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January 3, 2022 CAPE Storm Obs/Nowcast


WxUSAF
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3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Yep. The models were all over that cutoff the past couple of days. The gfs clearly was the best with it. I don't care. Snow is falling. Below freezing temps. Can't complain.

Couldn’t agree more. Give me some below freezing temps and snow and I’m happy as well.  10z Hrrr tries to put down 8” where I’m currently staying for this one at my brother’s place near old Ellicott city. If we even see half of that, I’d be pretty stoked.

Another threat on our doorstep for Thursday night into Friday as well. Life is good my friend  

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2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

lol I just looked at the 6z 3k NAM. Pretty crazy amounts that drop off to almost nothing over a relatively short distance. Insanely sharp cutoff.

Yeeeeep. Some folks will definitely be disappointed seeing 6+“ reports within 10-15 miles of them while they barely scrape together a few inches. 

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2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

lol I just looked at the 6z 3k NAM. Pretty crazy amounts that drop off to almost nothing over a relatively short distance. Insanely sharp cutoff.

It’s wild.  I can’t remember a storm with such a drastic change, even within a country.  Good luck out there.

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