clskinsfan Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 19 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: here.. accurate totals b Awesome. 4 or 5 inches looks great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 18 minutes ago, mappy said: I can't read that. Can you? I think it looks like Oak Island might get some snow which would affect the efforts of digging for treasure. They will have to wait a bit to find more rusty metal and a rock with a symbol that some internet guys says "dig here!" 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Forget the snow maps for a minute, the total precip numbers are pretty well in line with each other: For a spot near DC: 12z HRRR: 0.26" 12z NAM: 0.13" 12z NAM 3k: 0.23" 12z GFS: 0.25" 12z FV3: 0.2-0.3" 12z RGEM: 0.2" 00z Euro: 0.2" 06z Euro: 0.2-0.3" Throw out the NAM for obvious reasons, and it is a 2-3" snowfall. 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 14 minutes ago, yoda said: Sorry @mappy For ****ssake 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 17 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: the snow depth loss up our way is totally devastating... What ever will we do? lol 16 minutes ago, yoda said: Sorry @mappy Phew coming in with the light blues, barely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 6 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Forget the snow maps for a minute, the total precip numbers are pretty well in line with each other: For a spot near DC: 12z HRRR: 0.26" 12z NAM: 0.13" 12z NAM 3k: 0.23" 12z GFS: 0.25" 12z FV3: 0.2-0.3" 12z RGEM: 0.2" 00z Euro: 0.2" Throw out the NAM for obvious reasons, and it is a 2-3" snowfall. I think 06z EURO was near 0.3" near DCA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, yoda said: I think 06z EURO was near 0.3" near DCA? Correct, between .25-.3. Was an uptick from 0z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, yoda said: I think 06z EURO was near 0.3" near DCA? Sounds good, everyone posted snow maps and not QPF. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Moon angle isn't ideal.. too bad I'll be asleep for this one. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 GFS inline with everything else. .2-.3 precip throughout the region. It's a 2-4 storm. And I will take it in a heartbeat after the last disaster. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 6 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Correct, between .25-.3. Was an uptick from 0z any chance we outdo 10:1 ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Moon angle isn't ideal.. too bad I'll be asleep for this one. we got one storm every 3 years and your going to sleep through it! Actually a good idea. Imagine some moron standing by his window with the outside light on watching it snow for 4.5 hours 1 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Sterling with their updated map 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Canaan isn't under a watch or anything? Are they just a bit too far east to cash in on the 6-10" totals with this one? What resorts are over there, not as familiar with the WV options. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 8 minutes ago, Ji said: any chance we outdo 10:1 ratios? We should be 12-15:1 if we're being honest. Pretty decent snow growth as modeled on soundings. But of course, no guarantees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 6 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Canaan isn't under a watch or anything? Are they just a bit too far east to cash in on the 6-10" totals with this one? What resorts are over there, not as familiar with the WV options. This may just be that Pittsburgh hasn't issued them yet. The Charleston office covers the areas in WV under a watch. Pittsburgh does, however, show 4-6 for canaan right now in their forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 I know its unlikely, but would LWX go WSWatch for even for 3-5" considering the recent heavy snowfall in the SE zones (aka I95 corridor into EZF/S MD)? Even if LSR's are 12:1? 0.3" QPF (let's just say for DCA) would suggest near 4" (which is below the 5" WSWatch criteria)... but with powdery snow on top of wet cement snow/ice... wouldn't that create more hazards? Just a thought. I figure LWX takes that into account clearly... but wondering what others thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 30 minutes ago, mappy said: What ever will we do? lol Phew coming in with the light blues, barely. At least you're in a light blue...look where I am! I swear I'm getting trolled this week, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 10 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Canaan isn't under a watch or anything? Are they just a bit too far east to cash in on the 6-10" totals with this one? What resorts are over there, not as familiar with the WV options. They have Canaan Valley resort and a much improved Timberline. I was at Canaan a few years ago, and it's a great place on a powder day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 More importantly, I’m trying to figure out who my AmericanWX doppelgänger is… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, yoda said: I know its unlikely, but would LWX go WSWatch for even for 3-5" considering the recent heavy snowfall in the SE zones (aka I95 corridor into EZF/S MD)? Even if LSR's are 12:1? 0.3" QPF (let's just say for DCA) would suggest near 4" (which is below the 5" WSWatch criteria)... but with powdery snow on top of wet cement snow/ice... wouldn't that create more hazards? Just a thought. I figure LWX takes that into account clearly... but wondering what others thought If it happens at rush hour and causes extra hazards, then maybe. But it looks like the snow should mostly be over by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 has anyone ever played around with this? https://www.netweather.tv/charts-and-data/global-jetstream#2022/01/13/1500Z/jetstream/surface/level/overlay=jetstream/orthographic=-112.84,28.75,470 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 It will be really good for Snowshoe, as they closed a ton of stuff. They had to close silvercreek for a few days, but it’s reopening at noon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 5 minutes ago, Fozz said: They have Canaan Valley resort and a much improved Timberline. I was at Canaan a few years ago, and it's a great place on a powder day. Yea Timberline is night and day from a few years ago. The new owners know what they are doing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Nobody look at the UKIE 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Interstate said: Nobody look at the UKIE Good thing it didn't even show snow for some people who got it the other day until one run before the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: Nobody look at the UKIE It’s 12z run snow maps are a bit wonky. It depicts .2-.3 qpf with temps below freezing and little or no snow accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 35 minutes ago, Ji said: any chance we outdo 10:1 ratios? I think possibly. Seriously. Many have stated that the column is pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 28 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Canaan isn't under a watch or anything? Are they just a bit too far east to cash in on the 6-10" totals with this one? What resorts are over there, not as familiar with the WV options. They may have a different warning criteria 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gunny23 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 10 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: Yea Timberline is night and day from a few years ago. The new owners know what they are doing. It's a whole new mountain. We just bought a place in Old Timberline. Hoping for enough of a threat here that Loudoun makes a Friday Closure announcement Thurs afternoon so we can get up there early - we haven't been up there yet when it has been dumping (our place anyway) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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