Maestrobjwa Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:06 PM, KAOS said: It will be fine... Expand I have no idea why I'm laughing at this so much, hahaha (hope everybody was okay though). Look like somebody Gronk-spiked that thing!! But yo how did the car even stay like that?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:18 PM, jaydreb said: The meso that was dry was HRRR? I thought 3k NAM was decent. Expand The RAP was dry as well. Latest HRRRRRRRRRRRR is only 1.2" for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:25 PM, Deck Pic said: 22z HRRR and RAP are dry af. hopefully they're missing something Expand Ground whitening may be all we get. I want to believe GFS but just can’t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:25 PM, Deck Pic said: 22z HRRR and RAP are dry af. hopefully they're missing something Expand Nothing like that following up one of the famous pessimists EJ saying this thing is gonna boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:19 PM, clskinsfan said: OK. That is the first time in my life I have seen a car standing straight up in a snow bank. Hilarious. Expand Clearly you need to drive more around the DC area after a storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:25 PM, Deck Pic said: 22z HRRR and RAP are dry af. hopefully they're missing something Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:25 PM, Deck Pic said: 22z HRRR and RAP are dry af. hopefully they're missing something Expand What's missing will be our snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Snowing lightly in Smithsburg . 30 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:29 PM, losetoa6 said: Frontogen looks decent already on current mesoanalysis Expand I think we're going to do really well with this one. 4-6 for us. Fingers crossed. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:25 PM, Deck Pic said: 22z HRRR and RAP are dry af. hopefully they're missing something Expand They got sick of reading this thread and called it off. I keep telling people they have to be nice to wx models and mother nature or else but they just don't listen... 3 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Light echoes are on my doorstep but nothing yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:28 PM, H2O said: The RAP was dry as well. Latest HRRRRRRRRRRRR is only 1.2" for DC Expand I’m grasping here… but how reliable is the hrrr? Does anyone have verification scores? I’ve seen scores thrown around for the adult models but never for the hrrr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:32 PM, T. August said: I’m grasping here… but how reliable is the hrrr? Does anyone have verification scores? I’ve seen scores thrown around for the adult models but never for the hrrr. Expand 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:32 PM, Bob Chill said: They got sick of reading this thread and called it off. I keep telling people they have to be nice to wx models and mother nature or else but they just don't listen... Expand That guy this afternoon that said the storm didn't look that great is what did it. The storm saw that and now we get the finger. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:31 PM, HighStakes said: I think we're going to do really well with this one. 4-6 for us. Fingers crossed. Expand As do I, liking 3-5, but my orographics could put some 6” totals up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:29 PM, losetoa6 said: Frontogen looks decent already on current mesoanalysis Expand I think it’ll just take some time to rev up for <500 ft elevation (estimating). It’s still a bit dry out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeff B Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 33/21Greenspring Valley (SE corner of 21136) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 33/21. Column having a tough time east of the BR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 37/23. Looks like this will start as snow here, in contrast to some model projections. The sun and mid-40s temps really cut back on the snowpack, but still averaging about 6". Even an inch or so would look pretty and put me over Climo, so personally I don't care that much if North and West areas get most of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 It's all good. Look at this impressive radar image... age... 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Looks to be way to dry of air for anything to fill in for several more hours over central va and nova.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Had about an hour of flurries being right on the edge of the precip. Light snow finally! 34/27 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:44 PM, CentralVaNATS said: Looks to be way to dry of air for anything to fill in for several more hours over central va and nova.Sent from my SM-G998U using TapatalkYeah, that’s what the mesos suggest. Start time has been pushed back for DC metro till like 1-2am on those things. Unrelated boundless optimism: 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:45 PM, poolz1 said: Had about an hour of flurries being right on the edge of the precip. Light snow finally! 34/27 Expand Already have a car topper here in Smithsburg. Wasn't expecting it to start for a few more hours 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Swanton 23/21. SN About 1.5" so far, but picked up in the last hour 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 In situations like this, the mPING app on your smart phone really helps DOTs, EMs, and NWS with identifying when it's snowing. If you have mPING and can report, please do! More about mPING: https://mping.ou.edu/#:~:text=Meteorological Phenomena Identification Near the,smart phone or mobile device. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:45 PM, poolz1 said: Had about an hour of flurries being right on the edge of the precip. Light snow finally! 34/27 Expand I feel ya. I had flurries and now snow has stopped. This winter sucks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:41 PM, KAOS said: It's all good. Look at this impressive radar image... age... Expand Black means heavy snow, right? 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Don't the metros usually struggle with dry spots when you're dealing with a transfer to the coast? Then when you combine how quick this one is moving, just doesn't seem like a great formula. Im sure I'm missing something, as I'm lacking in the knowledge many of you have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 On 1/6/2022 at 11:50 PM, IronTy said: Black means heavy snow, right? Expand Yes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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