BristowWx Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, nj2va said: 6z Euro 2-4” for the area, except far eastern and western areas. toss it. JV model. GFS gives me 7 so no going back now. and yes I think i hit my head on something recently 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: toss it. JV model. GFS gives me 7 so no going back now. and yes I think i hit my head on something recently That’s right, go big or go home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Charlotteville had 4 WSW in about a four week period last year — it’s not too rare. As I think Bob Chill mentioned, when we get hot, we get hot. Feb 2010 is definitely on the list. Feel like there must be something else recent. Was thinking about his quotes yesterday. “It just wants to snow” came to mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: 6z Euro 2-4” for the area, except far eastern and western areas. Ticked west for all the main features, but unfortunately that places the middle finger from DC up to me through central Baltimore and Harford counties. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Two in a row fairly locked in yet there's always intrigue. The last one was where does the cutoff happen...this one is where does the banding setup and who gets stuck in the taint...fun times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Ticked west for all the main features, but unfortunately that places the middle finger from DC up to me through central Baltimore and Harford counties. So what you’re actually saying is trust the GFS more since Euro ticked west…that and Euro has a dry basis…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 BRINE Alert BRINE Alert wow they made up for not doing the roads in the last event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 2 hours ago, LeesburgWx said: Wow, GFS If the GFS was right, when is the last time our region had back to back WSW events in the same week? First one I immediately think of is Feb 2010: Snowmageddon and Snowmadeggon 2: Snowpocalyse Now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, nj2va said: So what you’re actually saying is trust the GFS more since Euro ticked west…that and Euro has a dry basis…. Plus—why would anyone NOT ride the GFS hot hand. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 28 minutes ago, nj2va said: 6z Euro 2-4” for the area, except far eastern and western areas. Maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 If the GFS wins again I think we are really looking at end of times 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 25 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Ticked west for all the main features, but unfortunately that places the middle finger from DC up to me through central Baltimore and Harford counties. Get thee behind me satan 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, CAPE said: It’s a Vice Regent winter and I do not like that 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Think the euro has been the most consistent with this one. Could be a bad memory though lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Think the euro has been the most consistent with this one. Could be a bad memory though lol It has hosed my area each time so , yeah. Consistent it has been. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Think the euro has been the most consistent with this one. Could be a bad memory though lol The most consistent in giving your area good snow...your memory is just fine lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 We are region centered of course but the last week across parts of Tennessee and I suppose northern Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia has been pretty epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Outside of the western highlands this is still probably a 2-4 deal for most. Any banding that develops would be pretty brief given the relatively short duration of this event overall. Those areas would probably see an additional inch or 2. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, H2O said: If the GFS wins again I think we are really looking at end of times I don't remember what the Euro showed in the final couple of runs leading up to the last storm, but did the GFS really win? It lead the way days leading into the storm that it would be coming much farther north and west than what most models showed and so it definitely won in that respect, but for my particular location, the totals were way overdone and it seemed like it had the general snow shield too far northwest than reality. I thought the 3k NAM did the best job showing the location of the cutoff, if I'm remembering correctly. I'd love for the GFS to be right because it has that band right over me, but no other model is showing that to be the location of the band, and the GFS doesn't seem like the best model to use for that kind of detail anyway. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Think the euro has been the most consistent with this one. Could be a bad memory though lol IDK... The GFS and EURO have both been consistent with with their outputs... just different outputs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 My forecast for Winchester is 2-3”. That is a reasonable expectation and in all likelihood the most probable outcome. I’d also expect earlier start time and end time from what is modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 My backyard final call 3.3" good luck all...just like Yeoman I have a busy work day today and an early nap to prepare for the 3 hours of snow overnight. Enjoy the melting today 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: My forecast for Winchester is 2-3”. That is a reasonable expectation and in all likelihood the most probable outcome. I’d also expect earlier start time and end time from what is modeled. Good luck up that way. I feel a dud coming down in my neck of the woods. Starting off in the low 40s and the main piece of precip is going to traverse WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 18 minutes ago, snowfan said: That’s a gfs map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 When’s Chuck gonna post a dot matrix northern hemisphere map and tell us this snow ain’t happening again? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 This thing is booking it...no surprise there but western areas may see first flakes before the sun sets. Weenie radar with returns reaching out for SW WV already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, poolz1 said: This thing is booking it...no surprise there but western areas may see first flakes before the sun sets. Weenie radar with returns reaching out for SW WV already. Possibly... but its going to pack a punch I hope lol https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0036.html 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 GFS has been great last 3 years. Kuchera is never great yet people still post that. -RSC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now