BristowWx Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: As a patriot, GFS is my ride or die America fcuk yeah! Yes I’m drunk 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: This storm is terrible... So you aren't expecting 5" i take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Good thing my dews are in the 20s. The benefit of being closer to the ovean 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, FamouslyHot said: 18z GFS, as requested i'm gonna approve that. climo friendly, but everyone gets involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, FamouslyHot said: 18z GFS, as requested How do I sign up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, H2O said: Good thing my dews are in the 20s. The benefit of being closer to the ovean I feel like I'm close to the oven for a lot of storms... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 To put this question in common folk terminology, why is the 18z GFS so moist? Big punch from the WAA or is it the coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 No radar panic necessary. It looks just like a 2-3” producer usually does. Any changes in onset time? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 GFS only gives me 5. Ewww. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowCane Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 In the GFS we trust! Screw the rest of ‘em 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 16 minutes ago, FamouslyHot said: 18z GFS, as requested 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: You got a magnifying glass to pass out with that post? 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FamouslyHot Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 6 minutes ago, jayyy said: To put this question in common folk terminology, why is the 18z GFS so moist? Big punch from the WAA or is it the coastal? Strong frontogenesis aided by WAA 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 12 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Not sure if you meant ocean or oven, but the latter makes more sense. I combined them since they are one in the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Just now, clskinsfan said: You got a magnifying glass to pass out with that post? I just realized that. Sorry :/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 43 minutes ago, Scraff said: Sitting outside waiting for the new happy hour King GooFuS. How are my I-95 corridor flurries looking? Oh. OBS. I’m cold but who cares. Beer warms… That place in crown has some great beers, cannot lie! Always see a crowd outside of it. Uhhhh as for OBS… 37 and overcast here in Rockville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 The HRRR is seriously chasing convection (could be dead on). But it’s low track compared to the gfs is starkly different for -6 hours until snow starts falling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Friend from Inwood, WV has flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Looking downstream still no snow on the Wintergreen cams at ~3500 ft despite echos overhead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 32 minutes ago, rjvanals said: Jackpot over Manchester so it’s prob right Balance has been restored to the force 3 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 33/22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 First flakes just NW of Winchester. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 33/20 - it’s surely cold enough. Now it’s time for the atmosphere to GFS the sh-t out of this storm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 My sister lives just across the river from Huntington WV in Ohio she has 4" so far and still coming down. 4-6" predicted 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Arlington Public Schools caved for tomorrow. An entire week without school. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kristia Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 32/20 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nukeing Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 33/21 in Mt airySent from my Pixel 6 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 21 minutes ago, jayyy said: To put this question in common folk terminology, why is the 18z GFS so moist? Big punch from the WAA or is it the coastal? I’ll tell you what stuck out to me when I searched for that answer. Gfs has a much more consolidated and vigorous vort max and because it’s associated with the primary it causes that to be the focus of amplification and associated banding vs transfer to the coastal secondary. Other guidance has a less focused vort with several weaker vorts that fails to support the primary enough to stave off energy transfer to the coastal, which is what causes the relative qpf minimum across our area. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 35/28 cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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