forkyfork Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 I dont get the doom and gloom. Looks like a nice little storm for the area. too much drama in this forum. No offense… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, jfklganyc said: I dont get the doom and gloom. Looks like a nice little storm for the area. too much drama in this forum. No offense… I think a lot of us NYC metro folks are still smarting from the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Think a good O/U for the city is like 2.5" for those of you betting types. I'm still more interested in that mid month period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 The emotion displayed over getting or not getting a few flakes is interesting. Sorta. Not really... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 8 minutes ago, NutleyBlizzard said: I think a lot of us NYC metro folks are still smarting from the last storm. This is nothing like the last storm, nothing worse than being on the cold fringe of a sharp cutoff to your south. This will be several hours of fluffy powder, won't be a big storm but will be pretty on Friday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Euro is about 2.5 inches for the area, more for LI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 The emotion displayed over getting or not getting a few flakes is interesting. Sorta. Not really.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, HVSnowLover said: Euro is about 2.5 inches for the area, more for LI. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 I like 2-4" overall but banding could easily bump that up There's more upside than downsides imo 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 After reviewing the 12Z MOS for KYC, I'll go with 1-2" mostly on any grass and car tops. Drive safely if out on the road during the period of inclement weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, WeatherFox said: After reviewing the 12Z MOS for KYC, I'll go with 1-2" mostly on any grass and car tops. Drive safely if out on the road during the period of inclement weather. KNYC.txt 2.86 kB · 2 downloads Why only grass and car tops. It will be falling at night with temps below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 What will it take to get a decent event? At this point i rather sniff cirrus. Call me a debbie downer but this is depressing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Why only grass and car tops. It will be falling at night with temps below freezing. I second that. It's falling at night and especially in the HV it's going to stick. I'm thinking 2-3, isolated 4 for most on this board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, WeatherFox said: Look at the dewpoints, its going to be well below freezing when its snowing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 9 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I like 2-4" overall but banding could easily bump that up There's more upside than downsides imo i'm thinking 4-8 9 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 10 minutes ago, WeatherFox said: After reviewing the 12Z MOS for KYC, I'll go with 1-2" mostly on any grass and car tops. Drive safely if out on the road during the period of inclement weather. It's going to be cold enough to stick everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 we're in a great spot with regard to the fgen circulation and the dendritic growth zone. i don't care about qpf output <3 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: we're in a great spot with regard to the fgen circulation and the dendritic growth zone. i don't care about qpf output <3 Agree I think 1-3 is a good call but I think 3-4 is actually more likely in this scenario than 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: It's going to be cold enough to stick everywhere Agree, by KNYC I'm referring to Manhattan where it's mostly sidewalks, streets, cars, "urban heat Island and the snow is expected to be light. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 10 minutes ago, WeatherFox said: Help me learn… Why are you holding the GFS is such regard after the last two storms? It seems that it has been quite bad this season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Weird when Forky is positive and the board is dismissing the potential. I’m far enough north west that my chances are slim, but you all living closer to the city should be ok. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Still like my call, 1-3" city north and west, 2-4" for LI. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 15 minutes ago, forkyfork said: we're in a great spot with regard to the fgen circulation and the dendritic growth zone. i don't care about qpf output <3 I'm using 2-5" right now and think I'll stay there unless the meso's really start going en mass towards a clean fronto band. I see the potential I'm just not willing to commit to it yet. Low side of range for those in jersey and lower Hudson valley, higher side potential for the south shore/east end. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: Max reflectivity of hi-res max ensemble only 37ish? Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 8 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Weird when Forky is positive and the board is dismissing the potential. I’m far enough north west that my chances are slim, but you all living closer to the city should be ok. God afternoon FHW. When forky becomes serious I generally pause and go on alert status. As always …. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Enso state quite different but in some other respects tomorrow night's 1-4" storm could analog well with an early January storm in another dead winter, 1980 (79-80). I think it might have been January 3rd. Initially this storm could over-perform to our south and west over some areas. As it moves in however, it moves out as dry air lessens snowfall rates and the storm moves rapidly e-ne. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Yeah whenever Forky is positive about something he’s usually right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2-5” seems to be what most are going with and hard to disagree. Storm looks disjointed as it’s coming through our area and doesn’t really get together until it’s NE of here. Fast movement doesn’t help. However there’s a decent chance someone could pick up more where they sit under a band. The VVs aren’t epic by any means but it doesn’t take long to get to 6” under a heavy fronto band. 5” would be E Suffolk and 2” would be well NW of the city. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 18 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Yeah whenever Forky is positive about something he’s usually right Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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