lpaschall Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 16 minutes ago, FamouslyHot said: 18z GFS, as requested 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: You got a magnifying glass to pass out with that post? 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FamouslyHot Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 6 minutes ago, jayyy said: To put this question in common folk terminology, why is the 18z GFS so moist? Big punch from the WAA or is it the coastal? Strong frontogenesis aided by WAA 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 12 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Not sure if you meant ocean or oven, but the latter makes more sense. I combined them since they are one in the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Just now, clskinsfan said: You got a magnifying glass to pass out with that post? I just realized that. Sorry :/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 43 minutes ago, Scraff said: Sitting outside waiting for the new happy hour King GooFuS. How are my I-95 corridor flurries looking? Oh. OBS. I’m cold but who cares. Beer warms… That place in crown has some great beers, cannot lie! Always see a crowd outside of it. Uhhhh as for OBS… 37 and overcast here in Rockville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 The HRRR is seriously chasing convection (could be dead on). But it’s low track compared to the gfs is starkly different for -6 hours until snow starts falling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Friend from Inwood, WV has flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Looking downstream still no snow on the Wintergreen cams at ~3500 ft despite echos overhead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 32 minutes ago, rjvanals said: Jackpot over Manchester so it’s prob right Balance has been restored to the force 3 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 33/22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 First flakes just NW of Winchester. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 33/20 - it’s surely cold enough. Now it’s time for the atmosphere to GFS the sh-t out of this storm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 My sister lives just across the river from Huntington WV in Ohio she has 4" so far and still coming down. 4-6" predicted 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Snowshoe starting to get the goods. They need this. Only at 8" on the season so far https://www.snowshoemtn.com/media-room/snowshoe-village-live-cam 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Arlington Public Schools caved for tomorrow. An entire week without school. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kristia Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 32/20 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nukeing Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 33/21 in Mt airySent from my Pixel 6 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 21 minutes ago, jayyy said: To put this question in common folk terminology, why is the 18z GFS so moist? Big punch from the WAA or is it the coastal? I’ll tell you what stuck out to me when I searched for that answer. Gfs has a much more consolidated and vigorous vort max and because it’s associated with the primary it causes that to be the focus of amplification and associated banding vs transfer to the coastal secondary. Other guidance has a less focused vort with several weaker vorts that fails to support the primary enough to stave off energy transfer to the coastal, which is what causes the relative qpf minimum across our area. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 35/28 cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 14 minutes ago, mappy said: Friend from Inwood, WV has flurries Just a few flakes now reaching the ground in Winchester 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 40/22... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Cold and dark in Montclair. 37/21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Light snow has started. 35 degrees. Snow started reaching the ground with a RH of 52%. Pretty rare. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Just now, losetoa6 said: I posted this in the other forum. Millville approves Western Prince William gets the goods 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: I posted this in the other forum. Millville approves What forum? Nice map! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Decent light snow a little south of Martinsburg. Enough to wet the roads. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I’ll tell you what stuck out to me when I searched for that answer. Gfs has a much more consolidated and vigorous vort max and because it’s associated with the primary it causes that to be the focus of amplification and associated banding vs transfer to the coastal secondary. Other guidance has a less focused vort with several weaker vorts that fails to support the primary enough to stave off energy transfer to the coastal, which is what causes the relative qpf minimum across our area. Just the person I was hoping would answer my question. Thanks man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: Cold and dark in Montclair. 37/21 Just the way we like it. 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 HRRR still dry..0.15-0.2 for most of extended DC metro....Looking like 1-3" for immediate DC metro and 2-4" NW imo...I'n giving the GFS minimal weight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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