Thinksnow18 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, tim123 said: That was issues this morning It’s definitely shifted north in expansion as well. This morning the 990 on the map didn’t have any snow or very little now it’s in the 8-12” area…and even places like NT in southern Niagara county are 2-4” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2022 Author Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: WIVb did a complete 180…the band never leaves the metro…wobbles a bit south on Thursday afternoon…so now that is was told that dint have in house models whose due they emulate? No Idea most likely the NAM as its higher res 18z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2022 Author Share Posted January 3, 2022 That storm system will determine how long this event last. Lots to be ironed out but feel pretty confident the strongest band will be overnight weds into thurs morning 1-2" per. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 14 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That storm system will determine how long this event last. Lots to be ironed out but feel pretty confident the strongest band will be overnight weds into thurs morning 1-2" per. Maybe I sleep all day Wednesday so I can chase all night then head in to work Thursday AM? That 18-24 stripe is right over my head. Hard not getting excited right now! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2022 Author Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Maybe I sleep all day Wednesday so I can chase all night then head in to work Thursday AM? That 18-24 stripe is right over my head. Hard not getting excited right now! If the jackpot is over your head you won't have to chase. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Maybe I sleep all day Wednesday so I can chase all night then head in to work Thursday AM? That 18-24 stripe is right over my head. Hard not getting excited right now! @BuffaloWeather, as much as I want to route for snow for everyone else on here too... You're the LAST one I want to see get this.... Mr. "It can snow 6 inches an hour and then warm to the 80s the next day so my hairy legs can catch fire." What a waste of snow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: If the jackpot is over your head you won't have to chase. Need some photo op locations. Tired of filming in my little yard. Plus my neighbors all think I’m a weirdo when I’m walking around taking videos of clouds. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2022 Author Share Posted January 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: @BuffaloWeather, as much as I want to route for snow for everyone else on here too... You're the LAST one I want to see get this.... Mr. "It can snow 6 inches an hour and then warm to the 80s the next day so my hairy legs can catch fire." What a waste of snow. Hey now. I think I'm one of the only ones here who ski, snowboard, and play ice hockey all winter. Not to mention winter hikes. What good is snow if you just look at it outside? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Need some photo op locations. Tired of filming in my little yard. Plus my neighbors all think I’m a weirdo when I’m walking around taking videos of clouds. I had a neighbor stop me last winter when I was videoing during the night because they thought I was being "suspicious." I should have said, "Nah I am just a snow weenie." 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Hey now. I think I'm one of the only ones here who ski, snowboard, and play ice hockey all winter. Not to mention winter hikes. What good is snow if you just look at it outside? I snowshoe and do snow hikes...not "snow hike up thousands and thousands of feet mountains" though... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: I had a neighbor stop me last winter when I was videoing during the night because they thought I was being "suspicious." I should have said, "Nah I am just a snow weenie." Maybe we should go in on matching jackets so people know our intentions? Could get them stitched to say something like weather squad, I’m not a pedo I’m a weenie… yeah might need to work on the verbiage. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Game of inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2022 Author Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: I snowshoe and do snow hikes...not "snow hike up thousands and thousands of feet mountains" though... Don't get me wrong I love the snow, especially big LES events. I grew up playing ice hockey on frozen ponds with my dad. With temperatures the last decade its tough to do, nothing freezes anymore. They used to have the winterfest at delaware park and ice skate on the water with hockey games. The warm winters virtually canceled that event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2022 Author Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Game of inches The models are spitting out more QPF for Ontario than Erie. Has better moisture over Ontario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Maybe we should go in on matching jackets so people know our intentions? Could get them stitched to say something like weather squad, I’m not a pedo I’m a weenie… yeah might need to work on the verbiage. Bahahaha... "Snowflake Squad...Got any of that.....white stuff?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Game of inches Definitely hints at the upslope potential.... I would not be surprised to see a double band structure off of lake Ontario with the Southern one being weaker.... And near you. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 You don't often see the band stretch into St. Lawrence county like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 This event seems strongly driven by thermal troughing which I think is a tough wild card to bank on. A secondary 500mb vort max/shortwave does come through on Thursday giving this event somewhat a of a two pronged evolution but I'm not completely sold on this being a blockbuster just yet. Lot of moving parts on this one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 14 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: You don't often see the band stretch into St. Lawrence county like that. And you dont see a band that deep into Monroe county unless its a hybrid event with an arctic frontal boundary enhancing a lake band. I'm staying conservative in my backyard with 2-3" in the best scenario. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said: This event seems strongly driven by thermal troughing which I think is a tough wild card to bank on. A secondary 500mb vort max does come through on Thursday giving this event somewhat a of a two pronged evolution but I'm not completely sold on this being a blockbuster just yet. Lot of moving parts on this one. Delta you could score several inches on west side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, tim123 said: Delta you could score several inches on west side. Here's hoping. 2-3 inches is usually what we get as the band whiplashes back and forth. During the 12/26 event last year I measured 1.3, but winds were light and inland penetration was not ideal in that setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Think Pittsford got 4 5 inches from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 17 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Here's hoping. 2-3 inches is usually what we get as the band whiplashes back and forth. During the 12/26 event last year I measured 1.3, but winds were light and inland penetration was not ideal in that setup. That trough set up is important your right. If it can interact well with band i think you get a shot at 4 to 6. Usually upper with erie band into roc. Unless your in riga and can get 8. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Hey now. I think I'm one of the only ones here who ski, snowboard, and play ice hockey all winter. Not to mention winter hikes. What good is snow if you just look at it outside? I used to do every one of those things…then I had kids…and then they got into sports…I no longer do those things…I live vicariously through you HairyLegBuffaloWeather!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Hey now. I think I'm one of the only ones here who ski, snowboard, and play ice hockey all winter. Not to mention winter hikes. What good is snow if you just look at it outside? You are a bit of an enigma with your I love snow but your "I don't care if it lasts" ideology....because then you make statements about how our lack of cold has ruined a lot of outdoor activities around here. Snow duration and cold go hand in hand my man! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 2 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: You are a bit of an enigma with your I love snow but your "I don't care if it lasts" ideology....because then you make statements about how our lack of cold has ruined a lot of outdoor activities around here. Snow duration and cold go hand in hand my man! Yeah I'm quite weird when it comes to what I cheer for with weather. In any season but winter I want lots of heat, humidity, and sun. In winter if its not going to snow I usually cheer for sun/warmth. Cold/dry is the absolute worst pattern unless there is already a good base for skiing/boarding. Will never be a fan of extreme cold, 25-30 degrees with frequent snows would be my ideal winter pattern. How was the game yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 54 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah I'm quite weird when it comes to what I cheer for with weather. In any season but winter I want lots of heat, humidity, and sun. In winter if its not going to snow I usually cheer for sun/warmth. Cold/dry is the absolute worst pattern unless there is already a good base for skiing/boarding. Will never be a fan of extreme cold, 25-30 degrees with frequent snows would be my ideal winter pattern. How was the game yesterday? But your enthusiasm for everything weather is why we love you. How ya feeling btw? You gonna be 100% for the chase? As someone already stated, might be an easy chase for you. Like out the back door easy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 It’s on the HRRR now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 12 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: But your enthusiasm for everything weather is why we love you. How ya feeling btw? You gonna be 100% for the chase? As someone already stated, might be an easy chase for you. Like out the back door easy Appreciate you! I’m a equal fan of almost all extreme weather with a little bias towards strong les bands. They are like a drug, I need my fix. Not being able to see my hand in front of my head is just insane! I’m feeling better, went to see a neurologist to try to find out why I passed out unconscious in November, he ruled out kidney stones so still have no idea why I don’t remember 5 mins of my life. It might be seizures, but never had one before. I had an MRI of my brain last week and going over with doctor in a few weeks. MRIs are not fun I’m pretty claustrophobic so it was rough. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 3 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: You are a bit of an enigma with your I love snow but your "I don't care if it lasts" ideology....because then you make statements about how our lack of cold has ruined a lot of outdoor activities around here. Snow duration and cold go hand in hand my man! The game was great. Honestly one of my favorite games I’ve ever been too. The only fans there seemed to be the true diehards as it had to only be about 70 percent full. The light snow that fell the entire game didn’t amount to anything but gave great ambiance, and they were perfect dendrites at that. No annoying fans from the other team, because well, it was the falcons haha. Just a quintessential Buffalo game, and a clutch win. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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