jayyy Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 minute ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Tell your friend hi ^ looks good mate (the snow of course) 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Hmmmmm. driest place on earth getting precipitation. This seems sus to me 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: tell them to get western territory open for my by Saturday! I think this one and the cold over the weekend will get them completely open. Have a blast man. Broke my leg at Snowshoe 25 years ago. What a shitshow that was. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Just now, clskinsfan said: I think this one and the cold over the weekend will get them completely open. Have a blast man. Broke my leg at Snowshoe 25 years ago. What a shitshow that was. That escalated quickly. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 2" reported by a spotter in Romney, WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, jayyy said: Tell your friend hi ^ looks good mate (the snow of course) Crap. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris_B Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 7 minutes ago, yoda said: Mmmmhmmm RGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 659 PM EST Thu Jan 6 2022 DCZ001-MDZ005-006-008-011-013-014-016-018-503>508-VAZ052>054-502- 506-071200- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0003.220107T0200Z-220107T1200Z/ District of Columbia-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil- Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-Calvert- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Southern Fauquier- Eastern Loudoun- 659 PM EST Thu Jan 6 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, with localized amounts up to 5 inches. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, portions of central, northeast, northern and southern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow may fall at 1 inch or greater per hour overnight. Visibility will drop down to one quarter mile or less during the heaviest snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: And absolutely nothing in Winchester. No snow falling either Wow. That's surprising. It's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, nj2va said: Latest HRRR has snow breaking out inside the Beltway after 1a. Based on where that heavy band is, I'm afraid I'm taking it semi-seriously. It knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 9 minutes ago, jayyy said: The storm is quite literally overhead. It’s a nowcast situation when you have several models showing different tracks and evolutions this close to an event. Radar, meso analysis, WV loop, surface analysis, etc… will tell us more than a model will at this point. It's not THAT big a difference across guidance, we are all just obsessing over meso scale banding placement which is a nowcast detail. In a much larger storm who gets 28" v 22" isn't as big a deal. In a much "wetter" storm along the baroclinic boundary with lower ratios small .1 QPF differences arent as big a deal when were talking who gets 5" from .5 and who gets 7" from .7. But this is a type of setup where small qpf differences make a big OTG difference but that fact still doesn't make us any more able to place meso scale features accurately. 8 minutes ago, yoda said: Mmmmhmmm RGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 659 PM EST Thu Jan 6 2022 DCZ001-MDZ005-006-008-011-013-014-016-018-503>508-VAZ052>054-502- 506-071200- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0003.220107T0200Z-220107T1200Z/ District of Columbia-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil- Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-Calvert- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Southern Fauquier- Eastern Loudoun- 659 PM EST Thu Jan 6 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, with localized amounts up to 5 inches. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, portions of central, northeast, northern and southern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow may fall at 1 inch or greater per hour overnight. Visibility will drop down to one quarter mile or less during the heaviest snow. They just told ya'll to chill out too 8 minutes ago, IronTy said: Posting trying to tell weenies to chill when there isn't an impending line of thundersnow heading our way is basically just posting to read your own words. Might as well just type "thoughts and prayers". I did my job, you have been lead to water trough...its not my fault if you dive head first into it and drown! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 12 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: And absolutely nothing in Winchester. No snow falling either Yeah. We/Winchester are getting ruthlessly trolled right now by God. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=LWX-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Crap. Sorry bud, I had to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: More consolidated vorticity and sharper on the 23z Hrrrrrrrrr fwiw Great to have you back fighting the good fight! 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 13 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: tell them to get western territory open for my by Saturday! They said they’re making snow there and hope to have it open before the end of the weekend on the website. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 00z RAOB from Sterling is in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 00z IAD sounding - think it means we’ve got some dry air we need to get out of our system. ninja’d Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: 00z IAD sounding - think it means we’ve got some dry air we need to get out of our system. Also shows right above the surface is below freezing so we’ll cool quickly in UHI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It's not THAT big a difference across guidance, we are all just obsessing over meso scale banding placement which is a nowcast detail. In a much larger storm who gets 28" v 22" isn't as big a deal. In a much "wetter" storm along the baroclinic boundary with lower ratios small .1 QPF differences arent as big a deal when were talking who gets 5" from .5 and who gets 7" from .7. But this is a type of setup where small qpf differences make a big OTG difference but that fact still doesn't make us any more able to place meso scale features accurately. They just told ya'll to chill out too I did my job, you have been lead to water trough...its not my fault if you dive head first into it and drown! Still think nowcasting using radar and surface analysis is more useful in ironing out what’s the more likely outcome than using models. But point taken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: They said they’re making snow there and hope to have it open before the end of the weekend on the website. Ya I saw that but its kind of perplexing because they are getting a dump of snow tonight...and then cold through Saturday...but its going to rain pretty hard Sunday so if they don't get it open by saturday....well...the "by the END of the weekend" part is confusing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 32/23 with virga 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilentTalkie Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Light snow starting at Wintergreen. Hoping for some decent rates before evening skiing closes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 34/28 snow 50 miles west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 42 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: In situations like this, the mPING app on your smart phone really helps DOTs, EMs, and NWS with identifying when it's snowing. If you have mPING and can report, please do! More about mPING: https://mping.ou.edu/#:~:text=Meteorological Phenomena Identification Near the,smart phone or mobile device. And if you share any pics/obs on Twitter, please use the #LWXSpotter for our EM folks! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Watching the radar and the precip get stonewalled to the SW of dc. Dry air winning out big time in central Maryland / DC currently That band currently NW of me will hit long before anything from the SW 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 9 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: 00z RAOB from Sterling is in. disaster lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Puking fatties on the Hagerstown traffic cams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Hagerstown death band setting up? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nukeing Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 32/23 in mt airy, no precipitation yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Watching the radar and the precip get stonewalled to the SW of dc. Dry air winning out big time in central Maryland / DC currently That band currently NW of me will hit long before anything from the SW It wasn’t supposed to start in DC until after midnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Come to papa - looks like some decent snow falling in Clskinsfan land 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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