fountainguy97 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 For what it's worth I'm already 32 here in Erwin. Wasn't supposed to hit 32 until 3-4am. May not mean a thing though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RawCrabMeat Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 6 minutes ago, fountainguy97 said: For what it's worth I'm already 32 here in Erwin. Wasn't supposed to hit 32 until 3-4am. May not mean a thing though. Can't be a bad sign 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RawCrabMeat Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 11 minutes ago, John1122 said: HRRR really dumps on the mid-State. Basically unchanged elsewhere vs 18z. I expect Middle Tennessee to be under a Winter Storm Warning soon if the rest of the 0z suite comes in this way. GFS 0z out yet? That one has been solid all along and we're just about in nowcast territory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse from KY Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, RawCrabMeat said: GFS 0z out yet? That one has been solid all along and we're just about in nowcast territory I think it comes out in the 10 PM hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 0z NAM looks significantly better for the valley 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Fv3 trending exactly in line with the GFS. Nice uptick across the entire state really. edit: 12km NAM almost the exact same uptick in qpf. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 Slightly less amped, slightly less SW to NE angle from the NAM. Basically came in line with the RGEM from 18z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 HRRR really dumps on the mid-State. Basically unchanged elsewhere vs 18z. I expect Middle Tennessee to be under a Winter Storm Warning soon if the rest of the 0z suite comes in this way. It’s not far off that streaky looking Euro from yesterday. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 3k looks about the exact same as the HRRR. They are very close to the same model on the HRRR 48 hour extended run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 5 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: It’s not far off that streaky looking Euro from yesterday. . I believe those streaks are best guesses by the models at banding set ups. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 27 minutes ago, Reb said: 0z NAM looks significantly better for the valley The NAM went absolutely nuts. Kuchera map is a beauty. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 Doing my weenie duty, the HRF from the NAM family was true Namming. 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 MRX added Morgan to the WSW. Unsure why that wasn’t already issued but it is now. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Doing my weenie duty, the HRF from the NAM family was true Namming. . 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Doing my weenie duty, the HRF from the NAM family was true Namming. Looks like all those HRF mods really took off. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Also MRX keeps lowering my high temps. It started out 39° this morning and now it’s down to 35 for tomorrow . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 Another in the HRF family. I believe these were the NAM before the NAM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RawCrabMeat Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 11 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: MRX added Morgan to the WSW. Unsure why that wasn’t already issued but it is now. . I expect it means that OHX is about to add their Plateau counties to the Winter Storm Warning area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Another in the HRF family. I believe these were the NAM before the NAM. Aren’t those convective, meso mods or something like that?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 I expect it means that OHX is about to add their Plateau counties to the Winter Storm Warning area. That’s a great point . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RawCrabMeat Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 just when I thought I was out... they pull me back in... thanks NAM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 I got a question regarding a certain map on pivotal. When is the snowfall depth position change map useful to consider? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 I don’t put much stock into it but my zip code forecast on TWC app just went from 2-3” to 3-5” with a high temp of 33°. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsty2001 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: I don’t put much stock into it but my zip code forecast on TWC app just went from 2-3” to 3-5” with a high temp of 33°. . I sure hope not lol my TWC is saying 1" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 OHX expanded the Winter Storm Warning area quite a bit, and even that may not be enough. As of now, Middle Tennessee looks like the place to be in the state. It does as well as Kentucky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codgator Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Winter Storm Warnings posted Nashville area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 9 minutes ago, codgator said: Winter Storm Warnings posted Nashville area Where are you seeing that? Don’t see it on NOAA’s site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 02z RAP. Still doesn't have the whole event. It's snowing east of 75 at this hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codgator Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Wilson County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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