DeltaT13 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 If the bad dies soon it’s my fault because I’m enroute to Buffalo! LFG! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: This is the one @WNashhas been hoping for the last few years. Yeah, this is awesome. I’ll get out there a measure later, but we have been drifting in and out of the 2-3” stuff all morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 Band is getting stronger over the water but its moving too far north too quickly. The NAM showed this the last few runs. It got it into grand island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: If the bad dies soon it’s my fault because I’m enroute to Buffalo! LFG! 4 hours and 25 minutes to go. I've been staring at my clock getting zero work done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 Sloan Cheektowaga 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 12" here at 1130. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 11 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: If the bad dies soon it’s my fault because I’m enroute to Buffalo! LFG! You may want to set up in Tonawanda by the time you get here lol. That thing is moving north quick. Wonder if it makes it to IAG? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Heavy snow moved back in here about 15 minutes ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Good luck to everyone out there. Hope you get crushed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 Airport getting 3"+ per 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: You may want to set up in Tonawanda by the time you get here lol. That thing is moving north quick. Wonder if it makes it to IAG? I’ll be on the move. If It is all falls apart I’ll grab wings at duffs and call it a day. I drive there just for them sometimes anyway. Haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 Visibility at airport lol Visibility 0.13 mi 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 It’s really coming down on the Mr. Pizza cam on Elmwood Ave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Downright blizzard like here. Winds are still raking! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Downright blizzard like here. Winds are still raking! Where is this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 3 hours ago, tombo82685 said: Just think 4 hours ago they were all whining about a miss, this winter is crud, blah blah. People need to relax seriously and let things play out I'm not going to say anything about whining... lol. I thought it was a bit premature of a reaction though, as lake effect tends to start later than predicted. 2 hours ago, winter_rules said: Always interesting to hear perceptions of other places relative to “home.” Thanks for sharing. Thanks for asking and for your comment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 Updated FD: .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Lake effect band that was slow in developing off Lake Erie with minimal amounts through 5 AM this morning *quickly* developed 5AM to 7AM and has been very intense since then with multiple hours of 3" per hour rates observed in the Buffalo Metro. Band wavered north earlier across Northtowns toward the border of Niagara county, but then quickly settled back to its current locked in position Buffalo downtown to the Buffalo Airport and to Akron and Pembroke in western Genesee county. BUF VWP shows well-aligned 240-250 flow and inversion heights around 7kft. As we suspected a couple days ago, SLRs have been quite high well over 20:1 as all the bulk of the convective layer above cloud base resides within the DGZ. Model soundings and output underplayed the higher SLRs. No change to large scale in terms of synoptics with departing trough aloft this morning and sharpening trough crossing the Ohio Valley tonight that eventually helps develop a coastal low toward daybreak Friday. At the sfc, lake induced trough remains lined up across Lake Ontario to western Great Lakes through tonight. Over-water instability more than sufficient with 850mb temps around -14C (with the lakes about +3C). The details... Off Lake Erie... Based on radar and VWP trends, SW flow 240-250 persists through early afternoon. A bit of shear in convective layer and some lowering of inversion could cut down on band intensity after 1-2 PM, Still though, with such high SLRs, several inches of snow will still occur through the afternoon hours. Totals essentially since 530 AM this morning are already pushing a foot at the Buffalo airport and other locations in central the Buffalo Metro in the Downtown to airport to Pembroke corridor. Winds in lake convective layer backing some mid to late aftn may push the main focus for the band back across the Northtowns and toward Erie/Niagara county line. Trough across the Ohio valley this evening will then increase synoptic moisture and likely to cause lake snows to intensify before winds shift to the west behind this trough late tonight, likely not until midnight. Thus the band will continue to focus across the Buffalo metro area this evening before shifting southward to the Western Southern Tier late tonight. Off Lake Ontario... Snow has been more widespread much of this morning, but sharper convergence band is beginning to develop. Mesoscale guidance shows this band getting better organized through late afternoon so that seems on track. A very narrow band across northern Jefferson County will likely extend to the northwest corner of the Tug Hill as well (Carthage/Copenhagen). Thus far, snowfall rates generally have been under an inch per hour, but expect these to increase rest of today with snowfall rates of 1-2 inches an hour can be expected. Lewis County remains in the warning, however it`s important to note that there will not be much snow at all across the southern half of the county. Weakening winds will cause snow to contract closer to the lake later tonight. Increase in synoptic moisture in advance of a trough will maintain lake snows which will likely clip Jefferson County at times. At this time, storm total forecast off Lake Ontario remains pretty much in tact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Where is this? looks like the old thruway mall plaza. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 hour ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Heavy sunshine here. Just think... Eric over near Albany got more than you did... Too soon? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 29 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: If the bad dies soon it’s my fault because I’m enroute to Buffalo! LFG! Oh! Let me tag along! The Buffalo crew will LOVE that....................................... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Where is this? Thruway Plaza Harlem and Walden. Going to venture out to measure on my lunch break lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 NWS says band is locked in place until after midnight. Another 12 hours to go. They say it likely intensifies later tonight. I'll be chasing all night! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Just think... Eric over near Albany got more than you did... Too soon? Still mood flaking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: NWS says band is locked in place until after midnight. Another 12 hours to go. They say it likely intensifies later tonight. I'll be chasing all night! 3'? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Oh! Let me tag along! The Buffalo crew will LOVE that....................................... You would part that band like Moses at the Red Sea 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 6 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: NWS says band is locked in place until after midnight. Another 12 hours to go. They say it likely intensifies later tonight. I'll be chasing all night! Hoping it drifts back south a little, now just light snow with sun peaking through here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 NAM was the best model for this event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 15 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: 3'? I don't think that high over 2' though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Shortwave north of cle should briefly jog things north before settling it back. I figured this would crank! Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 ..ERIE COUNTY DEPEW 14.0 IN 1207 PM 01/06 42.91N/78.70W BUFFALO INTERNATIONAL ARPT 13.1 IN 1156 AM 01/06 42.95N/78.72W 1 SE HARRIS HILL 11.0 IN 1100 AM 01/06 42.97N/78.67W 2 N BUFFALO 7.5 IN 1027 AM 01/06 42.93N/78.86W ..JEFFERSON COUNTY WATERTOWN 6.2 IN 1200 PM 01/06 43.97N/75.91W 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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