Thinksnow18 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Just now, Buckeyes_Suck said: We really need just a little stronger flow. I’d prob get to 30” tonight. I just realized something. I have sat down for the moment after rearranging some furniture and realized there’s a Sabres game, my dog is limping and my wife got her nails done…I am a weenie through and through… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 I’m back in the Roc, 200.2 miles today. It was certainly interesting and the second half of the day salvaged things. North side of Buffalo got hit pretty good. Not a blockbuster day but no regrets. Probably the deepest and heaviest snow I’ll be in this year. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: I’m back in the Roc, 200.2 miles today. It was certainly interesting and the second half of the day salvaged things. North side of Buffalo got hit pretty good. Not a blockbuster day but no regrets. Probably the deepest and heaviest snow I’ll be in this year. Wait until you see the video I got of you driving into those drifts will be worth. Also was very nice meeting you! Got to meet up with 2 new posters here in the last few months! 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 21 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Has anyone else ever seen a storm sliding through PA heading to the coast while still seeing a SW flow lake effect band? I can’t recall ever seeing one. Completely anomalous and fooled me. I had it all wrong. I still don’t understand where the southwest wind came from. Weird wild stuff. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 Waterfront is about to get into some really heavy stuff. I think right along the water gets heaviest totals which is very rare. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 8 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I just realized something. I have sat down for the moment after rearranging some furniture and realized there’s a Sabres game, my dog is limping and my wife got her nails done…I am a weenie through and through… Yeah thats why there were so many cars downtown getting stuck, everyone was walking to arena as I was walking around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Waterfront is about to get into some really heavy stuff. I think right along the water gets heaviest totals which is very rare. Does the airport break its all time January single day record of 18.3” ? That would be pretty dang cool. At 15.0” as of 5pm so I think it’s gonna be close as you said the heaviest rates are closer to the lake not inland near the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Glad most of the north town guys got to cash in today. Cutoff on the south side was crazy. Left work at Harlem Walden at 5 and had roughy 14” was hard finding a good spot to measure without drift impacts. Depth seems like it held close to 12” at Harlem William but then just the short drive to the next intersection at Clinton and was under 6”. Came home here to only 4.5” on the board but can’t complain when you can “chase” at work. - BW great shots downtown. Wanted to do the same but just had no energy left after work. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 8 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Completely anomalous and fooled me. I had it all wrong. I still don’t understand where the southwest wind came from. Weird wild stuff. I’ve been thinking about this too. When I saw the low position slide up to Quebec I thought no way the lake effect would make it to northern Erie County. I wonder if the warmer than normal lakes combined with that low not really strengthening as it moved away caused a perfect environment for something like a “Great Lakes Low” to form upstream from us. All that cold air flowing over the huge expanse of relatively warm lake water I imagine can create some unexpected air flows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Does the airport break its all time January single day record of 18.3” ? That would be pretty dang cool. At 15.0” as of 5pm so I think it’s gonna be close as you said the heaviest rates are closer to the lake not inland near the airport. Maybe. I’m getting about 1/2 an hour a few miles east of the airport. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 This is probably my best forecasted les event. My text at 10 am yesterday morning with Devin. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 9 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Does the airport break its all time January single day record of 18.3” ? That would be pretty dang cool. At 15.0” as of 5pm so I think it’s gonna be close as you said the heaviest rates are closer to the lake not inland near the airport. If they had 15” at 5pm I think they could make a run to 20”. Watching the loop almost looks like it’s coming to a stop and making a small kink north again. Think this locks in over downtown to airport for a few more hours. Inland extent really seems to have taken a dump with the winds dying down. Under some nice returns here but still only 1” hr rates. This has certainly been an entertaining event to watch unfold! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 9 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: I’ve been thinking about this too. When I saw the low position slide up to Quebec I thought no way the lake effect would make it to northern Erie County. I wonder if the warmer than normal lakes combined with that low not really strengthening as it moved away caused a perfect environment for something like a “Great Lakes Low” to form upstream from us. All that cold air flowing over the huge expanse of relatively warm lake water I imagine can create some unexpected air flows. I mean I was saying from day one this whole event seemed centered around a giant Great Lakes induced thermal trough, however I didn’t really believe it would be this strong or actually pan out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Anyone else seeing this over Huron? I’ll snag a loop once it’s done but there is what I describe as a fully rotating meso sinking south. Inflow feeder bands coming from every direction??? 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 51 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: I know why we are I just don’t ever recall seeing this sort of set up that I can remember. It’s not often there’s a low over Superior and another low sliding across PA to the coast at the same time with one producing SW flow lake effect and the other about to produce a snowstorm for Boston. Pretty cool to see even if I only have 1/2” OTG while 13 miles to my north has 20” lol . It's actually super annoying, because it's what is preventing us from getting any good synoptic snows. That northern Jet isn't allowing anything to move north and the southern jet isn't allowing systems to push down from the north (like a clipper pattern). So we're stuck in this stupid in-between area where nothing goes. Lake effect is our only hope for the time being. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 21 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Anyone else seeing this over Huron? I’ll snag a loop once it’s done but there is what I describe as a fully rotating meso sinking south. Inflow feeder bands coming from every direction??? I think that feature is what causes the band to shift south overnight IMG_3268.MP4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 32 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: This is probably my best forecasted les event. My text at 10 am yesterday morning with Devin. Can you guys have a similar discussion on who will jackpot in Central New York tomorrow? I can't wait to read this... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 27 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Anyone else seeing this over Huron? I’ll snag a loop once it’s done but there is what I describe as a fully rotating meso sinking south. Inflow feeder bands coming from every direction??? Meso low!!?!? Time to go Snow band a'chasin! Buffwx, got a boat? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Can you guys have a similar discussion on who will jackpot in Central New York tomorrow? I can't wait to read this... I'm not as good off Ontario as Erie. @wolfie09 is the expert off Ontario. NW flow LES is virtually impossible to predict and Rochester doesn't even have a radar. Good luck with that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: I'm not as good off Ontario as Erie. @wolfie09 is the expert off Ontario. Can't forget about LakeEffectKing... love getting his insights! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 49 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Does the airport break its all time January single day record of 18.3” ? That would be pretty dang cool. At 15.0” as of 5pm so I think it’s gonna be close as you said the heaviest rates are closer to the lake not inland near the airport. 16.5” at 8pm… it will be close! Band looks so good over the lake crazy it’s just drying out so fast once it’s over land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Can't forget about LakeEffectKing... love getting his insights! Yeah forgot as he doesn't post as much. His name assures his insight, best in the business. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: 16.5” at 8pm… it will be close! Band looks so good over the lake crazy it’s just drying out so fast once it’s over land. Downtown Buffalo has to be at 25/26" was dumping when I left. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Downtown Buffalo has to be at 25/26" was dumping when I left. This will end up being a top 20 daily snowfall for KBUF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: This will end up being a top 20 daily snowfall for KBUF. That's 11 years old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 @TugHillMatt Matt, Why do the daily forecasts change so rapidly? The WWA is now from 3-5 to 3-6 but the tonight/tomm/ tomm night forecasts went down a tad. Just wondering why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That's 11 years old. Only 1… maybe 2 not on the list. This will make the cut! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, sferic said: @TugHillMatt Matt, Why do the daily forecasts change so rapidly? The WWA is now from 3-5 to 3-6 but the tonight/tomm/ tomm night forecasts went down a tad. Just wondering why? Those are computer generated and change all the time. They're really not the best to go off of, and are rarely ever right...especially for lake effect snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 25 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Only 1… maybe 2 not on the list. This will make the cut! I think there is quite a few more maybe 3-4? Jan 2019 had 2? Didnt early Jan 2014 have one? Here is one. Dec 27, 2020 UPDATE: The latest total comes in at 18.4”! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 I tried to document the variety of the chase with these videos. Hope you all enjoy, I had an incredible time! 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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