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Jan 6th-7th 2022 Second Chance Storm


John1122
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33 in Northern Whitley

000
FXUS63 KJKL 061147
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
647 AM EST Thu Jan 6 2022

.UPDATE...
Issued at 640 AM EST THU JAN 6 2022

Made some minor adjustments upward in the snowfall totals, but the
overall theme is still the same. Looking at 3-5 inches along the
I-64 corridor and 6-8 inches with locally higher amounts along and
south of the mountain pkwy. Otherwise, just freshened up the near
term grids with the latest obs. Updates sent to NDFD and web
servers.
SLR`s will start off around 12:1 and increase to 14-15:1 by late
this afternoon. QPF totals will range from 0.25-0.35 along the
I-64 corridor, to 0.4-0.5 inches elsewhere. The latest HREF shows
high probabilities of 1+ inch per hour rates occurring this
afternoon into early this evening, especially across SE KY.
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8 minutes ago, nrgjeff said:

Correlation Coefficient bright band diagnostics looking at both Nashville and Huntsville radar...

West of I-65 snow line is trying to move south, as expected on the back side. Carry on Nashville! Hammer time Upper Plateau!

Bright band is trying to hold over KCHA (our mix) but appears warm air is nosing up too. Knoxville is going to be close. Gut says 850 T drops back side before moisture departs - some snow Knox. Like Vols basketball, you have to sweat it out before the win!

Can't imagine the TRI Cities busting here. Only concerns are the usual local orographics. Gotta take turns.

Been watching those 850 Ts  since last night like watching free throws to ice away a game.

  • Haha 1
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I can't wait for heavier precip, have a good light snow have a decent light snow occurring and nothing really mixing in maybe an occasional graupel but snowing at a decent clip about 95% flakage 5% graupel.

Not a moderate snow, but a sort of moderate light snow. Actually surprised, I was ready for complete bust with all the warm nose talk.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

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9 minutes ago, 8283 El Nino Baby said:

That radar pic implies McMinnville and places a bit east are getting hit, yet I am under that orange/red and its sprinkling graupel. Weird storm thus far.

That's crazy. It looks super heavy on radar. Similar boat here though, radar looks much heavier than what's actually falling. Everything that fell in the first 45 minutes here was a lot heavier snow

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