aldie 22 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 14 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Final Call General 3-6" for extended DC metro with 5-8" in Loudoun/Jefferson/West Moco and Annapolis/La Plata Aggressive.....me likey 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Don't forget about the UV index.. we don't want Oliver getting a sunburnPeople calling omicron covid? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 28 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Final Call General 3-6" for extended DC metro with 5-8" in Loudoun/Jefferson/West Moco and Annapolis/La Plata Don’t forget about your western friends in your predictions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Dirty talk The Href did decent when I followed it the past few years. Didn’t pay much attention this last storm though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 18 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Come to PaPa. Did you move? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Did you move? Never mind I don’t read lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Don’t forget about your western friends in your predictions It means he thinks you’re getting 0”. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 You can tell we are in model hell for a few hours…but Ji already sees the back edge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 52 minutes ago, H2O said: And I would love an explanation on that tweet. Like why does a drier area on that map translate to more white stuff? That is a map of wind speed. Deformation aloft indicates rising motion. That's what we want. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, nj2va said: It means he thinks you’re getting 0”. That’s what I’m afraid of lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 44 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO Dayum, WV! What’s a brother got to do to make that purple and pink head east about 50 miles? (self-weenie and lol) Looks like a blend of the models says 2-4” for most of us, with 5-7” lollies. After the recent 10” here in Churchville NW of Staunton and it being snow on snow, I obviously take whatever I can get- especially considering everything that falls will stay, despite what a jacked up snowfall depth map Chuck might show us says. Highs here are below freezing Friday (28°), with a low of 8° Friday night. It has been fun reading all of you for years, for real. I wish I could participate more, but I only recently know a little and I am usually teaching 8th graders or brewing beer at a nanobrewery as my side gig. Happy new year, fellow snow freaks/ weenies! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 5 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: That is a map of wind speed. Deformation aloft indicates rising motion. That's what we want. I honestly don’t know what to “root” for up here. If the deform doesn’t crank in time I get a pretty decent event from the mid level SW associated band. If the deform develops in time I “could” do even better but I’ve seen this enough to know if that gets going but stays SE of me I end up in the screw zone between bands from the subsidence on the NW periphery of the deform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I honestly don’t know what to “root” for up here. If the deform doesn’t crank in time I get a pretty decent event from the mid level SW associated band. If the deform develops in time I “could” do even better but I’ve seen this enough to know if that gets going but stays SE of me I end up in the screw zone between bands from the subsidence on the NW periphery of the deform. Go big or go home! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 9 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: That’s what I’m afraid of lol Nah. We are good. I am saying 4-6 for us. 2-4 north and east of us. I am looki9ng forward to playing around in the SPC Meso Analysis site tomorrow. Should be able to see the Def bands set up. Hopefully right over us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Nah. We are good. I am saying 4-6 for us. 2-4 north and east of us. I am looki9ng forward to playing around in the SPC Meso Analysis site tomorrow. Should be able to see the Def bands set up. Hopefully right over us. I think you do well. You’re far enough NW that you should cash in on the initial band before the coastal interferes much. So I think 2-4 is a safe bet. Maybe 3-5 with good ratios. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Snowshoe has 8" on the season and Canaan is closed right now...They need this... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Snowshoe has 8" on the season and Canaan is closed right now...They need this... My season to date total is higher in Alexandria than McHenry, which is insane. Wisp re-opened today after closing on New Years Day - super limited runs but planning more openings tomorrow and into this weekend. Upcoming pattern looks great for the mountains in MD/WV, especially as we get into mid month. Prime snow making conditions and could easily see clippers with great ratios enhanced by the orographic lift. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 You're under an WWA right now, Northern Virginia, but trust me, its gonna get upgraded to a warning. Its only a matter of time. You guys are on a heater. There's just no doubt about it. No sleep at all, none, all you are gonna do is chase exciting model runs and drink gallons of coffee then watch the snowstorm unfold right in front of you! You're gonna pile up snow on snow! This is going to be a fun winter! 1 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 11 minutes ago, nj2va said: My season to date total is higher in Alexandria than McHenry, which is insane. Wisp re-opened today after closing on New Years Day - super limited runs but planning more openings tomorrow and into this weekend. Upcoming pattern looks great for the mountains in MD/WV, especially as we get into mid month. Prime snow making conditions and could easily see clippers with great ratios enhanced by the orographic lift. Yeah, the Allegheny front is about to cash. A cold nw flow is gravy for that area. It can snow out a partly cloudy sky over there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, Jebman said: You're under an WWA right now, Northern Virginia, but trust me, its gonna get upgraded to a warning. Its only a matter of time. You guys are on a heater. There's just no doubt about it. No sleep at all, none, all you are gonna do is chase exciting model runs and drink gallons of coffee then watch the snowstorm unfold right in front of you! You're gonna pile up snow on snow! This is going to be a fun winter! You missed a good one. How often does Dale City be close to the jackpot? It was nearly the bullseye. You would have been quite pleased. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Anyone want to do a zoom tonight as 0z comes in? 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Just now, BristowWx said: You missed a good one. How often does Dale City be close to the jackpot? It was nearly the bullseye. You would have been quite pleased. I AM quite pleased! Everything is right in the world, now that I know Dale City got demolished by a foot of snow! The best part is, YOU ARE GONNA GET EVEN MORE! I hope you all get totally DEMOLISHED, totally annihilated! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 6 minutes ago, Jebman said: You're under an WWA right now, Northern Virginia, but trust me, its gonna get upgraded to a warning. Its only a matter of time. You guys are on a heater. There's just no doubt about it. No sleep at all, none, all you are gonna do is chase exciting model runs and drink gallons of coffee then watch the snowstorm unfold right in front of you! You're gonna pile up snow on snow! This is going to be a fun winter! Yup...as famous weather weenie Robert Nesta Marley sang - "Strike the hammer while iron is hot" 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Anyone want to do a zoom tonight as 0z comes in? Sounds like a decent idea. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Yup...as famous weather weenie Robert Nesta Marley sang - "Strike the hammer while iron is hot" If this little anafrontal deal the GFS is showing for Sunday/Monday turns into a thing, then we really know the horseshoe is firmly inserted into our asses. 3 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: If this little anafrontal deal the GFS is showing for Sunday/Monday turns into a thing, then we really know the horseshoe is firmly inserted into our asses. I lol’ed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: If this little anafrontal deal the GFS is showing for Sunday/Monday turns into a thing, then we really know the horseshoe is firmly inserted into our asses. Congrats Easton! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Super long range 00z HRRR QPF map shows the banding potential the Twitter Mets highlighted earlier. This run of the HRRR puts one basically right along I-95. I’d take this run in a heartbeat. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: Super long range 00z HRRR QPF map shows the banding potential the Twitter Mets highlighted earlier. This run of the HRRR puts one basically right along I-95. I’d take this run in a heartbeat. There's going to be some 8" totals in this Those bands 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: Super long range 00z HRRR QPF map shows the banding potential the Twitter Mets highlighted earlier. This run of the HRRR puts one basically right along I-95. I’d take this run in a heartbeat. I would gladly take that .4 in Smithsburg. Would probably translate into 5 to 7" with the expected ratios. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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