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Jan 6/7 "Event" and obs


stormtracker
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8 minutes ago, jayyy said:

This earlier start mean anything? Or just that it’ll end earlier? Curious if it has anything to do with the lead wave 

It's not really a start...it's more frontrunning hitting really dry air.  I think you have to be pretty far west (beyond frederick and jefferson counties) to really get in the heavies before 10-11 tonight...Hope I'm wrong

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6 minutes ago, gunny23 said:

Just packed the car - screw it - I don't care how dicey the drive is, we are heading out to Canaan. I am not missing this

As someone who used to live out there and goes several times a year… if you have four wheel drive and you’re experienced in driving in the snow you’ll be fine (the visibility will be zero without a doubt once you climb Mt. Storm and summit the Allegheny plateau). If not you will have serious issues because the snow will be very deep on corridor H.

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1 minute ago, chris21 said:

As someone who used to live out there and goes several times a year… if you have four wheel drive and you’re experienced in driving in the snow you’ll be fine (the visibility will be zero without a doubt once you climb Mt. Storm and summit the Allegheny plateau). If not you will have serious issues because the snow will be very deep on corridor H.

we have 4 wheel drive and both from New England - we will take it slow.  we've been going out there for years so know what's ahead

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1 minute ago, H2O said:

The recent stuff you posted for DC proper on the mesos tells me this one won’t go well for us. That’s fine. Monday was sweet. I can live with a nice dusting that’s sweepable

All that aside I’m still rooting for us and anything less than 2” would be a disaster on the level as Boxing Day whiff was :clown:

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1 minute ago, H2O said:

The recent stuff you posted for DC proper on the mesos tells me this one won’t go well for us. That’s fine. Monday was sweet. I can live with a nice dusting that’s sweepable

Not bad for DCA

---------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
220107/0700Z  13  33010KT  30.5F  SNOW   11:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.053   11:1|  0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.05  100|  0|  0
220107/0800Z  14  33011KT  30.6F  SNOW   17:1| 1.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.109   15:1|  2.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.16  100|  0|  0
220107/0900Z  15  33010KT  30.5F  SNOW   24:1| 1.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.060   18:1|  3.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.22  100|  0|  0
220107/1000Z  16  32011KT  30.5F  SNOW   19:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.024   18:1|  4.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.25  100|  0|  0
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Just now, Solution Man said:

Not bad for DCA

---------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
220107/0700Z  13  33010KT  30.5F  SNOW   11:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.053   11:1|  0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.05  100|  0|  0
220107/0800Z  14  33011KT  30.6F  SNOW   17:1| 1.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.109   15:1|  2.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.16  100|  0|  0
220107/0900Z  15  33010KT  30.5F  SNOW   24:1| 1.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.060   18:1|  3.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.22  100|  0|  0
220107/1000Z  16  32011KT  30.5F  SNOW   19:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.024   18:1|  4.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.25  100|  0|  0

What is this?  Cobb for GFS, NAM, NOGAPS, Brazilian?

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Final forecast for the region. I may be low balling a bit across Central MD, but I have a feeling someone will get snubbed, but someone nearby could still be a winner. Lots of banding within the initial shield. Enjoy the snow y'all. I'll be living vicariously!! :sled:

1264240143_0106SnowForecast2-MA.thumb.png.3970e42c1f7786341477f3173086f2b6.png

 

Edit: I might be too high for areas like Loudoun/Fairfax county, but they still look good for 2-4" so it works in this case. Hopefully the slug from the SW really rolls through the region. That could come down hard and fast. 

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2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Final forecast for the region. I may be low balling a bit across Central MD, but I have a feeling someone will get snubbed, but someone nearby could still be a winner. Lots of banding within the initial shield. Enjoy the snow y'all. I'll be living vicariously!! :sled:

1264240143_0106SnowForecast2-MA.thumb.png.3970e42c1f7786341477f3173086f2b6.png

Yes please 

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