Cabin is off-the-grid with minimal heat, so we need to shut it down for the winter, but I “live there” during snowstorms via my Starlink satellite internet, Blink cameras and Tempest weather station (-1.3° early Tuesday AM)! It's beautiful up there! A few years back spent a week up the coast a little from Mt. Desert Island, in August. It was 95 and humid down here, and in the 70s up there, and smelled like pine trees. Nice! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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